Mark A. Wynne
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View article: The Problem of Quality Change in Historical Price Statistics: An Illustrative Example Using Baedeker Travel Guides
The Problem of Quality Change in Historical Price Statistics: An Illustrative Example Using Baedeker Travel Guides Open
View article: Ties that Bind: Estimating the Natural Rate of Interest for Small Open Economies
Ties that Bind: Estimating the Natural Rate of Interest for Small Open Economies Open
This paper estimates the natural rate of interest for six small open economies (Australia, Canada, South Korea, Sweden, Switzerland, and the U.K.) with a structural New Keynesian model using Bayesian techniques.Our empirical analysis estab…
View article: Shock-Dependent Exchange Rate Pass-Through: Evidence Based on a Narrative Sign Approach
Shock-Dependent Exchange Rate Pass-Through: Evidence Based on a Narrative Sign Approach Open
This paper studies shock-dependent exchange rate pass-through for Japan with a Bayesian structural vector autoregression model.We identify the shocks by complementing the traditional sign and zero restrictions with narrative sign restricti…
View article: Shock-Dependent Exchange Rate Pass-Through: Evidence Based on a Narrative Sign Approach
Shock-Dependent Exchange Rate Pass-Through: Evidence Based on a Narrative Sign Approach Open
View article: Shock-Dependent Exchange Rate Pass-Through: Evidence Based on a Narrative Sign Approach
Shock-Dependent Exchange Rate Pass-Through: Evidence Based on a Narrative Sign Approach Open
This paper studies shock-dependent exchange rate pass-through for Japan with a Bayesian structural vector autoregression model. We identify the shocks by complementing the traditional sign and zero restrictions with narrative sign restrict…
View article: Ties that Bind: Estimating the Natural Rate of Interest for Small Open Economies
Ties that Bind: Estimating the Natural Rate of Interest for Small Open Economies Open
This paper estimates the natural interest rate for six small open economies (Australia, Canada, South Korea, Sweden, Switzerland and the U.K.) with a structural New Keynesian model using Bayesian techniques.Our empirical analysis establish…
View article: Ties that Bind: Estimating the Natural Rate of Interest for Small Open Economies
Ties that Bind: Estimating the Natural Rate of Interest for Small Open Economies Open
View article: The Heterogeneous Effects of Global and National Business Cycles on Employment in U.S. States and Metropolitan Areas
The Heterogeneous Effects of Global and National Business Cycles on Employment in U.S. States and Metropolitan Areas Open
The growth of globalization in recent decades has increased the importance of external factors as drivers of the business cycle in many countries. Globalization affects countries not just at the macro level but at the level of states and m…
View article: Global, National Business Cycles and Energy Explain Texas Metro Growth
Global, National Business Cycles and Energy Explain Texas Metro Growth Open
A mix of global, national and state-specific shocks help drive employment fluctuations between U.S. states. Econometric modeling shows such differences among metropolitan areas also reflect a mix of shocks. Texas cities strongly tied to oi…
View article: The Heterogeneous Effects of Global and National Business Cycles on Employment in U.S. States and Metropolitan Areas
The Heterogeneous Effects of Global and National Business Cycles on Employment in U.S. States and Metropolitan Areas Open
The growth of globalization in recent decades has increased the importance of external factors as drivers of the business cycle in many countries.Globalization affects countries not just at the macro level but at the level of states and me…
View article: MDY volume 21 issue 7 Cover and Back matter
MDY volume 21 issue 7 Cover and Back matter Open
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View article: MEASURING THE WORLD NATURAL RATE OF INTEREST
MEASURING THE WORLD NATURAL RATE OF INTEREST Open
This article makes the first attempt to estimate the time‐varying natural rate jointly with the output gap and trend potential output growth for the world as a whole using a simple unobserved components model broadly following the methodol…
View article: Diversification and Specialization of U.S. States
Diversification and Specialization of U.S. States Open
This paper documents the evolution of the international relationships of individual U.S. states along three dimensions: trade, migration, and finance. We examine how specialized or diversified state economies differ in terms of the product…
View article: Global and National Shocks Explain a Large Share of State Job Growth
Global and National Shocks Explain a Large Share of State Job Growth Open
Global and U.S. national shocks on average appear to equally explain more than half of the fluctuations in state employment growth, an important measure of assessing real economic activity. The overall assessment, however, conceals a wide …
View article: Measuring the World Natural Rate of Interest
Measuring the World Natural Rate of Interest Open
This paper makes the first attempt to estimate the time-varying natural rate jointly with the output gap and trend potential output growth for the world as a whole using a simple unobserved components model broadly following the methodolog…
View article: Estimating the Natural Rate of Interest in an Open Economy
Estimating the Natural Rate of Interest in an Open Economy Open
The concept of the natural or equilibrium rate of interest has attracted a lot of attention from monetary policymakers in recent years.Most attempts to estimate the natural rate use a closed economy framework.We argue that in the face of g…
View article: Global demographic trends shape policy environment
Global demographic trends shape policy environment Open
Demographics are key determinants of what is economically feasible at both the global and national levels. Demographics also have important implications for monetary policy. Slower population and labor force growth in the coming decades wi…
View article: Diversification and Specialization of U.S. States
Diversification and Specialization of U.S. States Open
This paper documents the evolution of the international relationships of individual U.S. states along three dimensions: trade, migration, and finance.We examine how specialized or diversified state economies differ in terms of the products…
View article: Central Bank Communications: A Case Study
Central Bank Communications: A Case Study Open
Over the past twenty five years, central bank communications have undergone a major revolution.Central banks that previously shrouded themselves in mystery now embrace social media to get their message out to the widest audience.The Federa…
View article: International Migration Remains the Last Frontier of Globalization
International Migration Remains the Last Frontier of Globalization Open
Allowing greater international migration, though controversial, offers the potential of outsized economic output gains relative to what?s possible with further liberalization of trade or capital flows.
View article: Texas maintains top exporter standing while its trade remains concentrated
Texas maintains top exporter standing while its trade remains concentrated Open
While Texas has become the nation?s top exporting state, benefiting from trade of intermediate goods to Mexico and a global presence as an energy hub, its export activity remains concentrated relative to the U.S. and other states.