Lars Gerlitz
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View article: TREELINE - Longterm atmospheric and pedo-climatic observations along an upper treeline ecotone in the Himalayas, Nepal
TREELINE - Longterm atmospheric and pedo-climatic observations along an upper treeline ecotone in the Himalayas, Nepal Open
This data set includes meteorological and pedo-climatic data obtained from a study area in central Himalayas, Nepal. The study area is located in the Rolwaling valley along the Rolwaling Himal in the Gaurishankar Conservation Area (GCA) in…
View article: Comparative analysis of scalar upper tail indicators
Comparative analysis of scalar upper tail indicators Open
Different upper tail indicators exist to characterize heavy tail phenomena, but no comparative study has been carried out so far. We evaluate the shape parameter (GEV), obesity index, Gini index and upper tail ratio (UTR) against a novel b…
View article: Climate informed seasonal forecast of water availability in Central Asia: State-of-the-art and decision making context
Climate informed seasonal forecast of water availability in Central Asia: State-of-the-art and decision making context Open
Central Asia is characterized by a continental climate and a pronounced inter-annual variability of precipitation and discharge. In the past, hydro-climatological droughts led to serious water shortages, resulting in crop shortfalls, signi…
View article: Weather types and their frequencies over Central Asia – an ERA-Interim based analysis of monthly climate variability and change for the boreal cold season
Weather types and their frequencies over Central Asia – an ERA-Interim based analysis of monthly climate variability and change for the boreal cold season Open
Climate research in Central Asia is usually based on the analysis of meteorological observations. However, data scarcity in mountain regions causes uncertainties and, thus, the magnitude of climate change and variability in Central Asia is…
View article: Rising mean and extreme near‐surface air temperature across Nepal
Rising mean and extreme near‐surface air temperature across Nepal Open
Owing to unique topographic and ecological diversity, central Himalayan state of Nepal is exposed to adverse impacts of climate change and associated disasters. However, countrywide historical assessment of mean and extreme temperature cha…
View article: Variability of the Cold Season Climate in Central Asia. Part II: Hydroclimatic Predictability
Variability of the Cold Season Climate in Central Asia. Part II: Hydroclimatic Predictability Open
Central Asia (CA) is subjected to a large variability of precipitation. This study presents a statistical model, relating precipitation anomalies in three subregions of CA in the cold season (November–March) with various predictors in the …
View article: Climate influences on flood probabilities across Europe
Climate influences on flood probabilities across Europe Open
The link between streamflow extremes and climatology has been widely studied in recent decades. However, a study investigating the effect of large-scale circulation variations on the distribution of seasonal discharge extremes at the Europ…
View article: Weather types and their frequencies over Central Asia –an ERA-Interim based analysis of monthly climate variability and change for the boreal cold season
Weather types and their frequencies over Central Asia –an ERA-Interim based analysis of monthly climate variability and change for the boreal cold season Open
Climate research in Central Asia is usually based on the analysis of meteorological observations. However, data scarcity in mountain regions causes uncertainties and, thus, the magnitude of climate change and variability in Central Asia is…
View article: Climate variability and change over Uzbekistan – an analysis based on high resolution CHELSA data
Climate variability and change over Uzbekistan – an analysis based on high resolution CHELSA data Open
Climate change and variability represent a major risk for the Central Asian economies, particularly for the agriculture and energy sectors. A detailed analysis of recent climatic changes is required in order to assess their impact. However…
View article: Do climate-informed extreme value statistics improve theestimation of flood probabilities in Europe?
Do climate-informed extreme value statistics improve theestimation of flood probabilities in Europe? Open
The link between streamflow extremes and climatology has been widely studied during the last decades. However, a study investigating the effect of large-scale circulation variations on the distribution of seasonal discharge extremes at the…
View article: Supplementary material to "Do climate-informed extreme value statistics improve theestimation of flood probabilities in Europe?"
