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View article: On the Optimal Vaccination Control of SIR Model with Erlang-Distributed Infectious Period
On the Optimal Vaccination Control of SIR Model with Erlang-Distributed Infectious Period Open
In this work, we investigate optimal vaccination strategies in SIR models with Erlang-distributed infectious period (the Erlang distribution is a gamma distribution with integer shape parameter). We consider the problem of minimizing the e…
View article: Modelling human response to information in voluntary vaccination behaviour using epidemic data
Modelling human response to information in voluntary vaccination behaviour using epidemic data Open
Here, we considered Holling functional responses, a core concept in population dynamics, and discussed their potential interpretation in the context of social epidemiology. Then, we assessed which Holling functional response best represent…
View article: Information index augmented eRG to model vaccination behaviour: A case study of COVID-19 in the US
Information index augmented eRG to model vaccination behaviour: A case study of COVID-19 in the US Open
Recent pandemics triggered the development of a number of mathematical models and computational tools apt at curbing the socio-economic impact of these and future pandemics. The need to acquire solid estimates from the data led to the intr…
View article: Modelling the impact of opinion flexibility on the vaccination choices during epidemics
Modelling the impact of opinion flexibility on the vaccination choices during epidemics Open
Spontaneous behavioural responses of individuals to epidemics are a relevant factor in the understanding of infection dynamics. In this work, we consider a vaccine–preventable infectious disease spreading within a population, where vaccina…
View article: A behavioural vaccination model with application to meningitis spread in Nigeria
A behavioural vaccination model with application to meningitis spread in Nigeria Open
We propose a socio–epidemiological investigation of the effects of vaccine hesitancy on meningococcal meningitis transmission. The spread of the disease is described by a behavioural epidemic model. An information index is employed to take…
View article: A geometric analysis of the impact of large but finite switching rates on vaccination evolutionary games
A geometric analysis of the impact of large but finite switching rates on vaccination evolutionary games Open
View article: An SIR model with viral load-dependent transmission
An SIR model with viral load-dependent transmission Open
The viral load is known to be a chief predictor of the risk of transmission of infectious diseases. In this work, we investigate the role of the individuals’ viral load in the disease transmission by proposing a new susceptible-infectious-…
View article: A geometric analysis of the impact of large but finite switching rates on vaccination evolutionary games
A geometric analysis of the impact of large but finite switching rates on vaccination evolutionary games Open
In contemporary society, social networks accelerate decision dynamics causing a rapid switch of opinions in a number of fields, including the prevention of infectious diseases by means of vaccines. This means that opinion dynamics can nowa…
View article: An SIR model with viral load-dependent transmission
An SIR model with viral load-dependent transmission Open
The viral load is known to be a chief predictor of the risk of transmission of infectious diseases. In this work, we investigate the role of the individuals' viral load in the disease transmission by proposing a new susceptible-infectious-…
View article: Human-induced oscillations in a network landscape model
Human-induced oscillations in a network landscape model Open
View article: Oscillation thresholds via the novel MBR method with application to oncolytic virotherapy
Oscillation thresholds via the novel MBR method with application to oncolytic virotherapy Open
Oncolytic virotherapy is a therapy for the treatment of malignant tumours. In some undesirable cases, the injection of viral particles can lead to stationary oscillations, thus preventing the full destruction of the tumour mass. We investi…
View article: Mathematical modelling of oscillating patterns for chronic autoimmune diseases
Mathematical modelling of oscillating patterns for chronic autoimmune diseases Open
Many autoimmune diseases are chronic in nature, so that in general, patients experience periods of recurrence and remission of the symptoms characterizing their specific autoimmune ailment. In order to describe this very important feature …
View article: An SIR–like kinetic model tracking individuals' viral load
An SIR–like kinetic model tracking individuals' viral load Open
In classical epidemic models, a neglected aspect is the heterogeneity of disease transmission and progression linked to the viral load of each infected individual. Here, we investigate the interplay between the evolution of individuals' vi…
View article: A behavioural modelling approach to assess the impact of COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy
A behavioural modelling approach to assess the impact of COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy Open
View article: Mathematical modelling of oscillating patterns for chronic autoimmune diseases
Mathematical modelling of oscillating patterns for chronic autoimmune diseases Open
Many autoimmune diseases are chronic in nature, so that in general patients experience periods of recurrence and remission of the symptoms characterizing their specific autoimmune ailment. In order to describe this very important feature o…
View article: On the optimal control of SIR model with Erlang-distributed infectious period: isolation strategies
On the optimal control of SIR model with Erlang-distributed infectious period: isolation strategies Open
View article: A behavioural modelling approach to assess the impact of COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy
A behavioural modelling approach to assess the impact of COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy Open
In this paper we introduce a compartmental epidemic model describing the transmission of the COVID-19 disease in presence of non-mandatory vaccination. The model takes into account the hesitancy and refusal of vaccination. To this aim, we …
View article: A behavioural modelling approach to assess the impact of COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy
A behavioural modelling approach to assess the impact of COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy Open
In this paper we introduce a compartmental epidemic model describing the transmission of the COVID-19 disease in presence of non-mandatory vaccination. The model takes into account the hesitancy and refusal of vaccination. To this aim, we …
View article: Volatile opinions and optimal control of vaccine awareness campaigns: chaotic behaviour of the forward-backward sweep algorithm vs. heuristic direct optimization
Volatile opinions and optimal control of vaccine awareness campaigns: chaotic behaviour of the forward-backward sweep algorithm vs. heuristic direct optimization Open
View article: Effects of information-induced behavioural changes during the COVID-19 lockdowns: the case of Italy
Effects of information-induced behavioural changes during the COVID-19 lockdowns: the case of Italy Open
The COVID-19 pandemic that started in China in December 2019 has not only threatened world public health, but severely impacted almost every facet of life, including behavioural and psychological aspects. In this paper, we focus on the ‘hu…
View article: Modelling information–dependent social behaviors in response to lockdowns: the case of COVID–19 epidemic in Italy
Modelling information–dependent social behaviors in response to lockdowns: the case of COVID–19 epidemic in Italy Open
The COVID–19 pandemic started in January 2020 has not only threatened world public health, but severely impacted almost every facet of lives including behavioral and psychological aspects. In this paper we focus on the ‘human element’ and …
View article: Supplementary material from "Effects of information-induced behavioural changes during the COVID-19 lockdowns: the case of Italy"
Supplementary material from "Effects of information-induced behavioural changes during the COVID-19 lockdowns: the case of Italy" Open
The COVID-19 pandemic that started in China in December 2019 has not only threatened world public health, but severely impacted almost every facet of life, including behavioural and psychological aspects. In this paper, we focus on the ‘hu…
View article: Dynamics of a metapopulation epidemic model with localized culling
Dynamics of a metapopulation epidemic model with localized culling Open
A two-patches metapopulation mathematical model, describing the dynamics of Susceptibles and Infected in wildlife diseases, is presented. The two patches are identical in absence of control, and culling activities are performed in only one…
View article: Optimal public health intervention in a behavioural vaccination model: the interplay between seasonality, behaviour and latency period
Optimal public health intervention in a behavioural vaccination model: the interplay between seasonality, behaviour and latency period Open
Hesitancy and refusal of vaccines preventing childhood diseases are spreading due to ‘pseudo-rational’ behaviours: parents overweigh real and imaginary side effects of vaccines. Nonetheless, the ‘Public Health System’ (PHS) may enact publi…