Jonathan M. Winter
YOU?
Author Swipe
View article: Projected runoff declines from plant physiological effects on precipitation
Projected runoff declines from plant physiological effects on precipitation Open
The impact of plants on runoff under high atmospheric CO 2 is a major uncertainty for future water resources. Theory and Earth system models (ESMs) suggest that stricter plant stomatal regulation under high CO 2 will reduce transpiration, …
View article: Quality gap in nursing home antipsychotic quality measure performance increases over pandemic, reversing past gains
Quality gap in nursing home antipsychotic quality measure performance increases over pandemic, reversing past gains Open
CONTEXT: Since 2011, CMS has graded nursing home (NH) performance in antipsychotic (AP) prescribing quarterly, publishing findings as a quality measure (QM). While average AP prescribing has decreased since 2011, marked performance variati…
View article: Long-stay gabapentin increases explained: A national nursing home clinician survey on prescribing intent
Long-stay gabapentin increases explained: A national nursing home clinician survey on prescribing intent Open
CONTEXT: Much conjecture but little hard data exists to explain why gabapentin prescribing in nursing homes (NHs) has doubled in the last decade. Gabapentin, an anti-seizure medication, is approved to treat partial seizures as well as post…
View article: Projected runoff declines from plant physiological effects on precipitation
Projected runoff declines from plant physiological effects on precipitation Open
The impact of plants on runoff under high atmospheric CO2 is a major uncertainty for the future of global water resources. An emerging consensus based on theory and Earth System Models (ESMs) suggests that stricter plant stomatal regulatio…
View article: Projected runoff declines from plant physiological effects on precipitation
Projected runoff declines from plant physiological effects on precipitation Open
The impact of plants on runoff under high atmospheric CO2 is a major uncertainty for future water resources. Theory and Earth System Models (ESMs) suggest that stricter plant stomatal regulation under high CO2 will reduce transpiration, po…
View article: HPB P37 Sustaining and rebuilding a laparoscopic cholecystectomy service in the COVID and post-COVID era
HPB P37 Sustaining and rebuilding a laparoscopic cholecystectomy service in the COVID and post-COVID era Open
Background In the Belfast Trust (BHSCT), general surgery provision is complex- segregated into emergency and elective care, across multiple sites. The Emergency Surgical Unit (EmSU) provides ‘hot’ laparoscopic cholecystectomy (LC), and asi…
View article: A logic model to delineate the outcomes, consequences, and QI implications of CMS’s National Partnership
A logic model to delineate the outcomes, consequences, and QI implications of CMS’s National Partnership Open
CONTEXT: The National Partnership to Improve Dementia Care in Nursing Homes (NP) engages multiple stakeholder groups and impacts others. To facilitate ongoing improvement in long-stay dementia care, we set out to assess the perspectives of…
View article: Nursing home clinicians increased prescribing of all psychotropic medications for dementia symptoms over the pandemic
Nursing home clinicians increased prescribing of all psychotropic medications for dementia symptoms over the pandemic Open
CONTEXT: Staff shortages, loss of family/community supports, and isolation protocols have impeded nursing home (NH) dementia symptom management during Covid-19. OBJECTIVE: To explore the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the medication an…
View article: Irrigation benefits outweigh costs in more US croplands by mid-century
Irrigation benefits outweigh costs in more US croplands by mid-century Open
Irrigation can increase crop yields and could be a key climate adaptation strategy. However, future water availability is uncertain. Here we explore the economic costs and benefits of existing and expanded irrigation of maize and soybean t…
View article: pDSSAT simulation output and campaign files for maize and soybean under historical, mid century, and end of century climates
pDSSAT simulation output and campaign files for maize and soybean under historical, mid century, and end of century climates Open
This repositoty contains crop model campaign and output files from the gridded version of the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) crop model to support the following publication: Partridge, T.F., Winter, Kendall, A.…
View article: Selective Admission Decisions and Quality-Measure Scores in Desirable, Highly Resourced Nursing Homes
Selective Admission Decisions and Quality-Measure Scores in Desirable, Highly Resourced Nursing Homes Open
CONTEXT: Nursing homes are graded for quality, with antipsychotic use a key quality-measure contributing to CMS’s ‘5 Star’ facility rating. Some nursing homes have drastically improved their antipsychotic quality-measure score, while other…
View article: Robust bias-correction of precipitation extremes using a novel hybrid empirical quantile-mapping method
Robust bias-correction of precipitation extremes using a novel hybrid empirical quantile-mapping method Open
