Mark Rounsevell
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View article: Response of Global Forest Management to Changes in Wood Demand
Response of Global Forest Management to Changes in Wood Demand Open
Global wood harvests have steadily increased over the last several decades and are projected to continue growing to match demand for wood products. How forest managers respond to changes in wood demand depends not just on timber prices and…
View article: Pathway narratives towards a nature-positive European Union land system: operationalising the Nature Futures Framework for policy objectives
Pathway narratives towards a nature-positive European Union land system: operationalising the Nature Futures Framework for policy objectives Open
The Nature Futures Framework (NFF) aims to open up space for plural perspectives on human–nature relationships and to identify visions for people to navigate towards desirable nature-positive futures. Operationalising the NFF offers a way …
View article: InsNet-CRAFTY v1.0: integrating institutional network dynamics powered by large language models with land use change simulation
InsNet-CRAFTY v1.0: integrating institutional network dynamics powered by large language models with land use change simulation Open
To foster sustainable land use and management, it is crucial – but challenging – to enhance our understanding of how policy interventions influence decision-making actors and how these interactions can be effectively modelled. Key challeng…
View article: Simulating multiple human perspectives in socio-ecological systems using large language models
Simulating multiple human perspectives in socio-ecological systems using large language models Open
Understanding socio-ecological systems requires insights from diverse stakeholder perspectives, which are often hard to access. To enable alternative, simulation-based exploration of different stakeholder perspectives, we develop the HoPeS…
View article: Too Human to Model:The Uncanny Valley of LLMs in Social Simulation -- When Generative Language Agents Misalign with Modelling Principles
Too Human to Model:The Uncanny Valley of LLMs in Social Simulation -- When Generative Language Agents Misalign with Modelling Principles Open
Large language models (LLMs) have been increasingly used to build agents in social simulation because of their impressive abilities to generate fluent, contextually coherent dialogues. Such abilities can enhance the realism of models. Howe…
View article: Thirty years of drivers and patterns of land-use change across the Amazon biome
Thirty years of drivers and patterns of land-use change across the Amazon biome Open
View article: Justice can and should become a part of feasibility assessments for climate mitigation policies
Justice can and should become a part of feasibility assessments for climate mitigation policies Open
Concerns of justice are rarely considered within feasibility assessments of climate mitigation policies, even when present conditions and climate action itself have serious implications for vulnerable populations, potentially undermining t…
View article: Six decades of global crop yield increase and cropland expansion from 1960 to 2020
Six decades of global crop yield increase and cropland expansion from 1960 to 2020 Open
Population growth, changing consumption preferences, technological advances, globalised trade and environmental influences have all shaped global agriculture. An increasing demand for agricultural commodities has led to greater production …
View article: Where could climate-smart rewilding be located in Europe?
Where could climate-smart rewilding be located in Europe? Open
Climate-smart rewilding is a promising approach to ecological restoration that combines the benefits of dynamic and process-based restoration with carbon sequestration for climate change mitigation. However, little is known about suitable …
View article: Exploring the opportunities and challenges of using large language models to represent institutional agency in land system modelling
Exploring the opportunities and challenges of using large language models to represent institutional agency in land system modelling Open
Public policy institutions play crucial roles in the land system, but modelling their policy-making processes is challenging. Large language models (LLMs) offer a novel approach to simulating many different types of human decision-making, …
View article: Exploring outcome-driven policymaking on protected areas with an endogenous institutional model
Exploring outcome-driven policymaking on protected areas with an endogenous institutional model Open
View article: Enriching the European Shared Socio-Economic Pathways with Considerations of Biodiversity and Nature Using a Nexus Approach
Enriching the European Shared Socio-Economic Pathways with Considerations of Biodiversity and Nature Using a Nexus Approach Open
View article: Simulating endogenous institutional behaviour and policy implementation pathways within the land system
Simulating endogenous institutional behaviour and policy implementation pathways within the land system Open
View article: Enriching the European Shared Socio-economic Pathways with considerations of biodiversity and nature using a nexus approach
Enriching the European Shared Socio-economic Pathways with considerations of biodiversity and nature using a nexus approach Open
The global climate and biodiversity crises are deeply interconnected, yet current research and policy frameworks often treat them in isolation. The widely used Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs), which underpin climate change assessment…
View article: A coupled land use change-ecohydrological model for multi-seasonal arid agricultural systems: an Egyptian case study
A coupled land use change-ecohydrological model for multi-seasonal arid agricultural systems: an Egyptian case study Open
View article: Seeds for Change: Global Biodiversity Narratives Contingent on Values-Based Interpretations of the Global Biodiversity Framework
