Masahiko Haraguchi
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View article: Statistical Relationship Between Wastewater Data and Case Notifications for COVID-19 Surveillance in the United States From 2020 to 2023: Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling Approach
Statistical Relationship Between Wastewater Data and Case Notifications for COVID-19 Surveillance in the United States From 2020 to 2023: Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling Approach Open
Background During the COVID-19 pandemic, several US jurisdictions began to regularly report levels of SARS-CoV-2 in wastewater as a proxy for SARS-CoV-2 incidence. Despite the promise of this approach for improving COVID-19 situational awa…
View article: Statistical Relationship Between Wastewater Data and Case Notifications for COVID-19 Surveillance in the United States, 2020-2023: A Bayesian Hierarchical Model (Preprint)
Statistical Relationship Between Wastewater Data and Case Notifications for COVID-19 Surveillance in the United States, 2020-2023: A Bayesian Hierarchical Model (Preprint) Open
UNSTRUCTURED During the COVID-19 pandemic a number of jurisdictions in the United States began to regularly report levels of SARS-CoV-2 in wastewater for use as a proxy for SARS-CoV-2 incidence. Despite the promise of this approach for im…
View article: National- and state-level SARS-CoV-2 immunity trends from January 2020 to December 2023: a mathematical modeling analysis
National- and state-level SARS-CoV-2 immunity trends from January 2020 to December 2023: a mathematical modeling analysis Open
Introduction Effective immune protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection and severe COVID-19 disease continues to change due to viral evolution and waning immunity. We estimated population-level immunity to SARS-CoV-2 for each of the fifty Un…
View article: Statistical Relationship Between Wastewater Data and Case Notifications for COVID-19 Surveillance in the United States, 2020-2023: A Bayesian Hierarchical Model
Statistical Relationship Between Wastewater Data and Case Notifications for COVID-19 Surveillance in the United States, 2020-2023: A Bayesian Hierarchical Model Open
During the COVID-19 pandemic a number of jurisdictions in the United States began to regularly report levels of SARS-CoV-2 in wastewater for use as a proxy for SARS-CoV-2 incidence. Despite the promise of this approach for improving situat…
View article: Feed-in-tariff is key to Japan’s current biomass power’s viability, even with environmental externalities
Feed-in-tariff is key to Japan’s current biomass power’s viability, even with environmental externalities Open
Bioenergy is increasingly recognized as an effective tool for removing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. However, its economic feasibility remains underexplored, particularly when accounting for environmental impacts. This study proposes…
View article: Conversion strategy builds supply chain resilience during the COVID-19 pandemic: A typology and research directions
Conversion strategy builds supply chain resilience during the COVID-19 pandemic: A typology and research directions Open
This study proposes a novel typology of adaptation to hazards-a conversion strategy as a countermeasure to manage risks in interconnected supply chains. Conversion strategies are intended to transform one or multiple supply chain functions…
View article: Rainfall pattern analysis in 24 East Asian megacities using a complex network
Rainfall pattern analysis in 24 East Asian megacities using a complex network Open
Concurrent floods in multiple locations pose systemic risks to the interconnected economy in East Asia via supply chain disruptions. Despite these significant economic impacts, understanding of the interconnection between rainfall patterns…
View article: Cognitive biases affect adaptive behaviours to prevent heat-related illnesses: a survey of older adults in Kyoto, Japan
Cognitive biases affect adaptive behaviours to prevent heat-related illnesses: a survey of older adults in Kyoto, Japan Open
The frequency and severity of heatwaves are projected to rise due to climate change, increasing heat-related illness risks, particularly among older adults. Existing studies have predominantly focused on hazard and exposure factors as a di…
View article: Estimating return intervals for extreme climate conditions related to winter disasters and livestock mortality in Mongolia
Estimating return intervals for extreme climate conditions related to winter disasters and livestock mortality in Mongolia Open
Mass livestock mortality events during severe winters, a phenomenon that Mongolians call dzud, cause the country significant socioeconomic problems. Dzud is an example of a compound event, meaning that multiple climatic and social drivers …
View article: Economic vs. Epidemiological Approaches to Measuring the Human Capital Impacts of Infectious Disease Elimination
