Neal Fann
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View article: The risks to human health of air toxics, PM2.5, and ozone from the 2023 Canadian wildfires
The risks to human health of air toxics, PM2.5, and ozone from the 2023 Canadian wildfires Open
The 2023 Canadian wildfires resulted in substantial emissions to air. In this work, we used predicted concentrations of hazardous air pollutants (HAPs), fine particulate matter (PM2.5), and ozone across the U.S. and Canada to estimate the …
View article: Anthropogenic climate change contributes to wildfire particulate matter and related mortality in the United States
Anthropogenic climate change contributes to wildfire particulate matter and related mortality in the United States Open
Climate change has increased forest fire extent in temperate and boreal North America. Here, we quantified the contribution of anthropogenic climate change to human mortality and economic burden from exposure to wildfire particulate matter…
View article: Estimating Model-Based Marginal Societal Health Benefits of Air Pollution Emission Reductions in the United States and Canada.
Estimating Model-Based Marginal Societal Health Benefits of Air Pollution Emission Reductions in the United States and Canada. Open
We used BPTs to provide location-specific and sectoral estimates for the cobenefits of reducing carbon dioxide emissions from a range of combustion sources. Cobenefit estimates rely heavily on the emission characteristics of the sector and…
View article: Quantifying Multipollutant Health Impacts Using the Environmental Benefits Mapping and Analysis Program–Community Edition (BenMAP-CE): A Case Study in Atlanta, Georgia
Quantifying Multipollutant Health Impacts Using the Environmental Benefits Mapping and Analysis Program–Community Edition (BenMAP-CE): A Case Study in Atlanta, Georgia Open
Performing a multipollutant health impact assessment is technically feasible but computationally complex. It requires time, resources, and detailed input parameters not commonly reported in air pollution epidemiological studies. Results es…
View article: Adapting non-parametric spline representations of outdoor air pollution health effects associations for use in public health benefits assessment
Adapting non-parametric spline representations of outdoor air pollution health effects associations for use in public health benefits assessment Open
The magnitude and shape of the association between outdoor air pollution concentrations and health need to be characterized in order to estimate public health benefits from proposed mitigation strategies. Specialized parametric functions h…
View article: Applying a multistate survival model to explore the role of fine particles in promoting frailty in the Medicare cohort
Applying a multistate survival model to explore the role of fine particles in promoting frailty in the Medicare cohort Open
Fine particle pollution is a well-established risk to human health. Observational epidemiology generally treats events as though they are independent of one another and so do not examine the role air pollution may play in promoting the pro…
View article: Evaluating the sensitivity of mortality attributable to pollution to modeling Choices: A case study for Colorado
Evaluating the sensitivity of mortality attributable to pollution to modeling Choices: A case study for Colorado Open
We evaluated the sensitivity of estimated PM2.5 and NO2 health impacts to varying key input parameters and assumptions including: 1) the spatial scale at which impacts are estimated, 2) using either a single concentra…
View article: PM2.5-attributable mortality burden variability in the continental U.S.
PM2.5-attributable mortality burden variability in the continental U.S. Open
View article: Evaluating the Sensitivity of Mortality Attributable to Pollution to Modeling Choices: A Case Study for Colorado
Evaluating the Sensitivity of Mortality Attributable to Pollution to Modeling Choices: A Case Study for Colorado Open
We evaluated the sensitivity of estimated PM2.5 and NO2 health impacts to varying key input parameters and assumptions including: 1) the spatial scale at which impacts are estimated, 2) using either a single concentration-response function…
View article: The Social Cost of Ozone‐Related Mortality Impacts From Methane Emissions
The Social Cost of Ozone‐Related Mortality Impacts From Methane Emissions Open
Atmospheric methane directly affects surface temperatures and indirectly affects ozone, impacting human welfare, the economy, and environment. The social cost of methane (SC‐CH 4 ) metric estimates the costs associated with an additional m…
View article: The Social Cost of Ozone-Related Mortality Impacts from Methane Emissions
The Social Cost of Ozone-Related Mortality Impacts from Methane Emissions Open
Atmospheric methane directly affects surface temperatures and indirectly affects ozone, impacting human welfare, the economy, and environment. The social cost of methane (SC-CH4) metric estimates the costs associated with an additional ma…
View article: Evaluating reduced-form modeling tools for simulating ozone and PM <sub>2.5</sub> monetized health impacts
Evaluating reduced-form modeling tools for simulating ozone and PM <sub>2.5</sub> monetized health impacts Open
Reduced-form modeling approaches are an increasingly popular way to rapidly estimate air quality and human health impacts related to changes in air pollutant emissions.
