Michel Lubrano
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Covid-19 vaccine benefit during the Omicron wave in France Open
During the Covid-19 pandemic, the Omicron wave was notable for its highly transmissible and contagious variant of concern, coinciding with the availability of a vaccine that has been rolled out well earlier. In this paper, we address two k…
Bayesian inference for income inequality using a Pareto II tail with an uncertain threshold: Combining EU-SILC and WID data Open
When estimated from survey data alone, the distribution of high incomes in a population may be misrepresented, as surveys typically provide detailed coverage of the lower part of the income distribution, but offer limited information on to…
Explicit solutions for the asymptotically optimal bandwidth in cross-validation Open
We show that least-squares cross-validation methods share a common structure that has an explicit asymptotic solution, when the chosen kernel is asymptotically separable in bandwidth and data. For density estimation with a multivariate Stu…
Bayesian correction for missing rich using a Pareto II tail with unknown threshold: Combining EU-SILC and WID data Open
Survey data are known for under-reporting rich households while providing large information on contextual variables. Tax data provide a better representation of top incomes at the expense of lacking any contextual variables. So the literat…
Bayesian inference for non-anonymous growth incidence curves using Bernstein polynomials: an application to academic wage dynamics Open
The paper examines the question of non-anonymous Growth Incidence Curves (na-GIC) from a Bayesian inferential point of view. Building on the notion of conditional quantiles of Barnett (1976. “The Ordering of Multivariate Data.” Journal of …
The Bayesian approach to poverty measurement Open
International audience
Bayesian inference for non-anonymous growth incidence curves using Bernstein polynomials: an application to academic wage dynamics Open
The paper examines the question of non-anonymous Growth Incidence Curves (na-GIC) from a Bayesian inferential point of view. Building on the notion of conditional quantiles of Barnett (1976. "The Ordering of Multivariate Data." Journal of …
Preference for Redistribution, Poverty Perception among Chinese Migrants Open
We analyse preference for redistribution and the perceived role of "circumstances" and "effort" in China within the framework of the belief in a just world hypothesis (BJW) using the 2006 CGSS. As this very rich data base does not include …
Optimal lockdowns for COVID‐19 pandemics: Analyzing the efficiency of sanitary policies in Europe Open
Two main nonpharmaceutical policy strategies have been used in Europe in response to the COVID‐19 epidemic: one aimed at natural herd immunity and the other at avoiding saturation of hospital capacity by crushing the curve. The two strateg…
Optimal lockdowns: Analysing the efficiency of sanitary policies in Europe during the first wave Open
Uprising in China, the global COVID-19 epidemic soon started to spread out in Europe. As no medical treatment was available, it became urgent to design optimal non-pharmaceutical policies. With the help of a SIR model, we contrast two poli…
Bayesian Inference for Distributional Changes: The Effect of Western TV on Wage Inequality and Female Participation in Former East Germany Open
This paper investigates the evolution of wage formation in a Mincer model with sample selection for which we develop Bayesian inference and growth incidence and poverty growth curves. We estimate the effect of an exogenous exposure to West…
Lie of the Weak: Inconsistent Corporate Social Responsibility Activities of Chinese Zombie Firms Open
This study investigates the differences between zombie firms and non-zombie firms in corporate social responsibility activities such as reporting, disclosure and fulfillment. Using Chinese listing company data collected from 2009 to 2016, …
The Effect of Aspirations on Inequality: Evidence from the German Reunification using Bayesian Growth Incidence Curves Open
A long-standing literature has investigated the formation of aspirations and how they shape human behaviours but a recent interest has been devoted on the interplay between aspirations and inequality. Because aspirations are socially deter…
The Wall’s Impact in the Occupied West Bank: A Bayesian Approach to Poverty Dynamics Using Repeated Cross-Sections Open
In 2002, the Israeli government decided to build a wall inside the occupied West Bank. The wall had a marked effect on the access to land and water resources as well as to the Israeli labour market. It is difficult to include the effect of…
Bayesian Inference for TIP curves: An Application to Child Poverty in Germany Open
TIP curves are cumulative poverty gap curves used for representing the three different aspects of poverty: incidence, intensity and inequality. The paper provides Bayesian inference for TIP curves, linking their expression to a parametric …
Education Politics, Schooling Choice and Public School Quality: The Impact of Income Polarisation Open
What is the role of income polarisation for explaining differentials in public funding of education? To answer this question, we provide a new theoretical modelling for the income distribution that can directly monitor income polarisation.…