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View article: Reconstructing the early spatial spread of pandemic respiratory viruses in the United States
Reconstructing the early spatial spread of pandemic respiratory viruses in the United States Open
Understanding the geographic spread of emerging respiratory viruses is critical for pandemic preparedness, yet the early spatiotemporal dynamics of the 2009 H1N1 pandemic influenza and SARS-CoV-2 in the United States (US) remain unclear. W…
View article: Inferring pathogen superspreading potential using early spatial spread patterns
Inferring pathogen superspreading potential using early spatial spread patterns Open
Superspreading driven by individual variation in transmissibility shapes novel pathogen emergence and the effectiveness of control measures. Current approaches to estimating superspreading typically rely on cluster size distributions infor…
View article: Adaptive mobility responses during Hurricanes Helene and Milton in 2024
Adaptive mobility responses during Hurricanes Helene and Milton in 2024 Open
Adaptation is crucial for minimizing the societal impacts of tropical cyclones amid climate change. Using 3.56 billion high-resolution foot-traffic records from mobile devices, we analyzed human mobility patterns during Hurricanes Helene a…
View article: Person, place, or preference? Combining subjective and objective decision agency with choice preferences predicts behavior during major shifts in human mobility
Person, place, or preference? Combining subjective and objective decision agency with choice preferences predicts behavior during major shifts in human mobility Open
Human mobility plays a crucial role in shaping outcomes such as disease transmission dynamics, economic trends, and access to critical services. In this study, we explored the interplay between decision preferences, public health policy, a…
View article: Epidemiological characteristics and transmission dynamics of epidemic Japanese encephalitis in China: A modeling study
Epidemiological characteristics and transmission dynamics of epidemic Japanese encephalitis in China: A modeling study Open
Findings from this nationwide study can help enhance situational awareness of the spread of JE and inform appropriate intervention strategies to advance the goal of JE elimination.
View article: Adaptive mobility responses during Hurricanes Helene and Milton in 2024
Adaptive mobility responses during Hurricanes Helene and Milton in 2024 Open
Adaptation is crucial for minimizing the societal impacts of tropical cyclones amid climate change. Using 3.56 billion high-resolution foot-traffic records from mobile devices, we analyzed human mobility patterns during Hurricanes Helene a…
View article: Rural-to-Urban Migrant Worker Mobility Shaped Measles Epidemics in China
Rural-to-Urban Migrant Worker Mobility Shaped Measles Epidemics in China Open
Despite sustained high routine childhood vaccination coverage, measles outbreaks have persisted across Provincial-Level Administrative Divisions (PLADs) in China. Epidemiological evidence suggests that migrant workers substantially contrib…
View article: Intrinsic health as a foundation for a science of health
Intrinsic health as a foundation for a science of health Open
The health sciences largely focus on disease. However, the interconnected determinants of diseases suggest that we need a science of health, a framework to examine the biology of homeodynamics in a changing environment and how this affects…
View article: The time- and space-varying roles of human mobility in shaping urban dengue epidemics
The time- and space-varying roles of human mobility in shaping urban dengue epidemics Open
Dengue outbreaks continue to cause large morbidity and mortality globally. Previous work has shown that human movement alongside weather, climatic, ecological, and socioeconomic factors influence outbreak size, persistence, and geographica…
View article: Behavior-driven forecasts of neighborhood-level COVID-19 spread in New York City
Behavior-driven forecasts of neighborhood-level COVID-19 spread in New York City Open
The COVID-19 pandemic in New York City (NYC) was characterized by marked disparities in disease burdens across neighborhoods. Accurate neighborhood-level forecasts are critical for planning more equitable resource allocation to reduce heal…
View article: Estimating nosocomial transmission of micro-organisms in hospital settings using patient records and culture data
Estimating nosocomial transmission of micro-organisms in hospital settings using patient records and culture data Open
Pathogenic bacteria are a major threat to patient health in hospitals. Here we leverage electronic health records from a major New York City hospital system collected during 2020-2021 to support simulation inference of nosocomial transmiss…
View article: Intrinsic Health as a Foundation for a Science of Health
Intrinsic Health as a Foundation for a Science of Health Open
The health sciences largely focus on disease. However, the interconnected determinants of diseases suggest that we need a Science of Health, a framework to examine the biology of homeodynamics in a changing environment and how this impacts…
View article: Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020–2021
Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020–2021 Open
During the COVID-19 pandemic, forecasting COVID-19 trends to support planning and response was a priority for scientists and decision makers alike. In the United States, COVID-19 forecasting was coordinated by a large group of universities…
