Scott A. Condie
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View article: Protection of coral reef fish delivers ecosystem-critical biocontrol of coral-eating starfish across the Great Barrier Reef
Protection of coral reef fish delivers ecosystem-critical biocontrol of coral-eating starfish across the Great Barrier Reef Open
While biological control (or biocontrol) is an established method for managing pest species in terrestrial systems, few successful applications have been reported for marine environments. Crown-of-thorns starfish (CoTS, Acanthaster ssp.) a…
View article: A rapidly closing window for coral persistence under global warming
A rapidly closing window for coral persistence under global warming Open
Coral reefs around the world are increasingly threatened by marine heatwaves causing widespread coral bleaching and mortality. Global analyses of projected heatwaves can inform decision-making, but forecasting the interactions between dist…
View article: Passive retention of simulated larvae on coral reefs
Passive retention of simulated larvae on coral reefs Open
The extent to which local coral populations are self-sustaining through local recruitment has important implications for managing coral reef systems. However, a lack of understanding has led to overly simplistic representation of this phen…
View article: A Machine Learning Approach to Rapidly Downscale Sea Surface Temperature Extremes and Heat Stress on the Great Barrier Reef
A Machine Learning Approach to Rapidly Downscale Sea Surface Temperature Extremes and Heat Stress on the Great Barrier Reef Open
Reef‐scale climate projections, such as those generated by CMIP6, are critical for guiding the development of effective intervention strategies for mass coral bleaching events. We developed a machine learning (ML) model based on a super re…
View article: A graphical theory of social license: applications to climate action, renewable energy and sustainable food production
A graphical theory of social license: applications to climate action, renewable energy and sustainable food production Open
Concepts such as community attitudes, social influence, social acceptability, social license, and conflict are core elements of macro-sociological theory, as well as being central to contemporary debates across a wide range of contentious …
View article: A rapidly closing window for coral persistence under global warming
A rapidly closing window for coral persistence under global warming Open
Summary paragraph Coral reefs around the world are threatened by recurrent marine heatwaves causing mass coral bleaching and mortality 1 . Mitigating future warming impacts requires strategic management 2 that adopts a long-term lens. Glob…
View article: Disappearance of Homo floresiensis from Liang Bua alongside seasonal aridification of Flores 61,000-47,000 years ago
Disappearance of Homo floresiensis from Liang Bua alongside seasonal aridification of Flores 61,000-47,000 years ago Open
The cause of the disappearance of the primitive hominin, Homo floresiensis, from the Indonesian island of Flores ~50,000 years ago is a key question in palaeoanthropology. The potential roles of human agency and climate change continue to …
View article: Climate refugia in the Great Barrier Reef may endure into the future
Climate refugia in the Great Barrier Reef may endure into the future Open
Although global warming is leading to more frequent mass coral bleaching events worldwide, parts of the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) have consistently escaped severe coral bleaching. Modeling and satellite observations show that climate refugi…
View article: Capturing fine-scale coral dynamics with a metacommunity modelling framework
Capturing fine-scale coral dynamics with a metacommunity modelling framework Open
Natural systems exhibit high spatial variability across multiple scales. Models that can capture ecosystem dynamics across space and time by explicitly incorporating major biological mechanisms are crucial, both for management and for ecol…
View article: Social influence modelling demonstrates that strategic communication and depoliticization reduces conflict in aquaculture
Social influence modelling demonstrates that strategic communication and depoliticization reduces conflict in aquaculture Open
Conflict between stakeholder groups around social and environmental issues can fragment communities and disrupt development. For the past decade, salmon farming has globally been one of the most contentious issues within the aquaculture se…
View article: Reproducing within-reef variability in coral dynamics with a metacommunity modelling framework
Reproducing within-reef variability in coral dynamics with a metacommunity modelling framework Open
Reef systems span spatial scales from 10s to 100s and even 1000s of kilometres, with substantial spatial variability across these scales. Managing and predicting the future of coral reefs requires insights into reef functioning at all spat…
View article: Control efforts of crown‐of‐thorns starfish outbreaks to limit future coral decline across the Great Barrier Reef
Control efforts of crown‐of‐thorns starfish outbreaks to limit future coral decline across the Great Barrier Reef Open
Crown‐of‐thorns starfish (CoTS) naturally occur on coral reefs throughout the Indo‐Pacific region. On Australia's Great Barrier Reef (GBR), outbreaks of CoTS populations are responsible for ecologically significant losses of corals, and wh…
View article: Ecological Forecasting and Operational Information Systems Support Sustainable Ocean Management
Ecological Forecasting and Operational Information Systems Support Sustainable Ocean Management Open
In times of rapid change and rising human pressures on marine systems, information about the future state of the ocean can provide decision-makers with time to avoid adverse impacts and maximise opportunities. An ecological forecast predic…
