Steven G. Bowen
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View article: The Global Influence of ENSO on Rapid Intensification of Tropical Cyclones
The Global Influence of ENSO on Rapid Intensification of Tropical Cyclones Open
Tropical cyclone (TC) rapid intensification (RI) is a major source of uncertainty in TC prediction. Here we examine observed basin‐specific relationships between RI and El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO), where RI is defined as a TC stren…
View article: The Remarkable 2024 North Atlantic Mid‐Season Hurricane Lull
The Remarkable 2024 North Atlantic Mid‐Season Hurricane Lull Open
The 2024 North Atlantic (hereafter Atlantic) hurricane season started quickly, with the earliest Category 5 on record (Beryl) and three hurricanes forming through 14 August. Following Ernesto's dissipation on 20 August, the Atlantic hurric…
View article: The growing void in the U.S. homeowners insurance market: who should bear the rising cost of climate change?
The growing void in the U.S. homeowners insurance market: who should bear the rising cost of climate change? Open
Homeowner insurance is a cornerstone of modern society. It underpins broader housing markets, provides financial security for families and individuals, and is a source of resilience for communities recovering from disasters. However, clima…
View article: Normalized Hurricane Damage in the United States: 1900–2022
Normalized Hurricane Damage in the United States: 1900–2022 Open
Since 1900, landfalling hurricanes have been the costliest of all weather-related disasters to afflict the contiguous United States. To provide a present-day (2022) reevaluation of this risk, this study employs an improved normalization ap…
View article: The 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season: An Above-Normal Season despite Strong El Niño Conditions
The 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season: An Above-Normal Season despite Strong El Niño Conditions Open
The 2023 Atlantic hurricane season was above normal, producing 20 named storms, 7 hurricanes, 3 major hurricanes, and seasonal accumulated cyclone energy that exceeded the 1991–2020 average. Hurricane Idalia was the most damaging hurricane…
View article: Normalized Hurricane Damage in the United States: 1900-2022
Normalized Hurricane Damage in the United States: 1900-2022 Open
Since 1980 landfalling continental US hurricanes have caused over one trillion dollars in damage (Consumer Price Index-adjusted) with damage increases growing exponentially since 1900. In the context of future risk mitigation, understandin…
View article: Near-term tropical cyclone risk and coupled Earth system model biases
Near-term tropical cyclone risk and coupled Earth system model biases Open
Most current climate models predict that the equatorial Pacific will evolve under greenhouse gas–induced warming to a more El Niño-like state over the next several decades, with a reduced zonal sea surface temperature gradient and weakened…
View article: Influence of the Madden‐Julian Oscillation on Continental United States Hurricane Landfalls
Influence of the Madden‐Julian Oscillation on Continental United States Hurricane Landfalls Open
The Madden‐Julian oscillation (MJO) significantly impacts North Atlantic hurricanes, with increased hurricane activity occurring when the MJO enhances convection over Africa and the tropical Indian Ocean and suppressed hurricane activity o…
View article: Characterizing Continental US Hurricane Risk: Which Intensity Metric Is Best?
Characterizing Continental US Hurricane Risk: Which Intensity Metric Is Best? Open
The damage potential of a hurricane is widely considered to depend more strongly on an integrated measure of the hurricane wind field, such as integrated kinetic energy (IKE), than a point‐based wind measure, such as maximum sustained wind…
View article: Influence of The Madden-Julian Oscillation on Continental United States Hurricane Landfalls
Influence of The Madden-Julian Oscillation on Continental United States Hurricane Landfalls Open
The Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) significantly impacts North Atlantic hurricanes, with more hurricane activity occurring when the MJO favors enhanced convection over Africa and the tropical Indian Ocean and suppressed hurricane activity…
View article: Characterizing Continental US Hurricane Risk: Which Intensity Metric is Best?
Characterizing Continental US Hurricane Risk: Which Intensity Metric is Best? Open
The damage potential of a hurricane is widely considered to depend more strongly on an integrated measure of the hurricane wind field, such as Integrated Kinetic Energy (IKE), than a point-based wind measure, such as maximum sustained wind…
View article: Trends in Global Tropical Cyclone Activity: 1990–2021
Trends in Global Tropical Cyclone Activity: 1990–2021 Open
This study investigates global tropical cyclone (TC) activity trends from 1990 to 2021, a period marked by largely consistent observational platforms. Several global TC metrics have decreased during this period, with significant decreases …
View article: Revisiting the Record 1933 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Performance of Current Statistical Hurricane Models in Predicting this Historic Season
Revisiting the Record 1933 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Performance of Current Statistical Hurricane Models in Predicting this Historic Season Open
"Revisiting the Record 1933 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Performance of Current Statistical Hurricane Models in Predicting this Historic Season" published on 04 Dec 2023 by American Meteorological Society.
View article: A Hyperactive End to the Atlantic Hurricane Season October–November 2020
A Hyperactive End to the Atlantic Hurricane Season October–November 2020 Open
The active 2020 Atlantic hurricane season produced 30 named storms, 14 hurricanes, and 7 major hurricanes (category 3+ on the Saffir–Simpson hurricane wind scale). Though the season was active overall, the final two months (October–Novembe…
View article: The Record-Breaking 1933 Atlantic Hurricane Season
The Record-Breaking 1933 Atlantic Hurricane Season Open
The 1933 Atlantic hurricane season was extremely active, with 20 named storms and 11 hurricanes including 6 major (category 3+; 1-min maximum sustained winds ≥96 kt) hurricanes occurring. The 1933 hurricane season also generated the most a…
View article: Why Hurricane Categories Should Be Based on Surface Pressure
Why Hurricane Categories Should Be Based on Surface Pressure Open
A tlantic hurricanes in 2017 and 2018 resulted in more than $345 billion in damage for the United States and Caribbean.The primary drivers of the damage varied significantly for each individual stormfrom freshwater-driven impacts for Harve…
View article: Surface Pressure a More Skillful Predictor of Normalized Hurricane Damage than Maximum Sustained Wind
Surface Pressure a More Skillful Predictor of Normalized Hurricane Damage than Maximum Sustained Wind Open
This repository consists of the data used for the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society paper entitled "Surface Pressure a More Skillful Predictor of Normalized Hurricane Damage than Maximum Sustained Wind". Three files are inclu…
View article: Surface Pressure a More Skillful Predictor of Normalized Hurricane Damage than Maximum Sustained Wind
Surface Pressure a More Skillful Predictor of Normalized Hurricane Damage than Maximum Sustained Wind Open
This repository consists of the data used for the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society paper entitled "Surface Pressure a More Skillful Predictor of Normalized Hurricane Damage than Maximum Sustained Wind". Three files are inclu…