Juan Rocha
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View article: Regime shifts and transformations in social-ecological systems: Advancing critical frontiers for safe and just futures
Regime shifts and transformations in social-ecological systems: Advancing critical frontiers for safe and just futures Open
Current research challenges in sustainability science require us to consider nonlinear changes e.g. shifts that do not happen gradually but can be sudden and difficult to predict. Central questions are therefore how we can prevent harmful …
View article: Complex Realities, Simple Signals? Global Evaluation of Early Warning Signals for Forest Mortality Events
Complex Realities, Simple Signals? Global Evaluation of Early Warning Signals for Forest Mortality Events Open
Forests around the world are increasingly experiencing large-scale regional mortality events as a result of droughts and heat waves. Despite their considerable impacts on the material, non-material, and regulatory contributions of forest e…
View article: Complex Realities, Simple Signals? Global Evaluation of Early Warning Signals for Forest Mortality Events
Complex Realities, Simple Signals? Global Evaluation of Early Warning Signals for Forest Mortality Events Open
Forests around the world are increasingly experiencing large-scale regional mortality events as a result of droughts and heat waves. Despite their considerable impacts on the material, non-material, and regulatory contributions of forest e…
View article: A global map of Earth system interactions
A global map of Earth system interactions Open
The intricate interplay of the biophysical processes of the Earth system provides the basis for Earth resilience and human well-being. With local anthropogenic pressures increasing in most regions, there has been a growing need for a syste…
View article: A review of open data for studying global groundwater in social–ecological systems
A review of open data for studying global groundwater in social–ecological systems Open
Global data have served an integral role in characterizing large-scale groundwater systems, identifying their sustainability challenges, and informing on socioeconomic and ecological dimensions of groundwater. These insights have revealed …
View article: A systems approach to sustainable finance: Actors, influence mechanisms, and potentially virtuous cycles of sustainability
A systems approach to sustainable finance: Actors, influence mechanisms, and potentially virtuous cycles of sustainability Open
Over the past decade, corporate investors have increasingly recognized that responsible environmental and social practices are essential to long-term financial success. Despite growing interest, corporate practices remain largely unchanged…
View article: Integrating Diversity and Agency into Social-Ecological Resilience Metrics
Integrating Diversity and Agency into Social-Ecological Resilience Metrics Open
Resilience is an increasingly popular concept in research and practice, but quantitative resilience analyses are often disconnected from resilience theory. For example, previous studies argue that diversity, a key attribute for building re…
View article: Challenges and opportunities when assessing exposure of financial investments to ecosystem regime shifts
Challenges and opportunities when assessing exposure of financial investments to ecosystem regime shifts Open
Financial investments will be affected by ecological regime shifts through the loss of natural resources underpinning dependencies of most economic sectors. We suggest one possible pathway to link industry and products to the likelihood of…
View article: Principles for guiding future research on resilience and tipping points
Principles for guiding future research on resilience and tipping points Open
View article: Considerations for determining warm-water coral reef tipping points
Considerations for determining warm-water coral reef tipping points Open
Warm-water coral reefs are facing unprecedented human-driven threats to their continued existence as biodiverse functional ecosystems upon which hundreds of millions of people rely. These impacts may drive coral ecosystems past critical th…
View article: A review of open data for studying global groundwater in social-ecological systems
A review of open data for studying global groundwater in social-ecological systems Open
Global data have served an integral role in characterizing large-scale groundwater systems, identifying their sustainability challenges, and informing on socioeconomic and ecological dimensions of groundwater. These insights have revealed …
View article: Clustered warming tolerances and the nonlinear risks of biodiversity loss on a warming planet
Clustered warming tolerances and the nonlinear risks of biodiversity loss on a warming planet Open
Anthropogenic climate change is projected to become a major driver of biodiversity loss, destabilizing the ecosystems on which human society depends. As the planet rapidly warms, the disruption of ecological interactions among populations,…
View article: Climate change, nature degradation, and financial stability: a review of domino-effects between finance, climate, and the biosphere
Climate change, nature degradation, and financial stability: a review of domino-effects between finance, climate, and the biosphere Open
The threat associated with climate change and nature degradation poses complex financial challenges. Our systematic literature review of 88 finance-related publications published between 2015 and early 2022 revealed a gap in research on na…
View article: A global analysis of ecosystems and people at risk of ecological regime shifts
A global analysis of ecosystems and people at risk of ecological regime shifts Open