View article: Changing the climate risk trajectory for coral reefs
Changing the climate risk trajectory for coral reefs Open
Coral reefs are extremely vulnerable to climate change and their recent degradation will continue unless we can instigate strong global climate action with effective regional interventions. Many types of intervention have been proposed and…
View article: Influence of offshore oil and gas structures on seascape ecological connectivity
Influence of offshore oil and gas structures on seascape ecological connectivity Open
Offshore platforms, subsea pipelines, wells and related fixed structures supporting the oil and gas (O&G) industry are prevalent in oceans across the globe, with many approaching the end of their operational life and requiring decommission…
View article: Knowledge Gaps in the Biology, Ecology, and Management of the Pacific Crown-of-Thorns Sea Star<i>Acanthaster</i>sp. on Australia’s Great Barrier Reef
Knowledge Gaps in the Biology, Ecology, and Management of the Pacific Crown-of-Thorns Sea Star<i>Acanthaster</i>sp. on Australia’s Great Barrier Reef Open
Crown-of-thorns sea stars (Acanthaster sp.) are among the most studied coral reef organisms, owing to their propensity to undergo major population irruptions, which contribute to significant coral loss and reef degradation throughout the I…
View article: Large-scale interventions may delay decline of the Great Barrier Reef
Large-scale interventions may delay decline of the Great Barrier Reef Open
On the iconic Great Barrier Reef (GBR), the cumulative impacts of tropical cyclones, marine heatwaves and regular outbreaks of coral-eating crown-of-thorns starfish (CoTS) have severely depleted coral cover. Climate change will further exa…
View article: Cumulative impacts across Australia’s Great Barrier Reef: A mechanistic evaluation
Cumulative impacts across Australia’s Great Barrier Reef: A mechanistic evaluation Open
Cumulative impacts assessments on marine ecosystems have been hindered by the difficulty of collecting environmental data and identifying drivers of community dynamics beyond local scales. On coral reefs, an additional challenge is to dise…
View article: Hydrodynamic connectivity, water temperature, and salinity are major drivers of piscirickettsiosis prevalence and transmission among salmonid farms in Chile
Hydrodynamic connectivity, water temperature, and salinity are major drivers of piscirickettsiosis prevalence and transmission among salmonid farms in Chile Open
Piscirickettsiosis is one of the most important diseases affecting farmed salmonid in Chile. Several studies have demonstrated the survival of Piscirickettsia salmonis in seawater and the horizontal transmission from infected to non-infect…
View article: Split spawning increases robustness of coral larval supply and inter-reef connectivity
Split spawning increases robustness of coral larval supply and inter-reef connectivity Open
Many habitat-building corals undergo mass synchronous spawning events. Yet, despite the enormous amounts of larvae produced, larval dispersal from a single spawning event and the reliability of larval supply are highly dependent on vagarie…
View article: SIMA Austral: An operational information system for managing the Chilean aquaculture industry with international application
SIMA Austral: An operational information system for managing the Chilean aquaculture industry with international application Open
The Integrated Management System for the Aquaculture (SIMA in Spanish) is a comprehensive interoperable information and modelling platform that has been developed to provide the Chilean Aquaculture industry and government agencies with acc…
View article: Early human settlement of Sahul was not an accident
Early human settlement of Sahul was not an accident Open
The first peopling of Sahul (Australia, New Guinea and the Aru Islands joined at lower sea levels) by anatomically modern humans required multiple maritime crossings through Wallacea, with at least one approaching 100 km. Whether these cro…
View article: Connectivity networks for Acropora corals on the GBR to investigate split spawning
Connectivity networks for Acropora corals on the GBR to investigate split spawning Open
Connectivity networks for Acropora corals on the GBR to investigate split spawning. If using these outputs please cite the article: Hock K, Doropoulos C, Gorton R, Condie SA, Mumby PJ. (2019). Split spawning increases robustness of coral l…
View article: Connectivity networks for Acropora corals on the GBR to investigate split spawning
Connectivity networks for Acropora corals on the GBR to investigate split spawning Open
Connectivity networks for Acropora corals on the GBR to investigate split spawning. If using these outputs please cite the article: Hock K, Doropoulos C, Gorton R, Condie SA, Mumby PJ. (2019). Split spawning increases robustness of coral l…
View article: Response to Bode and colleagues: ‘Resilient reefs may exist, but can larval dispersal models find them?’
Response to Bode and colleagues: ‘Resilient reefs may exist, but can larval dispersal models find them?’ Open
Bode and colleagues' response to our paper posits that the identification of specific reefs that drive recovery is unsafe because models of larval dispersal ('connectivity') are insufficiently accurate or consistent to make useful predicti…
View article: Connectivity And Systemic Resilience Of The Great Barrier Reef
Connectivity And Systemic Resilience Of The Great Barrier Reef Open
The text file contains the R code needed to reproduce the GLM with tweedie package as shown in the S3 Table. The zip file contains connectivity networks used in manuscript to obtain Figures 2-5 and S1-S4. The networks are provided in a sou…