Explanipedia

Safeguarding the polar regions from dangerous geoengineering: a critical assessment of proposed concepts and future prospects Open

Martín J. Siegert, Heïdi Sevestre, Michael J. Bentley, Julie Brigham-Grette, Henry Burgess , et al. · 2025

Fossil-fuel burning is heating the planet with catastrophic consequences for its habitability and for the natural world on which our existence depends. Halting global warming requires rapid and deep decarbonization to “net zero” carbon dio…

Obliquity disruption and Antarctic ice sheet dynamics over a 2.4-Myr astronomical grand cycle Open

Nicholas B. Sullivan, Stephen R. Meyers, Richard Levy, Robert M. McKay, Tina van de Flierdt , et al. · 2025

Marine δ 18 O data reveal astronomical forcing of the climate and cryosphere during the Miocene, when atmospheric P co 2 was on par with emissions scenarios over the next century. This inspired hypotheses for how Milankovitch cycles, ice-o…

Survival strategies of Antarctic vegetation during extensive glacial expansion across the Oligocene/Miocene Transition Open

Bella Duncan, Robert M. McKay, Richard Levy, Joseph G. Prebble, T. Naish , et al. · 2025

Antarctica’s terrestrial ecosystems are at risk from a rapidly changing climate. Investigating how Antarctica’s vascular plants responded to major climatic variations in the geological past, especially under atmospheric CO2 values similar …

A Sea Change is Needed For Adapting to Sea-Level Rise in Aotearoa New Zealand Open

T. Naish, Judy Lawrence, Richard Levy, Robert G. Bell, Vincent van Uitregt , et al. · 2024

Sea-level rise is accelerating globally and will continue for centuries under all shared socioeconomic pathways. Although sea-level rise is a global issue, its impacts manifest heterogeneously at the local scale, with some coastal communit…

Spatially variable response of Antarctica's ice sheets to orbital forcing during the Pliocene Open

Molly O. Patterson, Christiana Destry Rosenberg, Osamu Seki, Masanobu Yamamoto, Oscar E Romero , et al. · 2024

Variations in Earth’s orbit pace global ice-volume/sea-level changes, but the variability in the response for different sectors of the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS) to orbitally-forced climate change remains unclear. We present geological reco…

Uncertain Pathways to a Future Safe Climate Open

Steven C. Sherwood, Gabriele C. Hegerl, Pascale Braconnot, Pierre Friedlingstein, Heiko Goelzer , et al. · 2024

Global climate change is often thought of as a steady and approximately predictable physical response to increasing forcings, which then requires commensurate adaptation. But adaptation has practical, cultural and biological limits, and cl…

The Significance of Interseismic Vertical Land Movement at Convergent Plate Boundaries in Probabilistic Sea‐Level Projections for AR6 Scenarios: The New Zealand Case Open

T. Naish, Richard Levy, Ian Hamling, Sigrún Hreinsdóttir, Praveen Kumar , et al. · 2024

Anticipating and managing the impacts of sea‐level rise for nations astride active tectonic margins requires understanding of rates of sea surface elevation change in relation to coastal land elevation. Vertical land motion (VLM) can eithe…

Plio-Pleistocene Southern Ocean Paleoceanography: Latitudinal drilling in the Southwestern Indian sector of the Southern Ocean Open

Minoru Ikehara, Xavier Crosta, Samuel L. Jaccard, T. Naish, Yasuyuki Nakamura · 2024

Proposal 918-pre in the Southern Ocean exists in the current science evaluation system of IODP. Site surveys were completed in 2019. We would like to develop an international research project based on this proposal by conducting new drilli…

Uncertain Pathways to a Future Safe Climate Open

Steven C. Sherwood, Bette L. Otto‐Bliesner, Elisabeth A. Holland, Gabriele C. Hegerl, James Renwick , et al. · 2023

Global climate change is often thought of as a steady and approximately predictable physical response to increasing forcings, which then requires commensurate adaptation. But adaptation has practical, cultural and biological limits, and cl…

A ∼200-year relative sea-level reconstruction from the Wellington region (New Zealand) reveals insights into vertical land movement trends Open

Daniel J. King, Rewi M. Newnham, Andrew Rees, Kate Clark, Ed Garrett , et al. · 2023

COP28: Earth’s frozen zones are in trouble – we’re already seeing the consequences Open

T. Naish · 2023

Melting ice and rising seas – connecting projected change in Antarctica’s ice sheets to communities in Aotearoa New Zealand Open

Richard Levy, T. Naish, Daniel P. Lowry, Rebecca Priestley, Rachelle Winefield , et al. · 2023

Changes in global mean sea level are a clear indicator of a warming climate, but local factors including land subsidence or uplift, cause changes in relative sea level that drive shoreline shifts. These local changes and their impact on co…

Antarctic tipping points: the irreversible changes to come if we fail to keep warming below 2°C Open

T. Naish · 2023

Genomic evidence for West Antarctic Ice Sheet collapse during the Last Interglacial Open

Sally C. Y. Lau, Nerida G. Wilson, Nicholas R. Golledge, T. Naish, Phillip C. Watts , et al. · 2023

The marine-based West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) is considered vulnerable to irreversible collapse under future climate trajectories and its tipping point may even lie within the mitigated warming scenarios of 1.5–2 °C of the United Nation…

A ~200-year relative sea-level reconstruction from the Wellington region (New Zealand) reveals insights into vertical land movement trends Open

