Simon Dietz
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View article: A food system transformation pathway reconciles 1.5 °C global warming with improved health, environment and social inclusion
A food system transformation pathway reconciles 1.5 °C global warming with improved health, environment and social inclusion Open
The improvement of the global food system requires a thorough understanding of how specific measures may contribute to the system’s transformation. Here we apply a global food and land system modelling framework to quantify the impact of 2…
View article: Economic growth and agricultural land conversion under uncertain productivity improvements in agriculture
Economic growth and agricultural land conversion under uncertain productivity improvements in agriculture Open
We study how uncertainty in the evolution of agricultural productivity interacts with economic and population growth, and the associated the demand for food. We use two-sector Schumpeterian model of growth, in which a manufacturing sector …
View article: Growth and adaptation to climate change in the long run
Growth and adaptation to climate change in the long run Open
As the climate changes, economies are adapting through innovation, demography and structural change. However, adaptation is costly, so reducing future greenhouse gas emissions can improve welfare substantially. To document this, we employ …
View article: Synthesis of evidence yields high social cost of carbon due to structural model variation and uncertainties
Synthesis of evidence yields high social cost of carbon due to structural model variation and uncertainties Open
Estimating the cost to society from a ton of CO 2 —termed the social cost of carbon (SCC)—requires connecting a model of the climate system with a representation of the economic and social effects of changes in climate, and the aggregation…
View article: Caption-Driven Explorations: Aligning Image and Text Embeddings through Human-Inspired Foveated Vision
Caption-Driven Explorations: Aligning Image and Text Embeddings through Human-Inspired Foveated Vision Open
Understanding human attention is crucial for vision science and AI. While many models exist for free-viewing, less is known about task-driven image exploration. To address this, we introduce CapMIT1003, a dataset with captions and click-co…
View article: How Intermodal Interaction Affects the Performance of Deep Multimodal Fusion for Mixed-Type Time Series
How Intermodal Interaction Affects the Performance of Deep Multimodal Fusion for Mixed-Type Time Series Open
Mixed-type time series (MTTS) is a bimodal data type that is common in many domains, such as healthcare, finance, environmental monitoring, and social media. It consists of regularly sampled continuous time series and irregularly sampled c…
View article: Synthesis of Evidence Yields High Social Cost of Carbon Due to Structural Model Variation and Uncertainties
Synthesis of Evidence Yields High Social Cost of Carbon Due to Structural Model Variation and Uncertainties Open
Estimating the cost to society from a ton of carbon dioxide (CO2) released into the atmosphere requires connecting a model of the climate system with a representation of the economic and social effects of changes in climate, as well as the…
View article: Economic impacts of tipping points in the climate system
Economic impacts of tipping points in the climate system Open
Climate scientists have long emphasized the importance of climate tipping points like thawing permafrost, ice sheet disintegration, and changes in atmospheric circulation. Yet, save for a few fragmented studies, climate economics has eithe…
View article: A food system transformation can enhance global health, environmental conditions and social inclusion
A food system transformation can enhance global health, environmental conditions and social inclusion Open
The current global food system has detrimental outcomes for global health, environmental conditions and social inclusion. A coherent vision of a desirable food system can guide a sustainable food system transformation and help to structure…
View article: Contrastive Language-Image Pretrained Models are Zero-Shot Human Scanpath Predictors
Contrastive Language-Image Pretrained Models are Zero-Shot Human Scanpath Predictors Open
Understanding the mechanisms underlying human attention is a fundamental challenge for both vision science and artificial intelligence. While numerous computational models of free-viewing have been proposed, less is known about the mechani…
View article: Economic impacts of melting of the Antarctic Ice Sheet
Economic impacts of melting of the Antarctic Ice Sheet Open
Dataset supporting figures and tables in Dietz, Simon and Koninx, Felix (forthcoming), "Economic impacts of melting of the Antarctic Ice Sheet", Nature Communications
View article: Economic impacts of melting of the Antarctic Ice Sheet
Economic impacts of melting of the Antarctic Ice Sheet Open
Dataset supporting figures and tables in Dietz, Simon and Koninx, Felix (forthcoming), "Economic impacts of melting of the Antarctic Ice Sheet", Nature Communications
View article: Reply to Keen et al.: Dietz et al. modeling of climate tipping points is informative even if estimates are a probable lower bound
Reply to Keen et al.: Dietz et al. modeling of climate tipping points is informative even if estimates are a probable lower bound Open
Microbial communities are found throughout the biosphere, from human guts to glaciers, from soil to activated sludge. Understanding the statistical properties of such diverse communities can pave the way to elucidate the common mechanisms …
View article: Economic impacts of tipping points in the climate system
Economic impacts of tipping points in the climate system Open
Significance Tipping points in the climate system are one of the principal reasons for concern about climate change. Climate economists have only recently begun incorporating them in economic models. We synthesize this emerging literature …
View article: What does the circular economy have to do with meeting climate goals
What does the circular economy have to do with meeting climate goals Open
Global demand for construction materials has risen substantially over the past decades. To keep global warming below 2°C, demand for steel and cement must peak by 2030 and fall below 2010 levels by 2070. The construction industry must make…
View article: The oil and gas industry will need to scale back much faster to limit warming to 1.5°C
The oil and gas industry will need to scale back much faster to limit warming to 1.5°C Open
If global temperature increase is to be limited to 1.5°C, CO2 emissions must reach net zero in 2050, if not sooner. Consumption of oil must begin to fall in the next few years and fall substantially thereafter – far from the gentle plateau…
View article: Pricing ambiguity in catastrophe risk insurance
Pricing ambiguity in catastrophe risk insurance Open
Ambiguity about the probability of loss is a salient feature of catastrophe risk insurance. Evidence shows that insurers charge higher premiums under ambiguity, but that they rely on simple heuristics to do so, rather than being able to tu…
View article: Are economists getting climate dynamics right and does it matter?
Are economists getting climate dynamics right and does it matter? Open
<p>We show that several of the most important economic models of climate change produce climate dynamics inconsistent with the current crop of models in climate science. First, most economic models exhibit far too long a delay betwee…
View article: Tipping Points in the Climate System and the Economics of Climate Change
Tipping Points in the Climate System and the Economics of Climate Change Open
<div>Tipping points in the climate system are a key determinant of future impacts from climate change. Current consensus estimates for the economic impact of greenhouse gas emissions, however, do not yet incorporate tipping points.&a…