Joseph P. Romano
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View article: Permutation Testing for Monotone “Trend”
Permutation Testing for Monotone “Trend” Open
In this article, we consider the fundamental problem of testing for monotone trend in a time series. While the term “trend” is commonly used and has an intuitive meaning, it is first crucial to specify its exact meaning in a hypothesis tes…
View article: Finite- and large-sample inference for ranks using multinomial data with an application to ranking political parties
Finite- and large-sample inference for ranks using multinomial data with an application to ranking political parties Open
It is common to rank different categories by means of preferences that are revealed through data on choices. A prominent example is the ranking of political candidates or parties using the estimated share of support each one receives in su…
View article: A New Design-Based Variance Estimator for Finely Stratified Experiments
A New Design-Based Variance Estimator for Finely Stratified Experiments Open
This paper considers the problem of design-based inference for the average treatment effect in finely stratified experiments. Here, by "design-based'' we mean that the only source of uncertainty stems from the randomness in treatment assig…
View article: Randomization Inference: Theory and Applications
Randomization Inference: Theory and Applications Open
We review approaches to statistical inference based on randomization. Permutation tests are treated as an important special case. Under a certain group invariance property, referred to as the ``randomization hypothesis,'' randomization tes…
View article: Least Squares-Based Permutation Tests in Time Series
Least Squares-Based Permutation Tests in Time Series Open
This paper studies permutation tests for regression parameters in a time series setting, where the time series is assumed stationary but may exhibit an arbitrary (but weak) dependence structure. In such a setting, it is perhaps surprising …
View article: Permutation Testing for Monotone Trend
Permutation Testing for Monotone Trend Open
In this paper, we consider the fundamental problem of testing for monotone trend in a time series. While the term "trend" is commonly used and has an intuitive meaning, it is first crucial to specify its exact meaning in a hypothesis testi…
View article: The choice-wide behavioral association study: data-driven identification of interpretable behavioral components
The choice-wide behavioral association study: data-driven identification of interpretable behavioral components Open
Behavior contains rich structure across many timescales, but there is a dearth of methods to identify relevant components, especially over the longer periods required for learning and decision-making. Inspired by the goals and techniques o…
View article: Finite- and Large-Sample Inference for Ranks using Multinomial Data with an Application to Ranking Political Parties
Finite- and Large-Sample Inference for Ranks using Multinomial Data with an Application to Ranking Political Parties Open
It is common to rank different categories by means of preferences that are revealed through data on choices. A prominent example is the ranking of political candidates or parties using the estimated share of support each one receives in su…
View article: csranks: An R Package for Estimation and Inference Involving Ranks
csranks: An R Package for Estimation and Inference Involving Ranks Open
This article introduces the R package csranks for estimation and inference involving ranks. First, we review methods for the construction of confidence sets for ranks, namely marginal and simultaneous confidence sets as well as confidence …
View article: Reproducible Aggregation of Sample-Split Statistics
Reproducible Aggregation of Sample-Split Statistics Open
Statistical inference is often simplified by sample-splitting. This simplification comes at the cost of the introduction of randomness not native to the data. We propose a simple procedure for sequentially aggregating statistics constructe…
View article: Covariate Adjustment in Experiments with Matched Pairs
Covariate Adjustment in Experiments with Matched Pairs Open
This paper studies inference on the average treatment effect in experiments in which treatment status is determined according to "matched pairs" and it is additionally desired to adjust for observed, baseline covariates to gain further pre…
View article: Inference for ranks with applications to mobility across neighborhoods and academic achievement across countries
Inference for ranks with applications to mobility across neighborhoods and academic achievement across countries Open
It is often desired to rank different populations according to the value of some feature of each population. For example, it may be desired to rank neighborhoods according to some measure of intergenerational mobility or countries accordin…
View article: Inference for ranks with applications to mobility across neighbourhoods and academic achievement across countries
Inference for ranks with applications to mobility across neighbourhoods and academic achievement across countries Open