Supplementary material to "Do climate-informed extreme value statistics improve theestimation of flood probabilities in Europe?" Open
Figure S1: Linear correlations between the five circulation indices examined and mean seasonal gridded pressure (left), precipitation (middle) and temperature (right).All variables are averaged over the winter season for the period 1952-20…
View article: Variability of the Cold Season Climate in Central Asia. Part I: Weather Types and Their Tropical and Extratropical Drivers
Variability of the Cold Season Climate in Central Asia. Part I: Weather Types and Their Tropical and Extratropical Drivers Open
To understand the atmospheric mechanisms resulting in a pronounced cold season climate variability in central Asia, an objective weather-type classification is conducted, utilizing a k -means-based clustering approach applied to 500-hPa ge…
View article: Statistical forecast of seasonal discharge in Central Asia using observational records: development of a generic linear modelling tool for operational water resource management
Statistical forecast of seasonal discharge in Central Asia using observational records: development of a generic linear modelling tool for operational water resource management Open
The semi-arid regions of Central Asia crucially depend on the water resources supplied by the mountainous areas of the Tien Shan and Pamir and Altai mountains. During the summer months the snow-melt- and glacier-melt-dominated river discha…
View article: Do Changing Weather Types Explain Observed Climatic Trends in the Rhine Basin? An Analysis of Within‐ and Between‐Type Changes
Do Changing Weather Types Explain Observed Climatic Trends in the Rhine Basin? An Analysis of Within‐ and Between‐Type Changes Open
For attributing hydrological changes to anthropogenic climate change, catchment models are driven by climate model output. A widespread approach to bridge the spatial gap between global climate and hydrological catchment models is to use a…
View article: Quantifying the added value of convection-permitting climate simulations in complex terrain: a systematic evaluation of WRF over the Himalayas
Quantifying the added value of convection-permitting climate simulations in complex terrain: a systematic evaluation of WRF over the Himalayas Open
Mesoscale dynamical refinements of global climate models or atmospheric reanalysis have shown their potential to resolve intricate atmospheric processes, their land surface interactions, and subsequently, realistic distribution of climatic…
View article: Statistical forecast of seasonal discharge in Central Asia for water resources management: development of a generic linear modelling tool for operational use
Statistical forecast of seasonal discharge in Central Asia for water resources management: development of a generic linear modelling tool for operational use Open
The semi-arid regions of Central Asia crucially depend on the water resources supplied by the mountainous areas of the Tien Shan, Pamir and Altai mountains. During the summer months the snow and glacier melt dominated river discharge origi…
View article: Quantifying the added value of high resolution climatemodels: A systematic comparison of WRF simulations for complex Himalayan terrain
Quantifying the added value of high resolution climatemodels: A systematic comparison of WRF simulations for complex Himalayan terrain Open
Mesoscale dynamical refinements of global climate models or atmospheric reanalysis have shown their potential to resolve the intricate atmospheric processes, their land surface interactions, and subsequently, realistic distribution of clim…
View article: Statistical prediction of seasonal discharge in Central Asia for water resources management: development of a generic (pre-)operational modeling tool
Statistical prediction of seasonal discharge in Central Asia for water resources management: development of a generic (pre-)operational modeling tool Open
The semi-arid regions of Central Asia crucially depend on the water resources supplied by the mountainous areas\nof the Tien-Shan and Pamirs. During the summer months the snow and glacier melt dominated river discharge\noriginating in the …
View article: A statistically based seasonal precipitation forecast model with automatic predictor selection and its application to central and south Asia
A statistically based seasonal precipitation forecast model with automatic predictor selection and its application to central and south Asia Open
The study presents a statistically based seasonal precipitation forecast model, which automatically identifies suitable predictors from globally gridded sea surface temperature (SST) and climate variables by means of an extensive data-mini…
View article: A statistically based seasonal precipitation forecast model with automatic predictor selection and its application to Central and South Asian headwater catchments
A statistically based seasonal precipitation forecast model with automatic predictor selection and its application to Central and South Asian headwater catchments Open
The study presents a statistically based seasonal precipitation forecast model, which automatically identifies suitable predictors from globally gridded SST and climate variables by means of an extensive data mining procedure and explicitl…
View article: System for Automated Geoscientific Analyses (SAGA) v. 2.1.4
System for Automated Geoscientific Analyses (SAGA) v. 2.1.4 Open
The System for Automated Geoscientific Analyses (SAGA) is an open source geographic information system (GIS), mainly licensed under the GNU General Public License. Since its first release in 2004, SAGA has rapidly developed from a speciali…
View article: Do Himalayan treelines respond to recent climate change? An evaluation of sensitivity indicators
Do Himalayan treelines respond to recent climate change? An evaluation of sensitivity indicators Open
Climate warming is expected to induce treelines to advance to higher elevations. Empirical studies in diverse mountain ranges, however, give evidence of both advancing alpine treelines and rather insignificant responses. The inconsistency …
View article: System for Automated Geoscientific Analyses (SAGA) v. 2.1.4
System for Automated Geoscientific Analyses (SAGA) v. 2.1.4 Open
The System for Automated Geoscientific Analyses (SAGA) is an open-source Geographic Information System (GIS), mainly licensed under the GNU General Public License. Since its first release in 2004, SAGA has rapidly developed from a speciali…