View article: Structural controllability and management of cascading regime shifts
Structural controllability and management of cascading regime shifts Open
Abrupt transitions in ecosystems can be interconnected, raising challenges for science and management in identifying sufficient interventions to prevent them or recover from undesirable shifts. Here we use principles of network controllabi…
View article: Income inequality has increased for over two-thirds of the global population
Income inequality has increased for over two-thirds of the global population Open
Income inequality is one of the most important measures to indicate economic health, social justice, and quality of life. Yet, especially at the subnational level, comprehensive global data on the distribution of incomes is widely missing.…
View article: Identifying companies and financial actors exposed to marine tipping points
Identifying companies and financial actors exposed to marine tipping points Open
Climate change and other anthropogenic pressures are likely to induce tipping points in marine ecosystems, potentially leading to declines in primary productivity and fisheries. Despite increasing attention to nature-related financial risk…
View article: Groundwaterscapes: A Global Classification and Mapping of Groundwater's Large‐Scale Socioeconomic, Ecological, and Earth System Functions
Groundwaterscapes: A Global Classification and Mapping of Groundwater's Large‐Scale Socioeconomic, Ecological, and Earth System Functions Open
Groundwater is a dynamic component of the global water cycle with important social, economic, ecological, and Earth system functions. We present a new global classification and mapping of groundwater systems, which we call groundwaterscape…
View article: A just world on a safe planet: a Lancet Planetary Health–Earth Commission report on Earth-system boundaries, translations, and transformations
A just world on a safe planet: a Lancet Planetary Health–Earth Commission report on Earth-system boundaries, translations, and transformations Open
View article: Archetypes of aquaculture development across 150 countries
Archetypes of aquaculture development across 150 countries Open
View article: Earth system resilience and tipping behavior
Earth system resilience and tipping behavior Open
Anthropogenic climate change, marked by unprecedented extremes, is an immediate concern. The Earth’s limited ability to adapt to abrupt changes within our societal timeframe has raised global alarm. Resilience, the capacity to withstand an…
View article: Crop booms as regime shifts
Crop booms as regime shifts Open
A crop boom is a sudden, nonlinear and intense expansion of a new crop. Despite their large impacts, boom-bust dynamics are not well understood; booms are largely unpredictable and difficult to steer once they unfold. Based on the striking…
View article: Equity and justice should underpin the discourse on tipping points
Equity and justice should underpin the discourse on tipping points Open
Radical and quick transformations towards sustainability will be fundamental to achieving a more sustainable future. However, deliberate interventions to reconfigure systems will result in winners and losers, with the potential for greater…
View article: Remote sensing-based detection of resilience loss in the terrestrial water cycle
Remote sensing-based detection of resilience loss in the terrestrial water cycle Open
In the face of Anthropogenic change, ecosystems globally have shown evidence of resilience loss in the past several decades. By governing key processes in terrestrial ecosystems, the hydrological cycle is critical for Earth system stabilit…
View article: Positive Tipping Points in the Food Systems: the Role of Scales
Positive Tipping Points in the Food Systems: the Role of Scales Open
The global food system is at a critical inflection point with rising awareness of the need for change and progress on several fronts, pertaining both human health and the environment. One of the ten critical transitions envisioned by the F…
View article: Rethinking the Intertwined Biosphere
Rethinking the Intertwined Biosphere Open
Transformations towards sustainable futures can only be achieved with an advanced understanding of how human life is intertwined with the whole biosphere. Systems of people and nature are not separate entities but inherently connected acro…
View article: Identifying financial actors exposed to tipping point risks
Identifying financial actors exposed to tipping point risks Open
Ecosystems around the world are showing symptoms of resilience loss. With them there is an increasing risk of critical transitions or regime shifts: large, abrupt and difficult to reverse changes in the function and structure of ecosystems…
View article: Global terrestrial ecosystem resilience: a high-resolution multivariate analysis of patterns and drivers
Global terrestrial ecosystem resilience: a high-resolution multivariate analysis of patterns and drivers Open
Natural terrestrial ecosystems in different parts of the world have been losing resilience in the past decades. Such losses of resilience can be the precursors for regime shifts on local or regional scales that can have large impacts on ec…
View article: Structural controllability and management of cascading regime shifts
Structural controllability and management of cascading regime shifts Open
Abrupt transitions in ecosystems can be interconnected, raising challenges for science and management in identifying sufficient interventions to prevent them or recover from undesirable shifts. Here we use principles of network controllabi…
View article: Triple Bottom Line or Trilemma? Global Tradeoffs Between Prosperity, Inequality, and the Environment
Triple Bottom Line or Trilemma? Global Tradeoffs Between Prosperity, Inequality, and the Environment Open