Explanipedia

Betting on momentum in contests Open

Marius Ötting, Christian Deutscher, Carl Singleton, Luca De Angelis · 2025

With unprecedented access to volumes and prices of state‐contingent claims by a major bookmaker, second‐by‐second in‐play football betting markets, we study what happens after major breaking news. We focus on what might look like a shift i…

Shocking concerns: public perception about climate change and the macroeconomy Open

Giovanni Angelini, Maria Elena Bontempi, Luca De Angelis, Paolo Neri, Marco M. Sorge · 2025

Public perceptions of climate change arguably contribute to shaping private adaptation and support for policy intervention. In this paper, we propose a novel Climate Concern Index (CCI), based on disaggregated web-search volumes related to…

From Climate Chat to Climate Shock: Non‐Linear Impacts of Transition Risk in Energy <span>CDS</span> Markets Open

Emanuele Campiglio, Luca De Angelis, Paolo Neri, Ginevra Scalisi · 2025

It is still unclear to what extent transition risks are being internalized by financial investors. In this paper, we provide a novel investigation of the impact of media‐based measures of transition risks on the credit risk of energy compa…

Monte Carlo meets Wimbledon: Elo-based simulations for predicting tennis tournament winners Open

Luca De Angelis, S. L. Paveri Fontana · 2025

Perspectives on AI use in medicine: views of the Italian Society of Artificial Intelligence in Medicine Open

Francesco Andrea Causio, Luca De Angelis, Giacomo Diedenhofen, Angelo Talio, Francesco Baglivo · 2024

The first annual meeting of the Italian Society for Artificial Intelligence in Medicine (Società Italiana Intelligenza Artificiale in Medicina, SIIAM) on December 7, 2023, marked a significant milestone in integrating artificial intelligen…

Greenness Confusion and the Greenium Open

Luca De Angelis, Irene Monasterolo · 2024

Look Up and Ahead: How Climate Scenarios Affect European Sovereign Risk Open

Luca De Angelis, Irene Monasterolo, Luca Zanin · 2024

From Climate Chat to Climate Shock: Non-Linear Impacts of Transition Risk in Energy CDS Markets Open

Emanuele Campiglio, Luca De Angelis, Paolo Neri, Ginevra Scalisi · 2024

Review of: "Variable selection in generalized extreme value regression model using Bootstrap method" Open

Luca De Angelis · 2023

Potential competing interests: No potential competing interests to declare.The paper deals with model selection in Generalized Extreme Value regression models as proposed by Calabrese and Osmetti (2013).The Authors identify the bootstrap a…

Automated surveillance system for surgical site infections from hospital discharge letters Open

Luca De Angelis, F Baglivo, Guglielmo Arzilli, Angelo Baggiani, G Gemignani , et al. · 2023

Background The surgical site infection (SSI) occurs in the part of the body where the surgery took place within 30 days. In Europe, 1-10% of surgical patients develop a SSI. Clinical reporting can play an important role in identifying SSIs…

Artificial Intelligence Chatbots for medical training in Public Health: a tool to explore Open

F Baglivo, Luca De Angelis, Virginia Casigliani, Guglielmo Arzilli, Gaetano Pierpaolo Privitera , et al. · 2023

Background Artificial intelligence (AI) is a rapidly developing field with the potential to transform various aspects of healthcare and public health including medical training. During the ‘Hygiene and Public Health’ course for fifth-year …

Adaptive information-based methods for determining the co-integration rank in heteroskedastic VAR models Open

H. Peter Boswijk, Giuseppe Cavaliere, Luca De Angelis, Robert Taylor · 2023

Standard methods, such as sequential procedures based on Johansen’s (pseudo-)likelihood ratio (PLR) test, for determining the co-integration rank of a vector autoregressive (VAR) system of variables integrated of order one can be significa…

From Climate Chat to Climate Shock: Non-Linear Impacts of Transition Risk in Energy CDS Markets Open

Emanuele Campiglio, Luca De Angelis, Paolo Neri, Ginevra Scalisi · 2023

'I'm Stranded': Transition Risk Information in CDS and Options Open

Umberto Cherubini, Luca De Angelis, Paolo Neri · 2023

From Climate Chat to Climate Shock: Non-linear Impacts of Transition Risk in Energy CDs Markets Open

