Leonardo Baccini
YOU?
Author Swipe
View article: The source of economic shocks matters for their political outcomes
The source of economic shocks matters for their political outcomes Open
Do different economic shocks favor different types of political leadership? Using a survey experiment conducted on 3500 American respondents, we offer causal evidence for an unexpected relation between different types of economic shocks an…
View article: Inflation, Blame Attribution, and the 2022 US Congressional Elections
Inflation, Blame Attribution, and the 2022 US Congressional Elections Open
This study investigates the impact of inflation on the 2022 US mid-term elections, a period witnessing the resurgence of inflation as a major concern in the USA for the first time in decades. We develop a pre-registered survey with an embe…
View article: Weather shocks affect trade policy: Evidence from preferential trade agreements
Weather shocks affect trade policy: Evidence from preferential trade agreements Open
We show that weather shocks affect government trade policy decisions. We exploit variation in rainfall during the growing season within and across countries to show that weather shocks impact agricultural output and trade. Using informatio…
View article: Austerity, economic vulnerability, and populism
Austerity, economic vulnerability, and populism Open
Governments have repeatedly adjusted fiscal policy in recent decades. We examine the political effects of these adjustments in Europe since the 1990s using both district‐level election outcomes and individual‐level voting data. We expect a…
View article: Trade liberalization, economic activity and political violence in the Global South: evidence from PTAs
Trade liberalization, economic activity and political violence in the Global South: evidence from PTAs Open
Summary This paper investigates the impact of agricultural trade liberalization on economic activity and political violence in emerging countries. We use data on all preferential trade agreements (PTAs) signed between 25 low- and middle-in…
View article: Economic Determinants of Attitudes Toward Migration: Firm-level Evidence from Europe
Economic Determinants of Attitudes Toward Migration: Firm-level Evidence from Europe Open
What are the distributional consequences of migration, and how do they affect attitudes toward migration? In this paper we leverage a natural experiment generated by the ousting of former Libyan dictator Muammar Gaddafi, which created an u…
View article: Replication Data for "Economic Determinants of Attitudes toward Migration: Firm-level Evidence from Europe"
Replication Data for "Economic Determinants of Attitudes toward Migration: Firm-level Evidence from Europe" Open
What are the distributional consequences of migration, and how do they affect attitudes toward migration? This paper leverages a natural experiment generated by the ousting of former Libyan dictator Muammar Gaddafi, which created an unprec…
View article: Replication Data for: Austerity, Economic Vulnerability, and Populism
Replication Data for: Austerity, Economic Vulnerability, and Populism Open
Governments have repeatedly adjusted fiscal policy in recent decades. We examine the political effects of these adjustments in Europe since the 1990s using both district-level election outcomes and individual-level voting data. We expect a…
View article: Services, Jobs, and Economic Development in Africa
Services, Jobs, and Economic Development in Africa Open
This article presents data and analyzes the structure of employment in 13 African economies at the administrative unit level, with a focus on the role of services. We provide two novel pieces of evidence. First, we present a descriptive sn…
View article: The Social Construction of Global Health Priorities: An Empirical Analysis of Contagion in Bilateral Health Aid
The Social Construction of Global Health Priorities: An Empirical Analysis of Contagion in Bilateral Health Aid Open
Donors of development assistance for health typically provide funding for a range of disease focus areas, such as maternal health and child health, malaria, HIV/AIDS, and other infectious diseases. But funding for each disease category doe…
View article: In explaining the rise of populism, it’s not economic anxiety vs. identity politics – it’s both.
In explaining the rise of populism, it’s not economic anxiety vs. identity politics – it’s both. Open
Many commentators attributed Donald Trump’s surprise 2016 election victory to the role played by voters heavily affected by deindustrialization, often located in the so-called Midwestern ‘Rust Belt’. In new research which examines voting p…
View article: Trade Liberalization and Labor Market Institutions
Trade Liberalization and Labor Market Institutions Open
While the firm-level distributional consequences of market liberalization are well understood, previous studies have paid only limited attention to how variations in domestic institutions across countries affect the winners and losers from…
View article: Replication Data for: Trade Liberalization and Labor Market Institutions
Replication Data for: Trade Liberalization and Labor Market Institutions Open
While the firm-level distributional consequences of market liberalization are well understood, previous studies have paid only limited attention to how variations in domestic institutions across countries affect the winners and losers from…
View article: Replication Data for: Gone For Good: Deindustrialization, White Voter Backlash, and US Presidential Voting
Replication Data for: Gone For Good: Deindustrialization, White Voter Backlash, and US Presidential Voting Open
Data to replicate the results in the paper "Gone For Good: Deindustrialization, White Voter Backlash, and US Presidential Voting".
View article: Terrorism and Voting Behavior: Evidence from the United States
Terrorism and Voting Behavior: Evidence from the United States Open
This paper examines the impact of terrorism on voting behavior in the United States. We rely on an exhaustive list of terror attacks over the period 1970-2016 and exploit the inherent randomness of the success or failure of terror attacks …
View article: Terrorism and Voting Behavior: Evidence from the United States
Terrorism and Voting Behavior: Evidence from the United States Open
This article examines the impact of terrorism on voting behavior in the United States. We rely on an exhaustive list of terror attacks over the period 1970–2016 and exploit the inherent randomness of the success or failure of terror attack…
View article: Replication Data for: Terrorism and Voting Behavior: Evidence from the United States
Replication Data for: Terrorism and Voting Behavior: Evidence from the United States Open
Replication Data for: Terrorism and Voting Behavior: Evidence from the United States
View article: Explaining Governors’ Response to the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States
Explaining Governors’ Response to the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States Open
What has been the response of U.S. governors to the COVID-19 pandemic? In this research note, we explore the determinants of implementing stay-at-home orders, focusing on governors’ characteristics in the early stage of the pandemic. In ou…
View article: The COVID-19 Pandemic and US Presidential Elections
The COVID-19 Pandemic and US Presidential Elections Open
What is the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we estimate the effect of COVID-19 cases and deaths on the change in county-level voting for Donald Trump between 2016 and 2…
View article: Agricultural Comparative Advantage and Legislators' Support for Trade Agreements
Agricultural Comparative Advantage and Legislators' Support for Trade Agreements Open
Dataset and dofile to replicate all (manuscript and appendix) tables in "Agricultural Comparative Advantage and Legislators' Support for Trade Agreements".
View article: Do natural disasters help the environment? How voters respond and what that means
Do natural disasters help the environment? How voters respond and what that means Open
This paper examines whether voters’ experience of extreme weather events such as flooding increases voting in favor of climate protection measures. While the large majority of individuals do not hold consistent opinions on climate issues, …
View article: Do Natural Disasters Help the Environment? How Voters Respond and What That Means
Do Natural Disasters Help the Environment? How Voters Respond and What That Means Open
This paper examines whether voters’ experience of extreme weather events such as flooding increases voting in favor of climate protection measures. While the large majority of individuals do not hold consistent opinions on climate issues, …
View article: all data for CH.tab
all data for CH.tab Open
:unav
View article: ch_geom.Rds
ch_geom.Rds Open
:unav