Scott B. Capps
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View article: Sustained Wind Forecasts from the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh Model: Skill Assessment and Bias Mitigation
Sustained Wind Forecasts from the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh Model: Skill Assessment and Bias Mitigation Open
We examine the skill associated with sustained wind forecasts in the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model, extending and enhancing previous work. Some utilities use numerical weather prediction models like the HRRR to anticipate elec…
View article: Improving a WRF-Based High-Impact Weather Forecast System for a Northern California Power Utility
Improving a WRF-Based High-Impact Weather Forecast System for a Northern California Power Utility Open
We describe enhancements to an operational forecast system based on the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model for the prediction of high-impact weather events affecting power utilities, particularly conditions conducive to wildfires…
View article: Improving a WRF-based High-Impact Weather Forecast System for a Northern California Power Utility
Improving a WRF-based High-Impact Weather Forecast System for a Northern California Power Utility Open
We describe a forecast system based on the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model for the prediction of high-impact weather events affecting power utilities, particularly conditions conducive to wildfires. The system was developed fo…
View article: Modelling chamise fuel moisture content across California: a machine learning approach
Modelling chamise fuel moisture content across California: a machine learning approach Open
Live fuel moisture content plays a significant and complex role in wildfire propagation. However, insitu historical and near real-time live fuel moisture measurements are temporally and spatially sparse within wildfire-prone regions. Routi…
View article: Santa Ana Winds: A Descriptive Climatology
Santa Ana Winds: A Descriptive Climatology Open
The criteria used to define Santa Ana winds (SAWs) are dependent upon both the impact of interest (e.g., catastrophic wildfires) and the location and/or time of day examined. We employ a comprehensive definition and methodology for constru…
View article: A Hybrid Dynamical–Statistical Downscaling Technique. Part I: Development and Validation of the Technique
A Hybrid Dynamical–Statistical Downscaling Technique. Part I: Development and Validation of the Technique Open
In this study (Part I), the mid-twenty-first-century surface air temperature increase in the entire CMIP5 ensemble is downscaled to very high resolution (2 km) over the Los Angeles region, using a new hybrid dynamical–statistical technique…