View article: Applying a Multi-State Survival Model to Explore the Role of Fine Particles in Promoting Frailty in the Medicare Cohort
Applying a Multi-State Survival Model to Explore the Role of Fine Particles in Promoting Frailty in the Medicare Cohort Open
View article: Modeling future asthma attributable to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) in a changing climate: a health impact assessment
Modeling future asthma attributable to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) in a changing climate: a health impact assessment Open
View article: Dynamic Versus Static Modeling of Mortality-Related Benefits of PM<sub>2.5</sub> Reductions in the USA and Chile: 1990 to 2050
Dynamic Versus Static Modeling of Mortality-Related Benefits of PM<sub>2.5</sub> Reductions in the USA and Chile: 1990 to 2050 Open
Economic and health benefits assessments of air quality changes often quantify and report changes in deaths at a given point in time. The typical approach uses a method that attributes air pollution-related health impacts to a single year …
View article: The Role of Temperature in Modifying the Risk of Ozone-Attributable Mortality under Future Changes in Climate: A Proof-of-Concept Analysis
The Role of Temperature in Modifying the Risk of Ozone-Attributable Mortality under Future Changes in Climate: A Proof-of-Concept Analysis Open
Air pollution risk assessments typically estimate ozone-attributable mortality counts using concentration-response (C-R) parameters from epidemiologic studies that treat temperature as a potential confounder. However, some recent epidemiol…
View article: Reanalysis of the association between reduction in long-term PM2.5 concentrations and improved life expectancy
Reanalysis of the association between reduction in long-term PM2.5 concentrations and improved life expectancy Open
View article: The Role of a Changing Climate in Degrading Future Air Quality and Promoting New Cases of Asthma
The Role of a Changing Climate in Degrading Future Air Quality and Promoting New Cases of Asthma Open
View article: Associations Between Simulated Future Changes in Climate, Air Quality, and Human Health
Associations Between Simulated Future Changes in Climate, Air Quality, and Human Health Open
These findings suggest that reducing future air pollutant emissions could also reduce the climate-driven increase in deaths associated with air pollution by hundreds to thousands.
View article: New insights into the association of modeled long-term PM2.5 with life expectancy compared to measured PM2.5
New insights into the association of modeled long-term PM2.5 with life expectancy compared to measured PM2.5 Open
Much of the current evidence of associations between long-term PM2.5 and health outcomes relies on national or regional analyses using exposures derived directly from regulatory monitoring data. These findings could be affected by limited …
View article: CABOT-O<sub>3</sub>: An Optimization Model for Air Quality Benefit-Cost and Distributional Impacts Analysis
CABOT-O<sub>3</sub>: An Optimization Model for Air Quality Benefit-Cost and Distributional Impacts Analysis Open
Macpherson et al. (2017) presented a mathematical programming model that identifies minimum-cost control strategies that reduce emissions regionally to meet ambient air quality targets. This project introduces the Cost And Benefit Optimiza…
View article: Quantifying the Public Health Benefits of Reducing Air Pollution: Critically Assessing the Features and Capabilities of WHO’s AirQ+ and U.S. EPA’s Environmental Benefits Mapping and Analysis Program—Community Edition (BenMAP—CE)
Quantifying the Public Health Benefits of Reducing Air Pollution: Critically Assessing the Features and Capabilities of WHO’s AirQ+ and U.S. EPA’s Environmental Benefits Mapping and Analysis Program—Community Edition (BenMAP—CE) Open
Scientific evidence spanning experimental and epidemiologic studies has shown that air pollution exposures can lead to a range of health effects. Quantitative approaches that allow for the estimation of the adverse health impacts attribute…
View article: The recent and future health burden of the U.S. mobile sector apportioned by source
The recent and future health burden of the U.S. mobile sector apportioned by source Open
Mobile sources emit particulate matter as well as precursors to particulate matter (PM 2.5 ) and ground-level ozone, pollutants known to adversely impact human health. This study uses source-apportionment photochemical air quality modeling…
View article: Estimated health impacts from maritime transport in the Mediterranean region and benefits from the use of cleaner fuels
Estimated health impacts from maritime transport in the Mediterranean region and benefits from the use of cleaner fuels Open
View article: Ozone-related asthma emergency department visits in the US in a warming climate
Ozone-related asthma emergency department visits in the US in a warming climate Open
View article: A database for evaluating the InMAP, APEEP, and EASIUR reduced complexity air-quality modeling tools
A database for evaluating the InMAP, APEEP, and EASIUR reduced complexity air-quality modeling tools Open
Policy analysts and researchers often use models to translate expected emissions changes from pollution control policies to estimates of air pollution changes and resulting changes in health impacts. These models can include both photochem…
View article: Effects of Increasing Aridity on Ambient Dust and Public Health in the U.S. Southwest Under Climate Change
Effects of Increasing Aridity on Ambient Dust and Public Health in the U.S. Southwest Under Climate Change Open
The U.S. Southwest is projected to experience increasing aridity due to climate change. We quantify the resulting impacts on ambient dust levels and public health using methods consistent with the Environmental Protection Agency's Climate …
View article: Health benefits and control costs of tightening particulate matter emissions standards for coal power plants - The case of Northeast Brazil
Health benefits and control costs of tightening particulate matter emissions standards for coal power plants - The case of Northeast Brazil Open
Exposure to ambient particulate matter (PM) caused an estimated 4.2 million deaths worldwide in 2015. However, PM emission standards for power plants vary widely. To explore if the current levels of these standards are sufficiently stringe…
View article: Estimates of Present and Future Asthma Emergency Department Visits Associated With Exposure to Oak, Birch, and Grass Pollen in the United States
Estimates of Present and Future Asthma Emergency Department Visits Associated With Exposure to Oak, Birch, and Grass Pollen in the United States Open
Pollen is an important environmental cause of allergic asthma episodes. Prior work has established a proof of concept for assessing projected climate change impacts on future oak pollen exposure and associated health impacts. This paper us…
View article: Heat-Related Health Impacts under Scenarios of Climate and Population Change
Heat-Related Health Impacts under Scenarios of Climate and Population Change Open
Recent assessments have found that a warming climate, with associated increases in extreme heat events, could profoundly affect human health. This paper describes a new modeling and analysis framework, built around the Benefits Mapping and…