Martha Bailey
YOU?
Author Swipe
View article: The Economics of Childbearing: Trends, Progress, and Challenges
The Economics of Childbearing: Trends, Progress, and Challenges Open
The neoclassical economics of childbearing turns 65 this year, marking the anniversary of Gary Becker's foundational article on the subject in 1960. This review article begins with a study of how childbearing has evolved in the United Stat…
View article: Who Is Financially Constrained in Their Choice of Contraceptive Method? Lessons from M-CARES
Who Is Financially Constrained in Their Choice of Contraceptive Method? Lessons from M-CARES Open
The Michigan Contraceptive Access, Research, and Evaluation Study (M-CARES) is a randomized control trial that examines how financial constraints affect the choice of contraceptives among uninsured individuals. Although all M-CARES partici…
View article: How the 1963 Equal Pay Act and 1964 Civil Rights Act Shaped the Gender Gap in Pay
How the 1963 Equal Pay Act and 1964 Civil Rights Act Shaped the Gender Gap in Pay Open
In the 1960s, two landmark statutes—the Equal Pay and Civil Rights Acts—targeted the long-standing practice of employment discrimination against U.S. women. For the next 15 years, the gender gap in median earnings among full-time, full-yea…
View article: How the 1963 Equal Pay Act and 1964 Civil Rights Act Shaped the Gender Gap in Pay
How the 1963 Equal Pay Act and 1964 Civil Rights Act Shaped the Gender Gap in Pay Open
View article: The Long-Run Effects of California's Paid Family Leave Act on Women's Careers and Childbearing: New Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Design and U.S. Tax Data
The Long-Run Effects of California's Paid Family Leave Act on Women's Careers and Childbearing: New Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Design and U.S. Tax Data Open
View article: The Effects of the Great Depression on Children’s Intergenerational Mobility
The Effects of the Great Depression on Children’s Intergenerational Mobility Open
This article examines the role of the Great Depression in shaping the intergenerational mobility of some of the most upwardly mobile cohorts of the twentieth century. Using newly linked census and vital records from the Longitudinal, Inter…
View article: The Long-Run Effects of California's Paid Family Leave Act on Women's Careers and Childbearing: New Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Design and U.S. Tax Data
The Long-Run Effects of California's Paid Family Leave Act on Women's Careers and Childbearing: New Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Design and U.S. Tax Data Open
View article: Effectiveness of Online Nutrition Education Modalities: A Narrative Review
Effectiveness of Online Nutrition Education Modalities: A Narrative Review Open
View article: The COVID-19 baby bump in the United States
The COVID-19 baby bump in the United States Open
We use natality microdata covering the universe of US. births for 2015 to 2021 and California births from 2015 through February 2023 to examine childbearing responses to the COVID-19 pandemic. We find that 60% of the 2020 decline in US fer…
View article: The creation of LIFE-M: The Longitudinal, Intergenerational Family Electronic Micro-Database project
The creation of LIFE-M: The Longitudinal, Intergenerational Family Electronic Micro-Database project Open
This paper describes the creation of the Longitudinal, Intergenerational Family Electronic Micro-Database (LIFE-M), a new data resource linking vital records and decennial censuses for millions of individuals and families living in the lat…
View article: Is the Social Safety Net a Long-Term Investment? Large-Scale Evidence From the Food Stamps Program
Is the Social Safety Net a Long-Term Investment? Large-Scale Evidence From the Food Stamps Program Open
We use novel, large-scale data on 17.5 million Americans to study how a policy-driven increase in economic resources affects children's long-term outcomes. Using the 2000 Census and 2001–13 American Community Survey linked to the Social Se…
View article: How Costs Limit Contraceptive Use among Low-Income Women in the U.S.: A Randomized Control Trial
How Costs Limit Contraceptive Use among Low-Income Women in the U.S.: A Randomized Control Trial Open
The Affordable Care Act eliminated cost-sharing for contraception for Americans with health insurance, but substantial cost sharing remains for uninsured individuals who seek care through Title X-a national family planning program that pro…
View article: How the 1963 Equal Pay Act and 1964 Civil Rights Act Shaped the Gender Gap in Pay
How the 1963 Equal Pay Act and 1964 Civil Rights Act Shaped the Gender Gap in Pay Open
In the 1960s, two landmark statutes-the Equal Pay and Civil Rights Acts-targeted the longstanding practice of employment discrimination against U.S. women.For the next 15 years, the gender gap in median earnings among full-time, full-year …
View article: How the 1963 Equal Pay Act and 1964 Civil Rights Act Shaped the Gender Gap in Pay
How the 1963 Equal Pay Act and 1964 Civil Rights Act Shaped the Gender Gap in Pay Open
View article: The Covid-19 Baby Bump: The Unexpected Increase in U.S. Fertility Rates in Response to the Pandemic
The Covid-19 Baby Bump: The Unexpected Increase in U.S. Fertility Rates in Response to the Pandemic Open
We use restricted natality microdata covering the universe of U.S. births for 2015-2021 and California births from 2015 to August 2022 to examine the childbearing response to the COVID-19 pandemic.Although fertility rates declined in 2020,…
View article: Breathing new life into death certificates: Extracting handwritten cause of death in the LIFE-M project
Breathing new life into death certificates: Extracting handwritten cause of death in the LIFE-M project Open
