Lee A. Smales
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View article: The effect of currency risk on crypto asset utilization in Türkiye
The effect of currency risk on crypto asset utilization in Türkiye Open
View article: U.S. Presidential news coverage: Risk, uncertainty and stocks
U.S. Presidential news coverage: Risk, uncertainty and stocks Open
By measuring the frequency of risk and uncertainty synonyms adjacent to mentions of sitting U.S. Presidents in news articles, this study introduces the Presidential Uncertainty and Risk (PUR) index. The index displays distinctive spikes du…
View article: No Smiles -Volatility Patterns when Trading is Continuous
No Smiles -Volatility Patterns when Trading is Continuous Open
View article: What do investors need to know about SEC news?
What do investors need to know about SEC news? Open
View article: Are stablecoins the money market mutual funds of the future?
Are stablecoins the money market mutual funds of the future? Open
View article: The relevance of dark trading for information acquisition in the German stock market
The relevance of dark trading for information acquisition in the German stock market Open
View article: The influence of uncertainty on commodity futures returns and trading behaviour
The influence of uncertainty on commodity futures returns and trading behaviour Open
View article: How is Trading Behavior in Commodity Futures Affected by the 52-Week High and Low?
How is Trading Behavior in Commodity Futures Affected by the 52-Week High and Low? Open
We use the Commodity Futures Trading Commission's Commitment of Traders report to investigate the trading behavior of traders in 12 commodity futures markets. Commercial traders are contrarian, consistent with anchoring and the prevalence …
View article: U.S. Presidential News Coverage: Risk, Uncertainty and Equities
U.S. Presidential News Coverage: Risk, Uncertainty and Equities Open
View article: Technical talk in bitcoin and equity
Technical talk in bitcoin and equity Open
View article: The Effect of Currency Risk on Crypto Asset Utilization in Türkiye
The Effect of Currency Risk on Crypto Asset Utilization in Türkiye Open
View article: Decoding DAI: Exploring Collateral Evolution and Price Dynamics
Decoding DAI: Exploring Collateral Evolution and Price Dynamics Open
View article: Flight-to-quality—Money market mutual funds and stablecoins during the March 2023 banking crisis
Flight-to-quality—Money market mutual funds and stablecoins during the March 2023 banking crisis Open
The March 2023 banking crisis prompted a flight-to-quality, with inflows into money market mutual funds and outflows from stablecoins. Similar flows from riskier to safer categories within both asset classes highlight the important role of…
View article: Classification of RBA monetary policy announcements using ChatGPT
Classification of RBA monetary policy announcements using ChatGPT Open
ChatGPT is a tool that has gained much attention and has accelerated the adoption of Artificial Intelligence across many applications. Using monetary policy decisions made by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), we test whether ChatGPT's c…
View article: Lost in translation. When sentiment metrics for one market are derived from two different languages
Lost in translation. When sentiment metrics for one market are derived from two different languages Open
We compare two text-based proxies for the sentiment of investors in the Japanese market. Both proxies are constructed by Thomson Reuters using the same algorithm, and the only difference between them is that the first proxy is derived usin…
View article: Short interest and the stock market relation with news sentiment from traditional and social media sources
Short interest and the stock market relation with news sentiment from traditional and social media sources Open
We examine how the stock market relation to news sentiment—from traditional and social media (Twitter) sources—interacts with short selling of stocks. Our sample includes the S&P500 constituents for the period January 2016 to December 2020…
View article: Digging Deeper - Is Bitcoin Digital Gold? A Mining Perspective
Digging Deeper - Is Bitcoin Digital Gold? A Mining Perspective Open
View article: Are Stablecoins the Money Market Mutual Funds of the Future?
Are Stablecoins the Money Market Mutual Funds of the Future? Open
View article: Commodity Futures Trading at the 52-Week High and Low
Commodity Futures Trading at the 52-Week High and Low Open
View article: Classification of RBA Monetary Policy Announcements Using ChatGPT
Classification of RBA Monetary Policy Announcements Using ChatGPT Open
View article: Flight to Quality - Money Market Mutual Funds and Stablecoins During the March 2023 Banking Crisis
Flight to Quality - Money Market Mutual Funds and Stablecoins During the March 2023 Banking Crisis Open
View article: Stock Market Liquidity During Crisis Periods: Australian Evidence
Stock Market Liquidity During Crisis Periods: Australian Evidence Open
View article: Trading Behavior in Agricultural Commodity Futures around the 52-Week High
Trading Behavior in Agricultural Commodity Futures around the 52-Week High Open
Utilizing the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s Commitment of Traders report, we examine the behavior of traders in three large agricultural futures markets (corn, soybean, and wheat) when prices are at a key technical trading level—t…
View article: Trading behavior in bitcoin futures: Following the “smart money”
Trading behavior in bitcoin futures: Following the “smart money” Open
The Bitcoin futures market has grown rapidly since its 2017 introduction. Along with enabling institutional traders to access a regulated cryptocurrency product, futures provide a means to improve market efficiency by shorting Bitcoin. We …
View article: The Relevance of Dark Trading for Information Acquisition in German Stocks
The Relevance of Dark Trading for Information Acquisition in German Stocks Open
View article: Is investor attention on r/wallstreetbets different?
Is investor attention on r/wallstreetbets different? Open
View article: Volatility Spillovers among Cryptocurrencies
Volatility Spillovers among Cryptocurrencies Open
The cryptocurrency market has experienced stunning growth, with market value exceeding USD 1.5 trillion. We use a DCC-MGARCH model to examine the return and volatility spillovers across three distinct classes of cryptocurrencies: coins, to…
View article: Investor Attention and Cryptocurrency Price Crash Risk: A Quantile Regression Approach
Investor Attention and Cryptocurrency Price Crash Risk: A Quantile Regression Approach Open
View article: One Session Options: Playing the announcement lottery?
One Session Options: Playing the announcement lottery? Open
View article: The Influence of Policy Uncertainty on Exchange Rate Forecasting
The Influence of Policy Uncertainty on Exchange Rate Forecasting Open