Klaus Keller
YOU?
Author Swipe
View article: Application of PRIM for understanding patterns in carbon dioxide model-observation differences
Application of PRIM for understanding patterns in carbon dioxide model-observation differences Open
Reducing uncertainties in regional carbon balances requires a better understanding of CO2 transport in synoptic weather systems. Here, we apply the Patient Rule Induction Method (PRIM), a data-mining method to identify high-density regions…
View article: Combined Meteorological and Hydrologic Uncertainties Shape Projections of Future Soil Moisture in the Eastern United States
Combined Meteorological and Hydrologic Uncertainties Shape Projections of Future Soil Moisture in the Eastern United States Open
Physical hazards pose risks to many critical systems. Designing adaptive measures to mitigate these risks is challenging due to large uncertainties in modeling future hazards and the associated sectoral responses. Here, we help address thi…
View article: Technology indicators enable early detection of decarbonization failures
Technology indicators enable early detection of decarbonization failures Open
Assessing decarbonization progress traditionally relies solely on tracking carbon emissions. Focusing on carbon emissions alone struggles to capture the complex uncertainties that may result in failing to identify early warning signals of …
View article: Probabilistic Downscaling for Flood Hazard Models
Probabilistic Downscaling for Flood Hazard Models Open
Riverine flooding poses significant risks. Developing strategies to manage flood risks requires flood projections with decision-relevant scales and well-characterized uncertainties, often at high spatial resolutions. However, calibrating h…
View article: Application of PRIM for understanding patterns in carbon dioxide model-observation differences
Application of PRIM for understanding patterns in carbon dioxide model-observation differences Open
Reducing uncertainties in regional carbon balances requires a better understanding of CO2 transport in synoptic weather systems. Here, we apply the Patient Rule Induction Method (PRIM) to airborne observations of of potential temperature, …
View article: Exploratory Scoping of Place‐Based Opportunities for Convergence Research
Exploratory Scoping of Place‐Based Opportunities for Convergence Research Open
Harnessing scientific research to address societal challenges requires careful alignment of expertise, resources, and research questions with real‐world needs, timelines, and constraints. In the case of place‐based research, studies can av…
View article: Combined climate and hydrologic uncertainties shape projections of future soil moisture in the eastern United States
Combined climate and hydrologic uncertainties shape projections of future soil moisture in the eastern United States Open
View article: Funding rules that promote equity in climate adaptation outcomes
Funding rules that promote equity in climate adaptation outcomes Open
Many climate policies adopt improving equity as a key objective. A key challenge is that policies often conceive of equity in terms of individuals but introduce strategies that focus on spatially coarse administrative areas. For example, t…
View article: Characterizing Parameter Uncertainty on Water Balance Model Soil Moisture Estimates Over Us Agricultural Lands
Characterizing Parameter Uncertainty on Water Balance Model Soil Moisture Estimates Over Us Agricultural Lands Open
View article: Unrefined national building inventories can mislead risk assessments and decisions
Unrefined national building inventories can mislead risk assessments and decisions Open
View article: Integrating Values to Improve the Relevance of Climate‐Risk Research
Integrating Values to Improve the Relevance of Climate‐Risk Research Open
Climate risks are growing. Research is increasingly important to inform the design of risk‐management strategies. Assessing such strategies necessarily brings values into research. But the values assumed within research (often only implici…
View article: Funding rules that promote equity in climate adaptation outcomes
Funding rules that promote equity in climate adaptation outcomes Open
Many climate policies adopt improving equity as a key objective. A key challenge is that policies often conceive of equity in terms of individuals but introduce strategies that focus on spatially coarse administrative areas. For example, t…
View article: UNSAFE: An UNcertain Structure And Fragility Ensemble framework for property-level flood risk estimation
UNSAFE: An UNcertain Structure And Fragility Ensemble framework for property-level flood risk estimation Open
A software package for adding parametric uncertainty to the national structure inventory and estimating flood losses with uncertain depth-damage relationships: https://github.com/abpoll/unsafe.
View article: Exploratory scoping of place-based opportunities for convergence research
Exploratory scoping of place-based opportunities for convergence research Open
Harnessing scientific research to address pressing societal needs requires careful alignment of resources, expertise, and research questions with real-world needs, timelines, and partnerships. Literature on best practices for place-based t…
View article: What drives uncertainty surrounding riverine flood risks?