View article: Economic opportunity begins with contraception: Comment on “Intergenerational Mobility Begins Before Birth” by Ananth Seshadri, Anson Zhou
Economic opportunity begins with contraception: Comment on “Intergenerational Mobility Begins Before Birth” by Ananth Seshadri, Anson Zhou Open
View article: The Missing Baby Bust: The Consequences of the COVID-19 Pandemic for Contraceptive Use, Pregnancy, and Childbirth Among Low-Income Women
The Missing Baby Bust: The Consequences of the COVID-19 Pandemic for Contraceptive Use, Pregnancy, and Childbirth Among Low-Income Women Open
View article: The Missing Baby Bust: The Consequences of the COVID-19 Pandemic for Contraceptive Use, Pregnancy, and Childbirth among Low-Income Women
The Missing Baby Bust: The Consequences of the COVID-19 Pandemic for Contraceptive Use, Pregnancy, and Childbirth among Low-Income Women Open
Multiple episodes in U.S. history demonstrate that birth rates fall in response to recessions.However, the 2020 COVID-19 recession differed from earlier periods in that employment and access to contraception and abortion fell, as reproduct…
View article: Breathing New Life into Death Certificates: Extracting Cause of Death from Handwritten Records
Breathing New Life into Death Certificates: Extracting Cause of Death from Handwritten Records Open
View article: Prep School for Poor Kids: The Long-Run Impacts of Head Start on Human Capital and Economic Self-Sufficiency
Prep School for Poor Kids: The Long-Run Impacts of Head Start on Human Capital and Economic Self-Sufficiency Open
This paper evaluates the long-run effects of Head Start using large-scale, restricted administrative data. Using the county roll-out of Head Start between 1965 and 1980 and age-eligibility cutoffs for school entry, we find that Head Start …
View article: Changes in the US Gender Gap in Wages in the 1960s
Changes in the US Gender Gap in Wages in the 1960s Open
The 1960s witnessed landmark legislation that aimed to increase women's wages, including the Equal Pay Act of 1963, Title VII of the Civil Rights Act, and the 1966 amendments to the Fair Labor Standards Act. Although the gender gap in pay …
View article: The Economic Impact of a High National Minimum Wage: Evidence from the 1966 Fair Labor Standards Act
The Economic Impact of a High National Minimum Wage: Evidence from the 1966 Fair Labor Standards Act Open
This paper examines the short and longer-term economic effects of the 1966 Fair Labor Standards Act (FLSA) which increased the national minimum wage to its highest level of the 20th Century and extended coverage to an additional 9.1 millio…
View article: Does younger age at marriage affect divorce? Evidence from Johnson's Executive Order 11241
Does younger age at marriage affect divorce? Evidence from Johnson's Executive Order 11241 Open
Before President Johnson's Executive Order 11241 in August 1965, married men received lower draft priority for military service. As the Vietnam War escalated in the summer of 1965, anecdotal evidence suggests draft‐eligible men sought marr…
View article: Prep School for Poor Kids: The Long-Run Impacts of Head Start on Human Capital and Economic Self-Sufficiency
Prep School for Poor Kids: The Long-Run Impacts of Head Start on Human Capital and Economic Self-Sufficiency Open
This paper evaluates the long-run effects of Head Start using large-scale, restricted 2000-2018 Census-ACS data linked to the SSA's Numident file, which contains exact date and county of birth.Using the county rollout of Head Start between…
View article: How Well Do Automated Linking Methods Perform? Lessons from US Historical Data
How Well Do Automated Linking Methods Perform? Lessons from US Historical Data Open
This paper reviews the literature in historical record linkage in the United States and examines the performance of widely used record-linking algorithms and common variations in their assumptions. We use two high-quality, hand-linked data…
View article: Trends in Birth Rates After Elimination of Cost Sharing for Contraception by the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act
Trends in Birth Rates After Elimination of Cost Sharing for Contraception by the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act Open
In this cross-sectional study, the elimination of cost sharing for contraception under the ACA was associated with improvements in contraceptive method prescription fills and a decrease in births among commercially insured women. Women wit…
View article: The Demographic Effects of Dodging the Vietnam Draft
The Demographic Effects of Dodging the Vietnam Draft Open
This paper quantifies the impact of the Vietnam War on fertility rates in the late 1960s and early 1970s. For draft-eligible men wishing to avoid military service, the hardship deferment (III-A) for paternity created a powerful incentive t…
View article: Is the Social Safety Net a Long-Term Investment? Large-Scale Evidence from the Food Stamps Program
Is the Social Safety Net a Long-Term Investment? Large-Scale Evidence from the Food Stamps Program Open
We use novel, large-scale data on 43 million Americans from the 2000 Census and the 2001 to 2013 American Communities Survey linked to the Social Security Administration's NUMIDENT to study how a policy-driven increase in economic resource…
View article: The Economic Impact of a High National Minimum Wage: Evidence from the 1966 Fair Labor Standards Act
The Economic Impact of a High National Minimum Wage: Evidence from the 1966 Fair Labor Standards Act Open
This paper examines the short and longer-term economic effects of the 1966 Fair Labor Standards Act (FLSA) which increased the national minimum wage to its highest level of the 20th Century and extended coverage to an additional 9.1 millio…