Patrick Goodman
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View article: Associations of ambient exposure to benzene, toluene, ethylbenzene, and xylene with daily mortality: a multicountry time-series study in 757 global locations
Associations of ambient exposure to benzene, toluene, ethylbenzene, and xylene with daily mortality: a multicountry time-series study in 757 global locations Open
Noncommunicable Chronic Diseases-National Science and Technology Major Project, National Natural Science Foundation of China, Shanghai Municipal Science and Technology Major Project, Shanghai B&R Joint Laboratory Project, and Shanghai Inte…
View article: Historical Research on Aerosol Number Concentrations, Classifications of Air Pollution Severity and Particle Retention: Lessons for Present-Day Researchers
Historical Research on Aerosol Number Concentrations, Classifications of Air Pollution Severity and Particle Retention: Lessons for Present-Day Researchers Open
Research into the adverse health effects of air pollution exposure has repeatedly considered smaller particles, to the point where particle number concentration might be a more relevant metric than mass concentration. Here, we highlight so…
View article: Rainfall events and daily mortality across 645 global locations: two stage time series analysis
Rainfall events and daily mortality across 645 global locations: two stage time series analysis Open
Objective To examine the associations between characteristics of daily rainfall (intensity, duration, and frequency) and all cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality. Design Two stage time series analysis. Setting 645 locations acr…
View article: Temporal change in minimum mortality temperature under changing climate: A multicountry multicommunity observational study spanning 1986–2015
Temporal change in minimum mortality temperature under changing climate: A multicountry multicommunity observational study spanning 1986–2015 Open
Background: The minimum mortality temperature (MMT) or MMT percentile (MMTP) is an indicator of population susceptibility to nonoptimum temperatures. MMT and MMTP change over time; however, the changing directions show region-wide heteroge…
View article: Temperature-mortality associations by age and cause: a multi-country multi-city study
Temperature-mortality associations by age and cause: a multi-country multi-city study Open
Background: Heterogeneity in temperature-mortality relationships across locations may partly result from differences in the demographic structure of populations and their cause-specific vulnerabilities. Here we conduct the largest epidemio…
View article: Regional variation in the role of humidity on city-level heat-related mortality
Regional variation in the role of humidity on city-level heat-related mortality Open
The rising humid heat is regarded as a severe threat to human survivability, but the proper integration of humid heat into heat-health alerts is still being explored. Using state-of-the-art epidemiological and climatological datasets, we e…
View article: Global, regional, and national burden of heatwave-related mortality from 1990 to 2019: A three-stage modelling study
Global, regional, and national burden of heatwave-related mortality from 1990 to 2019: A three-stage modelling study Open
Background The regional disparity of heatwave-related mortality over a long period has not been sufficiently assessed across the globe, impeding the localisation of adaptation planning and risk management towards climate change. We quantif…
View article: Fluctuating temperature modifies heat-mortality association around the globe
Fluctuating temperature modifies heat-mortality association around the globe Open
Studies have investigated the effects of heat and temperature variability (TV) on mortality. However, few assessed whether TV modifies the heat-mortality association. Data on daily temperature and mortality in the warm season were collecte…
View article: Geographical Variations of the Minimum Mortality Temperature at a Global Scale
Geographical Variations of the Minimum Mortality Temperature at a Global Scale Open
Background: Minimum mortality temperature (MMT) is an important indicator to assess the temperature-mortality association, indicating long-term adaptation to local climate. Limited evidence about the geographical variability of the MMT is …
View article: Seasonal variation in mortality and the role of temperature: a multi-country multi-city study
Seasonal variation in mortality and the role of temperature: a multi-country multi-city study Open
Background Although seasonal variations in mortality have been recognized for millennia, the role of temperature remains unclear. We aimed to assess seasonal variation in mortality and to examine the contribution of temperature. Methods We…
View article: The Role of Humidity in Associations of High Temperature with Mortality: A Multicountry, Multicity Study
The Role of Humidity in Associations of High Temperature with Mortality: A Multicountry, Multicity Study Open
The absence of a positive association of humidity with mortality in summer in this large multinational study is counter to expectations from physiologic studies, though consistent with previous epidemiologic studies finding little evidence…
View article: Predicted temperature-increase-induced global health burden and its regional variability
Predicted temperature-increase-induced global health burden and its regional variability Open
An increase in the global health burden of temperature was projected for 459 locations in 28 countries worldwide under four representative concentration pathway scenarios until 2099. We determined that the amount of temperature increase fo…
View article: Quantifying excess deaths related to heatwaves under climate change scenarios: A multicountry time series modelling study
Quantifying excess deaths related to heatwaves under climate change scenarios: A multicountry time series modelling study Open
This study provides a comprehensive characterisation of future heatwave-related excess mortality across various regions and under alternative scenarios of greenhouse gas emissions, different assumptions of adaptation, and different scenari…