High-resolution, daily precipitation climate products that realistically represent extremes are critical for evaluating local-scale climate impacts. A popular bias-correction method, empirical quantile mapping (EQM), can generally correct …
View article: Climate Change‐Legacy Phosphorus Synergy Hinders Lake Response to Aggressive Water Policy Targets
Climate Change‐Legacy Phosphorus Synergy Hinders Lake Response to Aggressive Water Policy Targets Open
With mounting scientific evidence demonstrating adverse global climate change (GCC) impacts to water quality, water quality policies, such as the Total Maximum Daily Loads (TMDLs) under the U.S. Clean Water Act, have begun accounting for G…
View article: Crop-climate feedbacks boost US maize and soy yields
Crop-climate feedbacks boost US maize and soy yields Open
US maize and soy production have increased rapidly since the mid-20th century. While global warming has raised temperatures in most regions over this time period, trends in extreme heat have been smaller over US croplands, reducing crop-da…
View article: Sustainable Use of Groundwater May Dramatically Reduce Irrigated Production of Maize, Soybean, and Wheat
Sustainable Use of Groundwater May Dramatically Reduce Irrigated Production of Maize, Soybean, and Wheat Open
Groundwater extraction in the United States (US) is unsustainable, making it essential to understand the impacts of limited water use on irrigated agriculture. To improve this understanding, we integrated a gridded crop model with satellit…
View article: Robust Bias-Correction of Precipitation Extremes Using A Novel Hybrid Empirical Quantile Mapping Method: Advantages of A Linear Correction For Extremes
Robust Bias-Correction of Precipitation Extremes Using A Novel Hybrid Empirical Quantile Mapping Method: Advantages of A Linear Correction For Extremes Open
High-resolution, daily precipitation climate products that realistically represent extremes are critical for evaluating local-scale climate impacts. A popular bias-correction method, empirical quantile mapping (EQM), can generally correct …
View article: Rise in Northeast US extreme precipitation caused by Atlantic variability and climate change
Rise in Northeast US extreme precipitation caused by Atlantic variability and climate change Open
Extreme precipitation (EP) in the Northeastern United States increased abruptly after 1996, coinciding with warming Atlantic sea surface temperatures (SSTs). We examine the importance of internal variability and external forcings (includin…
View article: Examining the Impacts of Great Lakes Temperature Perturbations on Simulated Precipitation in the Northeastern United States
Examining the Impacts of Great Lakes Temperature Perturbations on Simulated Precipitation in the Northeastern United States Open
Most inland water bodies are not resolved by general circulation models, requiring that lake surface temperatures be estimated. Given the large spatial and temporal variability of the surface temperatures of the North American Great Lakes,…
View article: Dilution and amplification effects in Lyme disease: Modeling the effects of reservoir-incompetent hosts on Borrelia burgdorferi sensu stricto transmission
Dilution and amplification effects in Lyme disease: Modeling the effects of reservoir-incompetent hosts on Borrelia burgdorferi sensu stricto transmission Open
The literature on Lyme disease includes a lively debate about the paradoxical role of changing deer populations. A decrease in the number of deer will both (1) reduce the incidence of Lyme disease by decreasing the host populations for tic…
View article: The hidden signature of temperature-moisture couplings in the heat sensitivity of global crops
The hidden signature of temperature-moisture couplings in the heat sensitivity of global crops Open
<p><strong>Rising air temperatures are a leading risk to global crop production and food security under climate change</strong><strong>. Recent research has emphasized the critical role of moisture availability in r…
View article: Anthropogenic Impacts on the Exceptional Precipitation of 2018 in the Mid-Atlantic United States
Anthropogenic Impacts on the Exceptional Precipitation of 2018 in the Mid-Atlantic United States Open
© 2020 American Meteorological Society. For information regarding reuse of this content and general copyright information, consult the AMS Copyright Policy (www.ametsoc.org/PUBSReuseLicenses).CORRESPONDING AUTHOR: Jonathan M. Winter, jonat…
View article: Effect of Rising Temperature on Lyme Disease:<i>Ixodes scapularis</i>Population Dynamics and<i>Borrelia burgdorferi</i>Transmission and Prevalence
Effect of Rising Temperature on Lyme Disease:<i>Ixodes scapularis</i>Population Dynamics and<i>Borrelia burgdorferi</i>Transmission and Prevalence Open
Warmer temperatures are expected to increase the incidence of Lyme disease through enhanced tick maturation rates and a longer season of transmission. In addition, there could be an increased risk of disease export because of infected mobi…
View article: Mid-20th century warming hole boosts US maize yields
Mid-20th century warming hole boosts US maize yields Open
The Corn Belt of the United States, one of the most agriculturally productive regions in the world, experienced a globally anomalous decrease in annual temperatures and a concurrent increase in precipitation during the mid- to late-20th ce…