Sarah Sparrow
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View article: Exploring the nexus of climate change and vector-borne disease transmission
Exploring the nexus of climate change and vector-borne disease transmission Open
Summary: Climate change is a critical global challenge that significantly impacts the redistribution of malaria endemicity worldwide. While efforts have been made to model malaria transmission using climatic factors, relying solely on thes…
View article: Attributing a deadly landslide disaster in Southeastern Brazil to human-induced climate change
Attributing a deadly landslide disaster in Southeastern Brazil to human-induced climate change Open
View article: The Role of Climate Change in the Expansion of Dengue
The Role of Climate Change in the Expansion of Dengue Open
Climate change-related weather and extreme events are increasing in intensity and frequency, affecting infectious disease transmission globally. Dengue, a climate-sensitive vector-borne disease, to which over half the world’s population is…
View article: Scalable, open-access and multidisciplinary data integration pipeline for climate-sensitive diseases
Scalable, open-access and multidisciplinary data integration pipeline for climate-sensitive diseases Open
Climate-sensitive infectious diseases pose an important challenge for human, animal and environmental health and it has been estimated that over half of known human pathogenic diseases can be aggravated by climate change. While climatic an…
View article: From metric to action: An evaluation framework to translate infectious disease forecasts into policy decisions
From metric to action: An evaluation framework to translate infectious disease forecasts into policy decisions Open
Like weather, energy and other areas of society, forecasts and decisions for infectious disease outbreaks are often critical. The difficult and consequential decisions are made under considerable time and societal pressure and in the face …
View article: Enhancing urban heat island assessment: a comparative study of high resolution bias-corrected UKCP18 climate simulations
Enhancing urban heat island assessment: a comparative study of high resolution bias-corrected UKCP18 climate simulations Open
Urban Heat Island (UHI) assessments increasingly require high spatial resolution, as nighttime UHI intensities frequently surpass daytime peaks and exacerbate heat-related risks. Existing projections indicate that under a Test Reference Ye…
View article: Attributing the 2021 Juruá River Floods to climate change: Evidence, impacts, and adaptation in the Brazilian Amazon
Attributing the 2021 Juruá River Floods to climate change: Evidence, impacts, and adaptation in the Brazilian Amazon Open
View article: Performance Evaluation of Weather@home2 Simulations over West African Region
Performance Evaluation of Weather@home2 Simulations over West African Region Open
Weather and climate forecasting, using climate models, have become essential tools and life-savers in the West African region; in spite of the fact that climate models do not fully comply with attributes of forecast qualities—RASAP: reliab…
View article: Quantifying CO <sub>2</sub> and Non‐CO <sub>2</sub> Contributions to Climate Change Under 1.5°C and 2°C Adaptive Emission Scenarios
Quantifying CO <sub>2</sub> and Non‐CO <sub>2</sub> Contributions to Climate Change Under 1.5°C and 2°C Adaptive Emission Scenarios Open
The individual contributions of various human‐induced forcings under scenarios compatible with the Paris Agreement targets are highly uncertain. To quantify this uncertainty, we analyze three types of models with physical parameter perturb…
View article: Changes to Atmospheric River Related Extremes Over the United States West Coast Under Anthropogenic Warming
Changes to Atmospheric River Related Extremes Over the United States West Coast Under Anthropogenic Warming Open
Despite advances in our understanding of changes to severe weather events due to climate change, uncertainty regarding rare extreme events persists. Atmospheric rivers (ARs), which are directly responsible for the majority of precipitation…
View article: The Impact of Climate Change on the Tibbitt to Contwoyto Winter Road
The Impact of Climate Change on the Tibbitt to Contwoyto Winter Road Open
View article: Location planning of future offshore wind farms under climate change-driven extreme weather events
Location planning of future offshore wind farms under climate change-driven extreme weather events Open
View article: Climate Change Attribution to the 2021 Historic Floods in the Juruá River Basin, Brazilian Amazon: Impacts and Adaptation Insights
Climate Change Attribution to the 2021 Historic Floods in the Juruá River Basin, Brazilian Amazon: Impacts and Adaptation Insights Open
View article: Assessing the Long-Term Effects of Climate Change on Offshore Wind Operations in the UK
Assessing the Long-Term Effects of Climate Change on Offshore Wind Operations in the UK Open
View article: AERA-MIP: emission pathways, remaining budgets, and carbon cycle dynamics compatible with 1.5 and 2 °C global warming stabilization
AERA-MIP: emission pathways, remaining budgets, and carbon cycle dynamics compatible with 1.5 and 2 °C global warming stabilization Open
While international climate policies now focus on limiting global warming to well below 2 °C or pursuing a 1.5 °C level of global warming, the climate modelling community has not provided an experimental design in which all Earth system mo…
View article: Performance Evaluation of Weather@home2 Simulations over West African Region
Performance Evaluation of Weather@home2 Simulations over West African Region Open
Weather and climate forecasting is extremely important for improving the socio-economic well-being of the West African region. It safe-guards the region from weather and climate related disasters. Hence, utilization of products from climat…
View article: Specific humidity verification skill of ECMWF weather forecast model in the region of Vietnam
Specific humidity verification skill of ECMWF weather forecast model in the region of Vietnam Open
In the context of an accelerated warming climate, outbreak episodes of certain diseases such as dengue are expected to increase in the future, thus increasing health burden in areas such as Vietnam. Because meteorological variables exert a…