Economic vs. Epidemiological Approaches to Measuring the Human Capital Impacts of Infectious Disease Elimination Open
A rich economic literature has examined the human capital impacts of disease-eliminating health interventions, such as the rollout of new vaccines.This literature is based on reduced-form approaches which exploit proxies for disease burden…
View article: Resilience of Critical Infrastructure Systems: A Systematic Literature Review of Measurement Frameworks
Resilience of Critical Infrastructure Systems: A Systematic Literature Review of Measurement Frameworks Open
Critical infrastructures such as transportation, power, telecommunication, water supply, and hospitals play a vital role in effectively managing post-disaster responses. The resilience of critical infrastructures should be incorporated in …
View article: Reply on RC2
Reply on RC2 Open
Abstract. Mass livestock mortality events during severe winters, a phenomenon that Mongolians call dzud, cause the country significant socioeconomic problems. Dzud is an example of a compound event, meaning that multiple climatic and socia…
View article: Reply on RC1
Reply on RC1 Open
Abstract. Mass livestock mortality events during severe winters, a phenomenon that Mongolians call dzud, cause the country significant socioeconomic problems. Dzud is an example of a compound event, meaning that multiple climatic and socia…
View article: Effect of measles prevalence and vaccination coverage on other disease burden: evidence of measles immune amnesia in 46 African countries
Effect of measles prevalence and vaccination coverage on other disease burden: evidence of measles immune amnesia in 46 African countries Open
Measles vaccination can have a large impact on children's health because not only does it reduce the prevalence of measles cases and deaths but also could it potentially reduce the prevalence of and deaths due to other diseases.
View article: Comment on nhess-2021-258
Comment on nhess-2021-258 Open
Abstract. Mass livestock mortality events during severe winters, a phenomenon that Mongolians call dzud, cause the country significant socioeconomic problems. Dzud is an example of a compound event, meaning that multiple climatic and socia…
View article: Comment on nhess-2021-258
Comment on nhess-2021-258 Open
Mass livestock mortality events during severe winters, a phenomenon that Mongolians call dzud, cause the country significant socioeconomic problems. Dzud is an example of a compound event, meaning that multiple climatic and social drivers …
View article: Supplementary material to "Estimating Return Intervals for Extreme Climate Conditions Related to Winter Disasters and Livestock Mortality in Mongolia"
Supplementary material to "Estimating Return Intervals for Extreme Climate Conditions Related to Winter Disasters and Livestock Mortality in Mongolia" Open
SupplementS1: How to select a threshold for GPD.To fit a GPD, a threshold needs to be selected.We selected the thresholds in the following ways.Figure S.3 repeatedly fits the GPD to the data for a series of threshold choices along with unc…
View article: Estimating Return Intervals for Extreme Climate Conditions Related to Winter Disasters and Livestock Mortality in Mongolia
Estimating Return Intervals for Extreme Climate Conditions Related to Winter Disasters and Livestock Mortality in Mongolia Open
Mass livestock mortality events during severe winters, a phenomenon that Mongolians call dzud, cause the country significant socioeconomic problems. Dzud is an example of a compound event, meaning that multiple climatic and social drivers …
View article: Anaylsis of rainfall relationships in East Asia using a complex network
Anaylsis of rainfall relationships in East Asia using a complex network Open
Concurrent floods in multiple locations pose systemic risks to the interconnected economy in East Asia through supply chains. Despite the significant economic impacts, however, the understanding of the interconnection between rainfall patt…
View article: Innovations towards Climate-Induced Disaster Risk Assessment and Response
Innovations towards Climate-Induced Disaster Risk Assessment and Response Open
A changing climate may portend increasing disaster risk across many countries and business enterprises. While many aspects of the hazards, exposure and vulnerability that constitute disaster risk have been well studied, several challenges …
View article: Building Private Sector Resilience: Directions After the 2015 Sendai Framework
Building Private Sector Resilience: Directions After the 2015 Sendai Framework Open
During recent mega-disasters, such as the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake and the 2011 Thailand floods, interdependencies in supply chains caused substantial economic damage, often exacerbated by vulnerable small and medium enterprises (S…