Seeds for Change: Global Biodiversity Narratives Contingent on Values-Based Interpretations of the Global Biodiversity Framework Open
View article: Power dynamics shape sustainability transitions in a modeled food system
Power dynamics shape sustainability transitions in a modeled food system Open
View article: Assessing the impact of strictly protecting 30%–50% of global land on carbon dynamics in natural and agricultural ecosystems
Assessing the impact of strictly protecting 30%–50% of global land on carbon dynamics in natural and agricultural ecosystems Open
Societal Impact Statement Strictly protected areas for nature conservation are a key policy to benefit biodiversity and climate change mitigation since reduced deforestation and ecosystem restoration enhance carbon stocks. However, there i…
View article: InsNet-CRAFTY v1.0: Integrating institutional network dynamics powered by large language models with land use change simulation
InsNet-CRAFTY v1.0: Integrating institutional network dynamics powered by large language models with land use change simulation Open
Understanding and modelling environmental policy interventions can contribute to sustainable land use and management but is challenging because of the complex interactions among various decision-making actors. Key challenges include endowi…
View article: Advanced photovoltaic technology can reduce land requirements and climate impact on energy generation
Advanced photovoltaic technology can reduce land requirements and climate impact on energy generation Open
View article: The EU’s new anti-deforestation law has severe loopholes that could be exploited by the forthcoming EU-MERCOSUR trade agreement
The EU’s new anti-deforestation law has severe loopholes that could be exploited by the forthcoming EU-MERCOSUR trade agreement Open
The EU deforestation regulation promises global green leadership, however, loopholes may lead to an increase in the trade of deforestation-implicit agricultural products. Ratification of the EU-MERCOSUR free trade agreement could exploit t…
View article: Typology analysis of Egyptian agricultural households reveals increasing income diversification and abandonment of agricultural activities
Typology analysis of Egyptian agricultural households reveals increasing income diversification and abandonment of agricultural activities Open
Egyptian agriculture is challenged by increasing demands from a rapidly expanding population, and insufficient water and arable land resources, exacerbated by the expected impact of climate change further reducing these resources. Recent g…
View article: An assessment of future rewilding potential in the United Kingdom
An assessment of future rewilding potential in the United Kingdom Open
Restoring ecosystems is an imperative for addressing biodiversity loss and climate change, and achieving the targets of the Kunming–Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework. One form of restoration, rewilding, may have particular promise but…
View article: Corrigendum to “Understanding the role of biodiversity in the climate, food, water, energy, transport and health nexus in Europe” [Sci. Total Environ. 925 (2024) 171692]
Corrigendum to “Understanding the role of biodiversity in the climate, food, water, energy, transport and health nexus in Europe” [Sci. Total Environ. 925 (2024) 171692] Open
View article: Generalisability & scalability
Generalisability & scalability Open
Abstract. Public policy institutions play crucial roles in the land system, but modelling their policy-making processes is challenging. Large Language Models (LLMs) offer a novel approach to simulating many different types…
View article: Comment on egusphere-2024-449
Comment on egusphere-2024-449 Open
Abstract. Public policy institutions play crucial roles in the land system, but modelling their policy-making processes is challenging. Large Language Models (LLMs) offer a novel approach to simulating many different types…
View article: Understanding the role of biodiversity in the climate, food, water, energy, transport and health nexus in Europe
Understanding the role of biodiversity in the climate, food, water, energy, transport and health nexus in Europe Open
Biodiversity underpins the functioning of ecosystems and the diverse benefits that nature provides to people, yet is being lost at an unprecedented rate. To halt or reverse biodiversity loss, it is critical to understand the complex interd…
View article: Exploring the opportunities and challenges of using large language models to represent institutional agency in land system modelling
Exploring the opportunities and challenges of using large language models to represent institutional agency in land system modelling Open
Public policy institutions play crucial roles in the land system, but modelling their policy-making processes is challenging. Large Language Models (LLMs) offer a novel approach to simulating many different types of human decision-making, …
View article: Exploring the Opportunities and Challenges of Using Large Language Models to Represent Institutional Agency in Land Use Modelling
Exploring the Opportunities and Challenges of Using Large Language Models to Represent Institutional Agency in Land Use Modelling Open
Institutional agencies play a crucial role in land use change, but modelling their decision-making processes is challenging due to the complexity of the environment they operate within and the bounded rationality of human organizations. La…
View article: Litigation challenging over-reliance on carbon dioxide removal requires quantitative feasibility assessment
Litigation challenging over-reliance on carbon dioxide removal requires quantitative feasibility assessment Open
Carbon dioxide removal (CDR) is an emerging frontier in climate change litigation1. CDR must play an important role in achieving global climate targets, by compensating for hard-to-abate emissions (such as from international transport). Ye…