Nir Jaimovich
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View article: The Distributional Impact of Sectoral Supply and Demand Shifts: A Unified Framework
The Distributional Impact of Sectoral Supply and Demand Shifts: A Unified Framework Open
Economies routinely experience a variety of sector-specific supply and demand shifts.Yet, the distributional welfare consequences of these shifts are not well understood.We address this gap by developing an analytical framework that jointl…
View article: The Empirical Distribution of Firm Dynamics and Its Macro Implications
The Empirical Distribution of Firm Dynamics and Its Macro Implications Open
Heterogeneous firm models are ubiquitous in modern macroeconomics.We revisit a central feature of these models: the idiosyncratic shock process faced by firms.Using a large representative firm-level dataset, we document nonparametrically t…
View article: Location, location, location: manufacturing and house price growth
Location, location, location: manufacturing and house price growth Open
Exploiting data on tens of millions of housing transactions, we show that (1) house prices grew by less in manufacturing-heavy US regions and (2) that this pattern is especially present for the lowest-value homes. Counterfactual accounting…
View article: The Safety Net as a Springboard? A General Equilibrium Based Policy Evaluation
The Safety Net as a Springboard? A General Equilibrium Based Policy Evaluation Open
We develop a search-and-matching model where the magnitude of unemployment insurance benefits affects the likelihood that unemployed actually engage in active job search. To quan- titively discipline this relation we use administrative dat…
View article: The Macroeconomics of Automation: Data, Theory, and Policy Analysis
The Macroeconomics of Automation: Data, Theory, and Policy Analysis Open
During the last four decades, the U.S. has experienced a fall in the employment in middle-wage, "routine-task-intensive," occupations.We analyze the characteristics of those who used to be employed in such occupations and show that this ty…
View article: Disappearing middle class: job polarization and policy approaches
Disappearing middle class: job polarization and policy approaches Open
The creeping hollowing out of the middle class and the simultaneous rise of automation have become hotly debated topics in the popular media and among policymakers, and there is certainly no shortage of dire predictions about the ascent of…
View article: The macroeconomics of automation: data, theory, and policy analysis
The macroeconomics of automation: data, theory, and policy analysis Open
The U.S. economy has experienced a significant drop in the fraction of the population employed in middle wage, "routine task-intensive" occupations. Applying machine learning techniques, we identify characteristics of those who used to be …
View article: Job Polarization and Jobless Recoveries
Job Polarization and Jobless Recoveries Open
Job polarization refers to the shrinking share of employment in middle-skill, routine occupations experienced over the past 35 years. Jobless recoveries refers to the slow rebound in aggregate employment following recent recessions despite…
View article: Trading up and the skill premium
Trading up and the skill premium Open
We study the impact on the skill premium of increases in the quality of goods consumed by households ("trading up"). Our empirical work shows that high- quality goods are more intensive in skilled labor than low-quality goods and that hous…
View article: Replication Data for: Job Polarization and Jobless Recoveries
Replication Data for: Job Polarization and Jobless Recoveries Open
Jaimovich, Nir, and Siu, Henry E., (2020) "Job Polarization and Jobless Recoveries.” Review of Economics and Statistics 102:1, 129-147.
View article: Review of ‘The Israeli Economy in the Last Twenty Years: Lights and Shadows in the Market Economy’, Edited by Avraham Ben-Bassat, Reuben Gronau and Asaf Zussman
Review of ‘The Israeli Economy in the Last Twenty Years: Lights and Shadows in the Market Economy’, Edited by Avraham Ben-Bassat, Reuben Gronau and Asaf Zussman Open
In the last two decades, the Israeli economy has matured and stabilized along various macroeconomic dimensions, conquering inflation and eliminating current account imbalances. Yet, perhaps as expected, this new economic phase has been cha…
View article: The "end of men" and rise of women in the high-skilled labor market
The "end of men" and rise of women in the high-skilled labor market Open
We document a new finding regarding changes in labor market outcomes for high-skilled men and women in the US. Since 1980, conditional on being a college-educated man, the probability of working in a cognitive/high-wage occupation has fall…
View article: The "End of Men" and Rise of Women in the High-Skilled Labor Market
The "End of Men" and Rise of Women in the High-Skilled Labor Market Open
We document a new finding regarding the deterioration of labor market outcomes for men in the US: Since 1980, the probability that a college-educated man was employed in a cognitive/high-wage occupation fell. This contrasts starkly with th…
View article: The end of men: growing demand for women's social skills in high-paying jobs
The end of men: growing demand for women's social skills in high-paying jobs Open
Demand for high-skilled workers who perform cognitive tasks has increased dramatically in the United States over the past four decades, with the biggest change between 1980 and 2000. This policy brief shows that the increase in demand was …
View article: High-Skilled Immigration, STEM Employment, and Non-Routine-Biased Technical Change
High-Skilled Immigration, STEM Employment, and Non-Routine-Biased Technical Change Open
We study the role of foreign-born workers in the growth of employment in STEM occupations since 1980.Given the importance of employment in these fields for research and innovation, we consider their role in a model featuring endogenous non…
View article: High-skilled immigration, STEM employment, and non-routine-biased technical change
High-skilled immigration, STEM employment, and non-routine-biased technical change Open
We study the role of foreign-born workers in the growth of employment in STEM occupations since 1980. Given the importance of employment in these fields for research and innovation, we consider their role in a model featuring endogenous no…
View article: Disappearing Routine Jobs: Who, How, and Why?
Disappearing Routine Jobs: Who, How, and Why? Open
We study the deterioration of employment in middle-wage, routine occupations in the United States in the last 35 years.The decline is primarily driven by changes in the propensity to work in routine jobs for individuals from a small set of…
View article: Price Stickiness: Empirical Evidence of the Menu Cost Channel
Price Stickiness: Empirical Evidence of the Menu Cost Channel Open
A leading explanation in the economic literature is that monetary policy has real effects on the economy because firms incur a cost when changing prices. Using a unique database of cost and retail price changes, we find that variation in m…
View article: Trading Down and the Business Cycle
Trading Down and the Business Cycle Open
We document two facts.First, during the Great Recession, consumers traded down in the quality of the goods and services they consumed.Second, the production of low-quality goods is less labor intensive than that of high-quality goods.When …