P. C. D. Milly
YOU?
Author Swipe
View article: The Land Component LM4.1 of the GFDL Earth System Model ESM4.1: Model Description and Characteristics of Land Surface Climate and Carbon Cycling in the Historical Simulation
The Land Component LM4.1 of the GFDL Earth System Model ESM4.1: Model Description and Characteristics of Land Surface Climate and Carbon Cycling in the Historical Simulation Open
We describe the baseline model configuration and simulation characteristics of the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL)'s Land Model version 4.1 (LM4.1), which builds on component and coupled model developments over 2013–2019 for t…
View article: When Models Talk: Integrated Human-Hydro-Terrestrial Modeling to Assess Delaware River Basin Water Resource Vulnerability to Drought
When Models Talk: Integrated Human-Hydro-Terrestrial Modeling to Assess Delaware River Basin Water Resource Vulnerability to Drought Open
Earth and Space Science Open Archive PosterOpen AccessYou are viewing the latest version by default [v2]When Models Talk: Integrated Human-Hydro-Terrestrial Modeling to Assess Delaware River Basin Water Resource Vulnerability to DroughtAut…
View article: When Models Talk: Integrated Human-Hydro-Terrestrial Modeling to Assess Delaware River Basin Water Resource Vulnerability to Drought
When Models Talk: Integrated Human-Hydro-Terrestrial Modeling to Assess Delaware River Basin Water Resource Vulnerability to Drought Open
Earth and Space Science Open Archive PosterOpen AccessYou are viewing an older version [v1]Go to new versionWhen Models Talk: Integrated Human-Hydro-Terrestrial Modeling to Assess Delaware River Basin Water Resource Vulnerability to Drough…
View article: Possible Anthropogenic Enhancement of Precipitation in the Sahel‐Sudan Savanna by Remote Agricultural Irrigation
Possible Anthropogenic Enhancement of Precipitation in the Sahel‐Sudan Savanna by Remote Agricultural Irrigation Open
The local climatic impacts of historical expansion of irrigation are substantial, but the distant impacts are poorly understood, and their governing mechanisms generally have not been rigorously analyzed. Our experiments with an earth‐syst…
View article: Simulated Global Coastal Ecosystem Responses to a Half‐Century Increase in River Nitrogen Loads
Simulated Global Coastal Ecosystem Responses to a Half‐Century Increase in River Nitrogen Loads Open
Coastal ecosystems are increasingly threatened by anthropogenic stressors such as harmful algal blooms and hypoxia through the combined effects of eutrophication and warming. As a major terrestrial nitrogen source to the ocean, rivers play…
View article: NOAA-GFDL GFDL-ESM4 CMIP6 CMIP additional model output
NOAA-GFDL GFDL-ESM4 CMIP6 CMIP additional model output Open
This repository contains annual 3D sea water age since surface contact files from a subset of simulations with GFDL's ESM4.1 climate model (Dunne et al., 2020) that were contributed to the 6th Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6).…
View article: NOAA-GFDL GFDL-ESM4 CMIP6 CMIP additional model output
NOAA-GFDL GFDL-ESM4 CMIP6 CMIP additional model output Open
This repository contains annual 3D sea water age since surface contact files from a subset of simulations with GFDL's ESM4.1 climate model (Dunne et al., 2020) that were contributed to the 6th Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6).…
View article: NOAA-GFDL GFDL-ESM4 CMIP6 CMIP additional model output
NOAA-GFDL GFDL-ESM4 CMIP6 CMIP additional model output Open
This repository contains annual 3D sea water age since surface contact files from a subset of simulations with GFDL's ESM4.1 climate model (Dunne et al., 2020) that were contributed to the 6th Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6).…
View article: Globally prevalent land nitrogen memory amplifies water pollution following drought years
Globally prevalent land nitrogen memory amplifies water pollution following drought years Open
Enhanced riverine delivery of terrestrial nitrogen (N) has polluted many freshwater and coastal ecosystems, degrading drinking water and marine resources. An emerging view suggests a contribution of land N memory effects—impacts of anteced…
View article: The GFDL Earth System Model Version 4.1 (GFDL‐ESM 4.1): Overall Coupled Model Description and Simulation Characteristics
The GFDL Earth System Model Version 4.1 (GFDL‐ESM 4.1): Overall Coupled Model Description and Simulation Characteristics Open
We describe the baseline coupled model configuration and simulation characteristics of GFDL's Earth System Model Version 4.1 (ESM4.1), which builds on component and coupled model developments at GFDL over 2013–2018 for coupled carbon‐chemi…
View article: SPEAR: The Next Generation GFDL Modeling System for Seasonal to Multidecadal Prediction and Projection
SPEAR: The Next Generation GFDL Modeling System for Seasonal to Multidecadal Prediction and Projection Open
We document the development and simulation characteristics of the next generation modeling system for seasonal to decadal prediction and projection at the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL). SPEAR ( S eamless System for P redicti…
View article: Publisher Correction: Prominence of the tropics in the recent rise of global nitrogen pollution
Publisher Correction: Prominence of the tropics in the recent rise of global nitrogen pollution Open
View article: Structure and Performance of GFDL's CM4.0 Climate Model
Structure and Performance of GFDL's CM4.0 Climate Model Open
We describe the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory's CM4.0 physical climate model, with emphasis on those aspects that may be of particular importance to users of this model and its simulations. The model is built with the AM4.0/LM4.0 a…
View article: Prominence of the tropics in the recent rise of global nitrogen pollution
Prominence of the tropics in the recent rise of global nitrogen pollution Open
