Robert Ziel
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View article: On using dynamical seasonal forecasts to develop management-driven wildland fire outlooks in Alaska
On using dynamical seasonal forecasts to develop management-driven wildland fire outlooks in Alaska Open
View article: Evaluating the Alaska Blocking Index as an indicator of wildfire potential in Alaska's central eastern interior
Evaluating the Alaska Blocking Index as an indicator of wildfire potential in Alaska's central eastern interior Open
Increased Arctic air temperatures and evaporative fluxes have coincided with more frequent and destructive high‐latitude wildfires. Arctic fires impact ecosystems and people, especially at the community‐level by degrading air quality, dest…
View article: Spatial distribution of wildfire threat in the far north: exposure assessment in boreal communities
Spatial distribution of wildfire threat in the far north: exposure assessment in boreal communities Open
Increased wildfire activity has raised concerns among communities about how to assess and prepare for this threat. There is a need for wildfire hazard assessment approaches that capture local variability to inform decisions, produce result…
View article: Increasing multi-hazard climate risk and financial and health impacts on northern homeowners
Increasing multi-hazard climate risk and financial and health impacts on northern homeowners Open
View article: Predicting the Unpredictable: Predicting Landcover in Boreal Alaska and the Yukon Including Succession and Wildfire Potential
Predicting the Unpredictable: Predicting Landcover in Boreal Alaska and the Yukon Including Succession and Wildfire Potential Open
The boreal forest of northwestern North America covers an extensive area, contains vast amounts of carbon in its vegetation and soil, and is characterized by extensive wildfires. Catastrophic crown fires in these forests are fueled predomi…
View article: Spatial Distribution of Wildfire Threat in the Far North: Exposure Assessment in Boreal Communities
Spatial Distribution of Wildfire Threat in the Far North: Exposure Assessment in Boreal Communities Open
Increased wildfire activity has raised concerns among communities about how to assess and prepare for this threat. We modified an existing approach to assess decadal wildfire hazards based primarily on ember dispersal and wildfire proximit…
View article: Multispectral Satellite Imagery Products for Fire Weather Applications
Multispectral Satellite Imagery Products for Fire Weather Applications Open
Two multispectral satellite imagery products are presented that were developed for use within the fire management community. These products, which take the form of false color red–green–blue composites, were designed to aid fire detection …
View article: The Arctic
The Arctic Open
The Arctic in 2020 was exceptionally warm. The annual mean surface air temperature (SAT) anomaly for land areas poleward of 60°N was 2.1°C above the 1981–2010 average, marking the highest observed SAT anomaly for the terrestrial Arctic sin…
View article: Emerging Anthropogenic Influences on the Southcentral Alaska Temperature and Precipitation Extremes and Related Fires in 2019
Emerging Anthropogenic Influences on the Southcentral Alaska Temperature and Precipitation Extremes and Related Fires in 2019 Open
The late-season extreme fire activity in Southcentral Alaska during 2019 was highly unusual and consequential. Firefighting operations had to be extended by a month in 2019 due to the extreme conditions of hot summer temperature and prolon…
View article: Arctic Report Card 2020: Wildland Fire in High Northern Latitudes
Arctic Report Card 2020: Wildland Fire in High Northern Latitudes Open
View article: Lightning Variability in Dynamically Downscaled Simulations of Alaska’s Present and Future Summer Climate
Lightning Variability in Dynamically Downscaled Simulations of Alaska’s Present and Future Summer Climate Open
Lightning is a key driver of wildfire activity in Alaska. Quantifying its historical variability and trends has been challenging because of changes in the observational network, but understanding historical and possible future changes in l…
View article: A Comparison of Fire Weather Indices with MODIS Fire Days for the Natural Regions of Alaska
A Comparison of Fire Weather Indices with MODIS Fire Days for the Natural Regions of Alaska Open
Research Highlights: Flammability of wildland fuels is a key factor influencing risk-based decisions related to preparedness, response, and safety in Alaska. However, without effective measures of current and expected flammability, the exp…
View article: Project Cartagena: "A flood free city"
Project Cartagena: "A flood free city" Open
Cartagena is a city located at the Caribbean coast of Colombia, founded in 1533 by the Spanish. Its population consists over one million inhabitants, making it the fifth largest city in Colombia. Due to its strategic location, the port of …