View article: Dynamic and Thermodynamic Control of the Response of Winter Climate and Extreme Weather to Projected Arctic Sea‐Ice Loss
Dynamic and Thermodynamic Control of the Response of Winter Climate and Extreme Weather to Projected Arctic Sea‐Ice Loss Open
A novel sub‐sampling method has been used to isolate the dynamic effects of the response of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the Siberian High (SH) from the total response to projected Arctic sea‐ice loss under 2°C global warming a…
View article: Skilful probabilistic medium‐range precipitation and temperature forecasts over Vietnam for the development of a future dengue early warning system
Skilful probabilistic medium‐range precipitation and temperature forecasts over Vietnam for the development of a future dengue early warning system Open
Dengue fever is a source of substantial health burden in Vietnam. Given the well‐established influence of temperature and precipitation on vector biology and disease transmission, predictions of meteorological variables, such as those issu…
View article: The Attribution of February Extremes over North America: A Forecast-Based Storyline Study
The Attribution of February Extremes over North America: A Forecast-Based Storyline Study Open
The importance of extreme event attribution rises as climate change causes severe damage to populations resulting from unprecedented events. In February 2019, a planetary wave shifted along the U.S.–Canadian border, simultaneously leading …
View article: Ensemble of global climate simulations for temperature in historical, 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C scenarios from HadAM4
Ensemble of global climate simulations for temperature in historical, 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C scenarios from HadAM4 Open
Large ensembles of global temperature are provided for three climate scenarios: historical (2006–16), 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C above pre-industrial levels. Each scenario has 700 members (70 simulations per year for ten years) of 6-hourly mean tem…
View article: A comparative climate-resilient energy design: Wildfire Resilient Load Forecasting Model using multi-factor deep learning methods
A comparative climate-resilient energy design: Wildfire Resilient Load Forecasting Model using multi-factor deep learning methods Open
Power grid damage and blackouts are increasing with climate change. Load forecasting methods that integrate climate resilience are therefore essential to facilitate timely and accurate network reconfiguration during periods of extreme stre…
View article: Extreme rainfall and landslides as a response to human-induced climate change: a case study at Baixada Santista, Brazil, 2020
Extreme rainfall and landslides as a response to human-induced climate change: a case study at Baixada Santista, Brazil, 2020 Open
In March 2020, an extreme rainfall in Baixada Santista, Brazil, led to a series of landslides affecting more than 2800 people and resulting losses exceeding USD 43 million. This attribution study compared extreme rainfall in two large ense…
View article: Event attribution of a midlatitude windstorm using ensemble weather forecasts
Event attribution of a midlatitude windstorm using ensemble weather forecasts Open
The widespread destruction incurred by midlatitude storms every year makes it an imperative to study how storms change with climate. The impact of climate change on midlatitude windstorms, however, is hard to evaluate due to the small sign…
View article: Towards an operational forecast-based attribution system - beyond isolated events
Towards an operational forecast-based attribution system - beyond isolated events Open
Interest in the question of how anthropogenic climate change is affecting extreme weather has grown considerably over the past few years - and 2023 has been no exception. This increase in interest has brought a need for robust approaches t…
View article: Forecast-based attribution for midlatitude cyclones
Forecast-based attribution for midlatitude cyclones Open
The widespread destruction incurred by midlatitude storms every year makes it an imperative to study how storms change with climate. The impact of climate change on midlatitude windstorms, however, is hard to evaluate due to the small sign…
View article: Response of winter climate and extreme weather to projected Arctic sea-ice loss in very large-ensemble climate model simulations&#160;
Response of winter climate and extreme weather to projected Arctic sea-ice loss in very large-ensemble climate model simulations  Open
Arctic sea-ice loss and amplified Arctic warming have been one striking signature of climate change, which have important impacts on climate variability in the Arctic and mid-low latitudes. Climate modeling including the Polar Amplificatio…
View article: AERA-MIP: Emission pathways, remaining budgets and carbon cycle dynamics compatible with 1.5 ºC and 2 ºC global warming stabilization
AERA-MIP: Emission pathways, remaining budgets and carbon cycle dynamics compatible with 1.5 ºC and 2 ºC global warming stabilization Open
While international climate policies now focus on limiting global warming well below 2 °C, or pursuing 1.5 °C, the climate modeling community has not provided an experimental design in which all Earth System Models (ESMs) converge and stab…
View article: Author Correction: Response of winter climate and extreme weather to projected Arctic sea-ice loss in very large-ensemble climate model simulations
Author Correction: Response of winter climate and extreme weather to projected Arctic sea-ice loss in very large-ensemble climate model simulations Open
14) was wrongly given as 'Storm track activity is measured by the root-mean-square of 2.5-6-day band-pass filtered SLP.'; it should have been 'Storm track activity is measured by the variance of 2.5-6-day band-pass filtered meridional wind…
View article: Response of winter climate and extreme weather to projected Arctic sea-ice loss in very large-ensemble climate model simulations
Response of winter climate and extreme weather to projected Arctic sea-ice loss in very large-ensemble climate model simulations Open
Very large (~2000 members) initial-condition ensemble simulations have been performed to advance understanding of mean climate and extreme weather responses to projected Arctic sea-ice loss under 2 °C global warming above preindustrial lev…