Daniel J. King, Rewi M. Newnham, Andrew Rees, Kate Clark, Ed Garrett , et al. · 2023

Dataset associated with the manuscript: A ~200-year relative sea-level reconstruction from the Wellington region (New Zealand) reveals insights into vertical land movement trends. Submitted to Marine Geology. pdf containing surface and do…

Climatic and tectonic drivers of late Oligocene Antarctic ice volume Open

Bella Duncan, Robert M. McKay, Richard Levy, T. Naish, Joseph G. Prebble , et al. · 2022

Early to middle Miocene ice sheet dynamics in the westernmost Ross Sea (Antarctica): Regional correlations Open

Lara F. Pérez, Robert M. McKay, Laura De Santis, Robert D Larter, Richard Levy , et al. · 2022

The present-day morpho-stratigraphy of the Ross Sea is the result of Cenozoic tectonic and cryospheric events, and constitutes a key record of Antarctica's cryospheric evolution. An enduring problem in interpreting this record in a broader…

Sensitivity of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet to +2 °C (SWAIS 2C) Open

Molly O. Patterson, Richard Levy, Denise K. Kulhanek, Tina van de Flierdt, Huw Horgan , et al. · 2022

The West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) presently holds enough ice to raise global sea level by 4.3 m if completely melted. The unknown response of the WAIS to future warming remains a significant challenge for numerical models in quantifying …

The Uncertain Future of Antarctica’s Melting Ice Open

Florence Colleoni, T. Naish, Robert M. DeConto, Laura De Santis, Pippa L. Whitehouse · 2022

A new multidisciplinary, international research program aims to tackle one of the grand challenges in climate science: resolving the Antarctic Ice Sheet’s contribution to future sea level rise.

Climate and Cryosphere (CliC) Strategy Plan 2022-2031 Open

Fiammetta Straneo, James Renwick, T. Naish, Amy Lauren Lovecraft, Lars H. Smedsrud , et al. · 2021

The CliC Strategic Plan 2022–2031 was prepared by the CliC Scientific Steering Group (2021), the CliC International Project Office (IPO), and the WCRP Secretariat.

Meteoric Beryllium-10 in Miocene permafrost and the onset of persistent polar aridity in East Antarctica Open

Marjolaine Verret, Cassandra Trinh-Le, Warren Dickinson, Kevin Norton, Denis Lacelle , et al. · 2021

Continental scale ice sheets have occupied Antarctica since the major global cooling across the Eocene/Oligocene boundary (~33.9 Ma). However, the timing and nature of the transition to a relatively stable and persistent terrestrial East A…

Retreat of the Antarctic Ice Sheet During the Last Interglaciation and Implications for Future Change Open

Nicholas R. Golledge, Peter U. Clark, Feng He, Andrea Dutton, Chris Turney , et al. · 2021

The Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS) response to past warming consistent with the 1.5–2°C “safe limit” of the United Nations Paris Agreement is currently not well known. Empirical evidence from the most recent comparable period, the Last Intergla…

Early and middle Miocene ice sheet dynamics in the Ross Sea: Results from integrated core-log-seismic interpretation Open

Lara F. Pérez, Laura De Santis, Robert M. McKay, Robert D Larter, Jeanine L. Ash , et al. · 2021

Oscillations in ice sheet extent during early and middle Miocene are intermittently preserved in the sedimentary record from the Antarctic continental shelf, with widespread erosion occurring during major ice sheet advances, and open marin…

Cryostratigraphy of mid-Miocene permafrost at Friis Hills, McMurdo Dry Valleys of Antarctica – ERRATUM Open

Marjolaine Verret, Warren Dickinson, Denis Lacelle, David E. Fisher, Kevin Norton , et al. · 2021

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The SWAIS 2C Project - sensitivity of the West Antarctic ice sheet in a warmer world Open

Richard Levy, Molly O. Patterson, Tina van de Flierdt, F.J. Jiménez-Espejo, Paolo Stocchi , et al. · 2020

9th SCAR Open Science Conference and XXXVI SCAR Meetings, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia, 31 July - 11 August 2020

Bila pemanasan global melebihi 2°C, lelehan es Antarktika bisa menaikkan muka laut hingga 20 meter Open

Georgia Grant, T. Naish · 2019

If warming exceeds 2°C, Antarctica’s melting ice sheets could raise seas 20 metres in coming centuries Open

Georgia Grant, T. Naish · 2019

Antarctic ice-sheet sensitivity to obliquity forcing enhanced through ocean connections Open

Richard Levy, Stephen R. Meyers, T. Naish, Nicholas R. Golledge, Robert M. McKay , et al. · 2019

A Pliocene relative sea level record from New Zealand calculated from grain size Open

Georgia Grant, T. Naish, Gavin Dunbar, Paolo Stocchi, Michelle A. Kominz , et al. · 2019

Earth is heading towards a climate that was last experienced more than 3 Myr during the “mid-Pliocene warm period”1. Atmospheric carbon dioxide (pCO2) concentrations were ~400 ppm, global sea level oscillated in response to orbital forcing…

Lipid biomarker distributions in Oligocene and Miocene sediments from the Ross Sea region, Antarctica: Implications for use of biomarker proxies in glacially-influenced settings Open

Bella Duncan, Robert M. McKay, James Bendle, T. Naish, Gordon N. Inglis , et al. · 2018

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