View article: Hillslope Hydrology in Global Change Research and Earth System Modeling
Hillslope Hydrology in Global Change Research and Earth System Modeling Open
Earth System Models (ESMs) are essential tools for understanding and predicting global change, but they cannot explicitly resolve hillslope‐scale terrain structures that fundamentally organize water, energy, and biogeochemical stores and f…
View article: Harnessing big data to rethink land heterogeneity in Earth system models
Harnessing big data to rethink land heterogeneity in Earth system models Open
The continual growth in the availability, detail, and wealth of environmental data provides an invaluable asset to improve the characterization of land heterogeneity in Earth system models – a persistent challenge in macroscale models. How…
View article: The GFDL Global Atmosphere and Land Model AM4.0/LM4.0: 2. Model Description, Sensitivity Studies, and Tuning Strategies
The GFDL Global Atmosphere and Land Model AM4.0/LM4.0: 2. Model Description, Sensitivity Studies, and Tuning Strategies Open
In Part 2 of this two‐part paper, documentation is provided of key aspects of a version of the AM4.0/LM4.0 atmosphere/land model that will serve as a base for a new set of climate and Earth system models (CM4 and ESM4) under development at…
View article: The GFDL Global Atmosphere and Land Model AM4.0/LM4.0: 1. Simulation Characteristics With Prescribed SSTs
The GFDL Global Atmosphere and Land Model AM4.0/LM4.0: 1. Simulation Characteristics With Prescribed SSTs Open
In this two‐part paper, a description is provided of a version of the AM4.0/LM4.0 atmosphere/land model that will serve as a base for a new set of climate and Earth system models (CM4 and ESM4) under development at NOAA's Geophysical Fluid…
View article: Potential for western US seasonal snowpack prediction
Potential for western US seasonal snowpack prediction Open
Western US snowpack—snow that accumulates on the ground in the mountains—plays a critical role in regional hydroclimate and water supply, with 80% of snowmelt runoff being used for agriculture. While climate projections provide estimates o…
View article: NOAA-GFDL GFDL-ESM4 model output prepared for CMIP6 C4MIP
NOAA-GFDL GFDL-ESM4 model output prepared for CMIP6 C4MIP Open
Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) datasets: These data include all datasets published for 'CMIP6.C4MIP.NOAA-GFDL.GFDL-ESM4' with the full Data Reference Syntax following the template 'mip_era.activity_id.institution_id.…
View article: NOAA-GFDL GFDL-CM4 model output historical
NOAA-GFDL GFDL-CM4 model output historical Open
Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) datasets: These data include all datasets published for 'CMIP6.CMIP.NOAA-GFDL.GFDL-CM4.historical' with the full Data Reference Syntax following the template 'mip_era.activity_id.instit…
View article: Harnessing Big Data to Rethink Land Heterogeneity in EarthSystem Models
Harnessing Big Data to Rethink Land Heterogeneity in EarthSystem Models Open
The continual growth in the availability, detail, and wealth of environmental data provides an invaluable asset to improve the characterization of land heterogeneity in Earth System models – a persistent challenge in macroscale models. How…
View article: Grand challenges for integrated USGS science — A workshop report
Grand challenges for integrated USGS science — A workshop report Open
First posted June 30, 2017 For additional information, contact: John Wesley Powell Center U.S. Geological Survey2150 Centre AvenueBuilding CFort Collins, CO 80526-8118https://powellcenter.usgs.gov/ The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) has a l…
View article: Divergent surface and total soil moisture projections under global warming
Divergent surface and total soil moisture projections under global warming Open
Land aridity has been projected to increase with global warming. Such projections are mostly based on off‐line aridity and drought metrics applied to climate model outputs but also are supported by climate‐model projections of decreased su…
View article: Differences in flood hazard projections in Europe – their causes and consequences for decision making
Differences in flood hazard projections in Europe – their causes and consequences for decision making Open
This paper interprets differences in flood hazard projections over Europe and identifies likely sources of discrepancy. Further, it discusses potential implications of these differences for flood risk reduction and adaptation to climate ch…
View article: Climate variability and extremes, interacting with nitrogen storage, amplify eutrophication risk
Climate variability and extremes, interacting with nitrogen storage, amplify eutrophication risk Open
Despite 30 years of basin‐wide nutrient‐reduction efforts, severe hypoxia continues to be observed in the Chesapeake Bay. Here we demonstrate the critical influence of climate variability, interacting with accumulated nitrogen (N) over mul…
View article: Influence of land‐atmosphere feedbacks on temperature and precipitation extremes in the GLACE‐CMIP5 ensemble
Influence of land‐atmosphere feedbacks on temperature and precipitation extremes in the GLACE‐CMIP5 ensemble Open
We examine how soil moisture variability and trends affect the simulation of temperature and precipitation extremes in six global climate models using the experimental protocol of the Global Land‐Atmosphere Coupling Experiment of the Coupl…
View article: On Critiques of “Stationarity is Dead: Whither Water Management?”
On Critiques of “Stationarity is Dead: Whither Water Management?” Open
We review and comment upon some themes in the recent stream of critical commentary on the assertion that "stationarity is dead," attempting to clear up some misunderstandings; to note points of agreement; to elaborate on matters in dispute…