Richard C. van Kleef
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View article: Does Health-Based Prospective Risk Adjustment Adequately Compensate for Individuals Diagnosed With a New Chronic Disease?
Does Health-Based Prospective Risk Adjustment Adequately Compensate for Individuals Diagnosed With a New Chronic Disease? Open
Many regulated health insurance markets use prospective risk adjustment (RA) to mitigate risk selection incentives for insurers. However, prospective RA might underpay insurers for people diagnosed with a new chronic disease. By tracking s…
View article: Supplementing risk adjustment with high‐risk pooling using historical data for identifying the high risks
Supplementing risk adjustment with high‐risk pooling using historical data for identifying the high risks Open
Many regulated health insurance markets with community‐rated premiums rely on risk adjustment (RA) to mitigate insurer‐incentives to risk select. However, insurers remain typically undercompensated for chronically ill enrollees. We use his…
View article: A Framework for the Design of Risk-Adjustment Models in Health care Provider Payment Systems
A Framework for the Design of Risk-Adjustment Models in Health care Provider Payment Systems Open
Prospective payments for health care providers require adequate risk adjustment (RA) to address systematic variation in patients’ health care needs. However, the design of RA for provider payment involves many choices and difficult trade-o…
View article: A critical review of the use of R2 in risk equalization research
A critical review of the use of R2 in risk equalization research Open
Nearly all empirical studies that estimate the coefficients of a risk equalization formula present the value of the statistical measure R 2 . The R 2 -value is often (implicitly) interpreted as a measure of the extent to which the risk equ…
View article: A framework for ex-ante evaluation of the potential effects of risk equalization and risk sharing in health insurance markets with regulated competition
A framework for ex-ante evaluation of the potential effects of risk equalization and risk sharing in health insurance markets with regulated competition Open
View article: High-risk pooling for mitigating risk selection incentives in health insurance markets with sophisticated risk equalization: an application based on health survey information
High-risk pooling for mitigating risk selection incentives in health insurance markets with sophisticated risk equalization: an application based on health survey information Open
Background Despite sophisticated risk equalization, insurers in regulated health insurance markets still face incentives to attract healthy people and avoid the chronically ill because of predictable differences in profitability between th…
View article: Scope and Incentives for Risk Selection in Health Insurance Markets With Regulated Competition: A Conceptual Framework and International Comparison
Scope and Incentives for Risk Selection in Health Insurance Markets With Regulated Competition: A Conceptual Framework and International Comparison Open
In health insurance markets with regulated competition, regulators face the challenge of preventing risk selection. This paper provides a framework for analyzing the scope (i.e., potential actions by insurers and consumers) and incentives …
View article: Risk Adjustment in Health Insurance Markets
Risk Adjustment in Health Insurance Markets Open
Objectives: The goals of this paper are: (1) to identify groups of healthy people; and (2) to quantify the extent to which the Dutch risk adjustment (RA) model overpays insurers for these groups. Background: There have been strong signals …
View article: Heteroscedasticity of residual spending after risk equalization: a potential source of selection incentives in health insurance markets with premium regulation
Heteroscedasticity of residual spending after risk equalization: a potential source of selection incentives in health insurance markets with premium regulation Open
Many community-rated health insurance markets include risk equalization (also known as risk adjustment) to mitigate risk selection incentives for competing insurers. Empirical evaluations of risk equalization typically quantify selection i…
View article: Predictable profits and losses in a health insurance market with risk equalization: A multiple-contract period perspective
Predictable profits and losses in a health insurance market with risk equalization: A multiple-contract period perspective Open
View article: Improving diagnosis-based cost groups in the Dutch risk equalization model: the effects of a new clustering method and allowing for multimorbidity
Improving diagnosis-based cost groups in the Dutch risk equalization model: the effects of a new clustering method and allowing for multimorbidity Open
Health insurance markets with community-rated premiums typically use risk equalization (RE) to compensate insurers for predictable profits on people in good health and predictable losses on those with a chronic disease. Over the past decad…
View article: Selection Incentives in the Dutch Basic Health Insurance: To What Extent Does End-of-Life Spending Contribute to Predictable Profits and Losses for Selective Groups?
Selection Incentives in the Dutch Basic Health Insurance: To What Extent Does End-of-Life Spending Contribute to Predictable Profits and Losses for Selective Groups? Open
Existing risk-equalization models in individual health insurance markets with premium-rate restrictions do not completely compensate insurers for predictable profits/losses, confronting insurers with risk selection incentives. To guide fur…
View article: How to deal with persistently low/high spenders in health plan payment systems?