What drives uncertainty surrounding riverine flood risks? Open
View article: Temporal Error Correlations in a Terrestrial Carbon Cycle Model Derived by Comparison to Carbon Dioxide Eddy Covariance Flux Tower Measurements
Temporal Error Correlations in a Terrestrial Carbon Cycle Model Derived by Comparison to Carbon Dioxide Eddy Covariance Flux Tower Measurements Open
Atmospheric CO 2 flux inversions require as input an estimate of spatial and temporal correlations of errors in their estimate of the prior mean. Some previous studies have used the differences in CO 2 daily average flux estimates produced…
View article: Bayesian Spatial Models for Projecting Corn Yields
Bayesian Spatial Models for Projecting Corn Yields Open
Climate change is predicted to impact corn yields. Previous studies analyzing these impacts differ in data and modeling approaches and, consequently, corn yield projections. We analyze the impacts of climate change on corn yields using two…
View article: Investing in open and FAIR practices for more usable and equitable climate-risk research
Investing in open and FAIR practices for more usable and equitable climate-risk research Open
Research that is salient, credible, legitimate, and timely can support climate-risk management goals around the world. Materials that are open and Findable, Accessible, Interoperable, Reusable (FAIR) help facilitate credibility and legitim…
View article: Balancing multiple forest management objectives under climate change in central Wisconsin, U.S.A.
Balancing multiple forest management objectives under climate change in central Wisconsin, U.S.A. Open
Forest managers must balance multiple objectives and consider tradeoffs when developing a management plan. Complex interactions between successional dynamics and natural disturbances make it challenging, especially when decisions play out …
View article: Developing more useful equity measurements for flood-risk management
Developing more useful equity measurements for flood-risk management Open
Decision-makers increasingly invoke equity to motivate, design, implement, and evaluate strategies for managing flood risks. Unfortunately, there is little guidance on how analysts can develop measurements that support these tasks. Here, w…
View article: What Drives Uncertainty Surrounding Riverine Flood Risks?
What Drives Uncertainty Surrounding Riverine Flood Risks? Open
Flooding drives considerable risks. Designing strategies to manage these risks is complicated by the often large uncertainty surrounding flood risk projections. Uncertainty surrounding riverine flood risks can stem from choices regarding b…
View article: Efficient Flood Risk Mitigation and Intersectional Equity Implications: A Case Study in New Orleans
Efficient Flood Risk Mitigation and Intersectional Equity Implications: A Case Study in New Orleans Open
Government agencies often require cost-benefit tests for environmental risk mitigation measures. These tests implicitly prioritize more valuable assets and may therefore produce inequitable outcomes. Previous studies propose directly prior…
View article: Dataset for Huang et al. Effects of global climate mitigation on regional air quality and health. Nature Sustainability (2023).
Dataset for Huang et al. Effects of global climate mitigation on regional air quality and health. Nature Sustainability (2023). Open
This dataset includes data that were used in: Huang et al. Effects of global climate mitigation on regional air quality and health. Nature Sustainability (2023). For any questions regarding this dataset, please contact Dr. Wei Pen…
View article: Emulation methods and adaptive sampling increase the efficiency of sensitivity analysis for computationally expensive models
Emulation methods and adaptive sampling increase the efficiency of sensitivity analysis for computationally expensive models Open
Models with high-dimensional parameter spaces are common in many applications. Global sensitivity analyses can provide insights on how uncertain inputs and interactions influence the outputs. Many sensitivity analysis methods face nontrivi…
View article: Hazards are the key drivers of uncertainties surrounding riverine flood risks
Hazards are the key drivers of uncertainties surrounding riverine flood risks Open
Flooding drives considerable risks. Designing strategies to manage these risks is complicated by the often-large uncertainty surrounding flood risk projections. Uncertainty surrounding riverine flood risks can stem, for example, from choic…
View article: Regenerative landscape design: an integrative framework to enhance sustainability planning
Regenerative landscape design: an integrative framework to enhance sustainability planning Open
Addressing contemporary environmental and social crises requires solutions-based, systems-level changes. To achieve these changes, transdisciplinary research approaches are needed to align problem framing with solution deployment at landsc…
View article: Transparency on Underlying Values is Needed for Useful Equity Measurements
Transparency on Underlying Values is Needed for Useful Equity Measurements Open
View article: Emulation Methods and Adaptive Sampling Increase the Efficiency of Sensitivity Analysis for Computationally Expensive Models
Emulation Methods and Adaptive Sampling Increase the Efficiency of Sensitivity Analysis for Computationally Expensive Models Open
View article: Monopsony and Automation
Monopsony and Automation Open
View article: A Subjective Bayesian Framework for Synthesizing Deep Uncertainties in Climate Risk Management
A Subjective Bayesian Framework for Synthesizing Deep Uncertainties in Climate Risk Management Open
Projections of nonstationary climate risks can vary considerably from one source to another, posing considerable communication and decision‐analytical challenges. One such challenge is how to present trade‐offs under deep uncertainty in a …