View article: Quantifying suicide contagion at population scale
Quantifying suicide contagion at population scale Open
The spread of suicidal behavior among individuals is often described as a contagion; however, rigorous modeling of suicide as a dynamic, contagious process is minimal. Here, we develop and validate a model-inference system depicting suicid…
View article: Predictability of human mobility during the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States
Predictability of human mobility during the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States Open
Human mobility is fundamental to a range of applications including epidemic control, urban planning, and traffic engineering. While laws governing individual movement trajectories and population flows across locations have been extensively…
View article: Evaluation of FluSight influenza forecasting in the 2021–22 and 2022–23 seasons with a new target laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalizations
Evaluation of FluSight influenza forecasting in the 2021–22 and 2022–23 seasons with a new target laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalizations Open
Accurate forecasts can enable more effective public health responses during seasonal influenza epidemics. For the 2021–22 and 2022–23 influenza seasons, 26 forecasting teams provided national and jurisdiction-specific probabilistic predict…
View article: Panchromatic All-Polymer Photodetector with Tunable Polarization Sensitivity
Panchromatic All-Polymer Photodetector with Tunable Polarization Sensitivity Open
In this report, a high-performance all-polymer organic photodetector that is sensitive to linearly polarized light throughout the visible spectrum is demonstrated. The active layer is a bulk heterojunction composed of an electron donor pol…
View article: Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020–2021
Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020–2021 Open
During the COVID-19 pandemic, forecasting COVID-19 trends to support planning and response was a priority for scientists and decision makers alike. In the United States, COVID-19 forecasting was coordinated by a large group of universities…
View article: Behavior-driven forecasts of neighborhood-level COVID-19 spread in New York City
Behavior-driven forecasts of neighborhood-level COVID-19 spread in New York City Open
The COVID-19 pandemic in New York City (NYC) was characterized by marked disparities in disease burdens across neighborhoods. Accurate neighborhood-level forecasts are critical for planning more equitable resource allocation to reduce heal…
View article: Exploring Domain Incremental Video Highlights Detection with the LiveFood Benchmark
Exploring Domain Incremental Video Highlights Detection with the LiveFood Benchmark Open
Video highlights detection (VHD) is an active research field in computer vision, aiming to locate the most user-appealing clips given raw video inputs. However, most VHD methods are based on the closed world assumption, i.e., a fixed numbe…
View article: Influence maximization based on threshold models in hypergraphs
Influence maximization based on threshold models in hypergraphs Open
Influence maximization problem has received significant attention in recent years due to its application in various domains, such as product recommendation, public opinion dissemination, and disease propagation. This paper proposes a theor…
View article: Age-specific transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 during the first 2 years of the pandemic
Age-specific transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 during the first 2 years of the pandemic Open
During its first 2 years, the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic manifested as multiple waves shaped by complex interactions between variants of concern, non-pharmaceutical interventions, and the immunological landscape of the population. Understanding h…
View article: Evaluation of FluSight influenza forecasting in the 2021-22 and 2022-23 seasons with a new target laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalizations
Evaluation of FluSight influenza forecasting in the 2021-22 and 2022-23 seasons with a new target laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalizations Open
Accurate forecasts can enable more effective public health responses during seasonal influenza epidemics. Forecasting teams were asked to provide national and jurisdiction-specific probabilistic predictions of weekly confirmed influenza ho…
Spatiotemporal variations of “triple-demic” outbreaks of respiratory infections in the United States in the post-COVID-19 era Open
Background The US confronted a “triple-demic” of influenza, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), and COVID-19 in the winter of 2022, leading to increased respiratory infections and a higher demand for medical supplies. It is urgent to analyz…
View article: UNDERSTANDING THE DYNAMICS OF INTRINSIC HEALTH USING AGE-DEPENDENT QUANTILE GRAPHICAL MODELS
UNDERSTANDING THE DYNAMICS OF INTRINSIC HEALTH USING AGE-DEPENDENT QUANTILE GRAPHICAL MODELS Open
Human health is a complex and dynamic system. Individual components, such as clinical biomarkers, vary jointly as an ensemble, and appropriate models are needed to study them in the context of health. Network analysis is an effective way t…