How to deal with persistently low/high spenders in health plan payment systems? Open
Health insurance markets with community‐rated premiums typically include risk adjustment (RA) to mitigate selection problems. Over the past decades, RA systems have evolved from simple demographic models to sophisticated morbidity‐based mo…
View article: Can risk rating increase the ability of voluntary deductibles to reduce moral hazard?
Can risk rating increase the ability of voluntary deductibles to reduce moral hazard? Open
View article: How the COVID-19 pandemic can distort risk adjustment of health plan payment
How the COVID-19 pandemic can distort risk adjustment of health plan payment Open
The COVID-19 pandemic has led to disruptions in healthcare utilization and spending. While some changes might persist (e.g. substitution of specialist visits by online consultations), others will be transitory (e.g. fewer surgical procedur…
View article: Very high and low residual spenders in private health insurance markets: Germany, The Netherlands and the U.S. Marketplaces
Very high and low residual spenders in private health insurance markets: Germany, The Netherlands and the U.S. Marketplaces Open
View article: Exploiting Incomplete Information in Risk Adjustment Using Constrained Regression
Exploiting Incomplete Information in Risk Adjustment Using Constrained Regression Open
Background\nHealth insurance markets with regulated premiums typically include risk adjustment (RA) to mitigate selection incentives. Even the most sophisticated RA models, however, tend to undercompensate (overcompensate) insurers for peo…
View article: Paying for Mental Health Care in Private Health Insurance in the Netherlands: Some Lessons for the United States
Paying for Mental Health Care in Private Health Insurance in the Netherlands: Some Lessons for the United States Open
View article: Incorporating self-reported health measures in risk equalization through constrained regression
Incorporating self-reported health measures in risk equalization through constrained regression Open
View article: Selection Incentives for Health Insurers in the Presence of Sophisticated Risk Adjustment
Selection Incentives for Health Insurers in the Presence of Sophisticated Risk Adjustment Open
This article analyzes selection incentives for insurers in the Dutch basic health insurance market, which operates with community-rated premiums and sophisticated risk adjustment. Selection incentives result from the interplay of three mar…
View article: Risk equalization in competitive health insurance markets: Identifying healthy individuals on the basis of multiple‐year low spending
Risk equalization in competitive health insurance markets: Identifying healthy individuals on the basis of multiple‐year low spending Open
Objective To study the extent to which risk equalization (RE) in competitive health insurance markets can be improved by including an indicator for being healthy. Study Setting/Data Sources This study is conducted in the context of the Dut…
View article: Deriving risk adjustment payment weights to maximize efficiency of health insurance markets
Deriving risk adjustment payment weights to maximize efficiency of health insurance markets Open
View article: Examining unpriced risk heterogeneity in the Dutch health insurance market
Examining unpriced risk heterogeneity in the Dutch health insurance market Open
A major challenge in regulated health insurance markets is to mitigate risk selection potential. Risk selection can occur in the presence of unpriced risk heterogeneity, which refers to predictable variation in health care spending not ref…
View article: Deriving risk adjustment payment weights to maximize efficiency of health insurance markets
Deriving risk adjustment payment weights to maximize efficiency of health insurance markets Open
Risk adjustment of payments to health plans is fundamental to regulated competition among private insurers, which serves as the basis of national health policy in many countries. To date, estimation and evaluation of a risk adjustment mode…
View article: Introduction to the special section health plan payment in regulated competition
Introduction to the special section health plan payment in regulated competition Open
View article: Can premium differentiation counteract adverse selection in the Dutch supplementary health insurance? A simulation study
Can premium differentiation counteract adverse selection in the Dutch supplementary health insurance? A simulation study Open
View article: Exploring the predictive power of interaction terms in a sophisticated risk equalization model using regression trees
Exploring the predictive power of interaction terms in a sophisticated risk equalization model using regression trees Open
This study explores the predictive power of interaction terms between the risk adjusters in the Dutch risk equalization (RE) model of 2014. Due to the sophistication of this RE‐model and the complexity of the associations in the dataset (N…
View article: Improving risk equalization with constrained regression
Improving risk equalization with constrained regression Open
View article: A method to simulate incentives for cost containment under various cost sharing designs: an application to a first-euro deductible and a doughnut hole
A method to simulate incentives for cost containment under various cost sharing designs: an application to a first-euro deductible and a doughnut hole Open
View article: The demand for health insurance and behavioural economics
The demand for health insurance and behavioural economics Open