Emanuele Campiglio, Luca De Angelis, Paolo Neri, Ginevra Scalisi · 2023

Gambling on Momentum Open

Marius Ötting, Christian Deutscher, Carl Singleton, Luca De Angelis · 2022

Sports betting markets are proven real-world laboratories to test theories of asset pricing anomalies and risky behaviour. Using a high-frequency dataset provided directly by a major bookmaker, containing the odds and amounts staked throug…

Home advantage and mispricing in indoor sports’ ghost games: the case of European basketball Open

Luca De Angelis, J. James Reade · 2022

Several recent studies suggest that the home advantage, that is, the benefit competitors accrue from performing in familiar surroundings, was—at least temporarily—reduced in games played without spectators due to the COVID-19 Pandemic. The…

Time-Varying Poisson Autoregression Open

Giovanni Angelini, Giuseppe Cavaliere, Enzo D’Innocenzo, Luca De Angelis · 2022

In this paper we propose a new time-varying econometric model, called Time-Varying Poisson AutoRegressive with eXogenous covariates (TV-PARX), suited to model and forecast time series of counts. {We show that the score-driven framework is …

Adaptive information-based methods for determining the co-integration rank in heteroskedastic VAR models Open

H. Peter Boswijk, Giuseppe Cavaliere, Luca De Angelis, Robert Taylor · 2022

Standard methods, such as sequential procedures based on Johansen's (pseudo-)likelihood ratio (PLR) test, for determining the co-integration rank of a vector autoregressive (VAR) system of variables integrated of order one can be significa…

Informational efficiency and behaviour within in-play prediction markets Open

Giovanni Angelini, Luca De Angelis, Carl Singleton · 2021

Weighted Elo rating for tennis match predictions Open

Giovanni Angelini, Vincenzo Candila, Luca De Angelis · 2021

Chiral three-nucleon force and continuum for dripline nuclei and beyond Open

Y. Z., F. R. Xu, L. Coraggio, B. S. Hu, J.G. Li , et al. · 2020

Blind to carbon risk? An analysis of stock market reaction to the Paris Agreement Open

Irene Monasterolo, Luca De Angelis · 2020

Contribution of chiral three-body forces to the monopole component of the effective shell-model Hamiltonian Open

Y. Z., L. Coraggio, Luca De Angelis, Tokuro Fukui, A. Gargano , et al. · 2019

We present a study of the role played by realistic three-body forces in providing a reliable monopole component of the effective shell-model Hamiltonian. To this end, starting from a nuclear potential built up within the chiral perturbatio…

Renormalization of the Gamow-Teller operator within the realistic shell model Open

L. Coraggio, Luca De Angelis, Tokuro Fukui, A. Gargano, N. Itaco , et al. · 2019

In nuclear structure calculations, the choice of a limited model space, due to computational needs, leads to the necessity to renormalize the Hamiltonian as well as any transition operator. Here, we present a study of the renormalization p…

Informational Efficiency and Price Reaction Within In-Play Prediction Markets Open

Giovanni Angelini, Luca De Angelis, Carl Singleton · 2019

Chiral three-body force and monopole properties of shell-model Hamiltonian Open

Tokuro Fukui, L. Coraggio, Luca De Angelis, A. Gargano, N. Itaco , et al. · 2019

So far, the nature of three-nucleon forces (3NFs) derived by the chiral effective field theory has been intensively investigated by various theoretical approaches. In this work, to address the chiral 3NF within the shell-model framework, t…

Realistic shell-model calculations for -shell nuclei including contributions of a chiral three-body force Open

Tokuro Fukui, Luca De Angelis, Y. Z., L. Coraggio, A. Gargano , et al. · 2018

In this study we present an evolution of our derivation of the shell-model effective Hamiltonian, namely introducing effects of three-body contributions. More precisely, we consider a three-body potential at next-to-next-to-leading order i…

Two-neutrino Double-Beta Decay within the Realistic Shell Model Open

L. Coraggio, Luca De Angelis, Tokuro Fukui, A. Gargano, N. Itaco · 2018

We report on the calculation of double-β decay properties of 130Te and 136Xe within the framework of the realistic shell model. The effective shell-model Hamiltonian and Gamow-Teller transition operator are derived by way of many-body pert…

Are Financial Markets Pricing Carbon Risks After the Paris Agreement? An Assessment of Low-Carbon and Carbon-Intensive Stock Market Indices Open

Irene Monasterolo, Luca De Angelis · 2018

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