It is often desired to rank different populations according to the value of some feature of each population. For example, it may be desired to rank neighborhoods according to some measure of intergenerational mobility or countries accordin…
View article: Permutation testing for dependence in time series
Permutation testing for dependence in time series Open
Given observations from a stationary time series, permutation tests allow one to construct exactly level tests under the null hypothesis of an i.i.d. (or, more generally, exchangeable) distribution. On the other hand, when the null hypothe…
View article: Finite- and large-sample inference for ranks using multinomial data with an application to ranking political parties
Finite- and large-sample inference for ranks using multinomial data with an application to ranking political parties Open
It is common to rank different categories by means of preferences that are revealed through data on choices. A prominent example is the ranking of political candidates or parties using the estimated share of support each one receives in su…
View article: Finite- and Large-Sample Inference for Ranks using Multinomial Data with an Application to Ranking Political Parties
Finite- and Large-Sample Inference for Ranks using Multinomial Data with an Application to Ranking Political Parties Open
It is common to rank different categories by means of preferences that are revealed through data on choices.A prominent example is the ranking of political candidates or parties using the estimated share of support each one receives in sur…
View article: Uncertainty in the Hot Hand Fallacy: Detecting Streaky Alternatives to Random Bernoulli Sequences
Uncertainty in the Hot Hand Fallacy: Detecting Streaky Alternatives to Random Bernoulli Sequences Open
We study a class of permutation tests of the randomness of a collection of Bernoulli sequences and their application to analyses of the human tendency to perceive streaks of consecutive successes as overly representative of positive depend…
View article: Confidence Intervals for Seroprevalence
Confidence Intervals for Seroprevalence Open
This paper concerns the construction of confidence intervals in standard seroprevalence surveys. In particular, we discuss methods for constructing confidence intervals for the proportion of individuals in a population infected with a dise…
View article: Inference in Experiments with Matched Pairs*
Inference in Experiments with Matched Pairs* Open
This paper studies inference for the average treatment effect in randomized controlled trials where treatment status is determined according to a “matched pairs” design. By a “matched pairs” design, we mean that units are sampled i.i.d. fr…
View article: Inference in Experiments With Matched Pairs
Inference in Experiments With Matched Pairs Open
This article studies inference for the average treatment effect in randomized controlled trials where treatment status is determined according to a “matched pairs” design. By a “matched pairs” design, we mean that units are sampled iid fro…
View article: The Romano–Wolf multiple-hypothesis correction in Stata
The Romano–Wolf multiple-hypothesis correction in Stata Open
When considering multiple-hypothesis tests simultaneously, standard statistical techniques will lead to overrejection of null hypotheses unless the multiplicity of the testing framework is explicitly considered. In this article, we discuss…
View article: Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics in HIV Prevention; Current Status and Future Directions: A Summary of the DAIDS and BMGF Sponsored Think Tank on Pharmacokinetics (PK)/Pharmacodynamics (PD) in HIV Prevention
Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics in HIV Prevention; Current Status and Future Directions: A Summary of the DAIDS and BMGF Sponsored Think Tank on Pharmacokinetics (PK)/Pharmacodynamics (PD) in HIV Prevention Open
Thirty years after its beginning, the HIV/AIDS epidemic is still raging around the world. According to UNAIDS, in 2011 alone 1.7M deaths were attributable to AIDS, and 2.5M people were newly infected by the virus. Despite the success in tr…
View article: Pharmacokinetics of Tenofovir following Intravaginal and Intrarectal Administration of Tenofovir Gel to Rhesus Macaques
Pharmacokinetics of Tenofovir following Intravaginal and Intrarectal Administration of Tenofovir Gel to Rhesus Macaques Open
Tenofovir gel (1%) is being developed as a microbicide for the prevention of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection and has been shown to reduce transmission to women by 39%. The gel also prevents infection in macaques when applied i…
View article: Inference for Ranks with Applications to Mobility across Neighborhoods and Academic Achievement across Countries
Inference for Ranks with Applications to Mobility across Neighborhoods and Academic Achievement across Countries Open
It is often desired to rank different populations according to the value of some feature of each population.For example, it may be desired to rank neighborhoods according to some measure of intergenerational mobility or countries according…