Explanipedia

Assimilation of deterministic multicycle earthquake simulations into probabilistic rupture forecasts Open

Leopoldo Vázquez, T. H. Jordan · 2025

SUMMARY A problem of growing importance in earthquake forecasting is how to compare probabilistic forecasting models with deterministic physical simulations and extract physical insights from their differences. Here, we compare the time-in…

Corrigendum: Using open-science workflow tools to produce SCEC CyberShake physics-based probabilistic seismic hazard models Open

S. Callaghan, P. J. Maechling, Fábio Silva, Mei-Hui Su, Kevin R. Milner , et al. · 2024

Using open-science workflow tools to produce SCEC CyberShake physics-based probabilistic seismic hazard models Open

S. Callaghan, P. J. Maechling, Fábio Silva, Mei-Hui Su, Kevin R. Milner , et al. · 2024

The Statewide (formerly Southern) California Earthquake Center (SCEC) conducts multidisciplinary earthquake system science research that aims to develop predictive models of earthquake processes, and to produce accurate seismic hazard info…

H<sub>2</sub>‐Transport‐ und Speicheroptionen: Normen und technische Regeln. Das Projekt TransHyDE‐Norm – Normen für den Transport von Wasserstoff nach und in Deutschland Open

Miriam Bäuerle, Thomas Paintner, Dominic Schmolke, Thomas Systermans, Werner Kinnen , et al. · 2024

Das Leitprojekt TransHyDE, mit einer Laufzeit von April 2021 bis März 2025, bewertet und testet Wasserstoff‐Transportlösungen in insgesamt elf Demonstrationsprojekten. Die praktische Erprobung wird durch eine wissenschaftliche Begleitforsc…

Model validation in natural hazard forecasting requires an unambiguous hierarchy of uncertainties Open

Warner Marzocchi, T. H. Jordan · 2023

<p>Science is rooted in the concept that a model can be tested against independent observations and rejected when necessary (model validation). However, the problem of model validation becomes formidable when we consider probabilisti…

Fractal Analysis of Hydrogen Jet Mixing on the Basis of Bos Method Open

М. Кузнецов, N. Kotchourko, A. Kotchourko, T. H. Jordan · 2022

A unified probabilistic framework for volcanic hazard and eruption forecasting Open

Warner Marzocchi, Jacopo Selva, T. H. Jordan · 2021

The main purpose of this article is to emphasize the importance of clarifying the probabilistic framework adopted for volcanic hazard and eruption forecasting. Eruption forecasting and volcanic hazard analysis seek to quantify the deep unc…

Session: Progress in Safety Research Topic: Low T (LH2/cryogenic) related. Open

Ethan Hecht, T. H. Jordan · 2021

A Unified Probabilistic Framework for Volcanic Hazard and Eruption Forecasting Open

Warner Marzocchi, Jacopo Selva, T. H. Jordan · 2021

The main purpose of this article is to emphasize the importance of clarifying the probabilistic framework adopted for volcanic hazard and eruption forecasting. Eruption forecasting and volcanic hazard analysis seeks to quantify the deep un…

Comment on tc-2020-370 Open

T. H. Jordan · 2021

Abstract. Ice crystals are mechanically and dielectrically anisotropic. They progressively align under cumulative deformation, forming an ice crystal orientation fabric that, in turn, impacts ice deformation. However, almo…

Frank Press, A life of magnitude Open

T. H. Jordan · 2020

Frank Press, 19th president of the National Academy of Sciences, died on Wednesday, January 29, 2020, at his home in Chapel Hill, North Carolina, at the age of 95. His career spanned the golden age of postwar science, and its arc took him …

The Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability Version 2 (CSEP2): Testing Forecasts that Generate Synthetic Earthquake Catalogs Open

William H. Savran, P. J. Maechling, Maximilian J. Werner, Danijel Schorlemmer, David A. Rhoades , et al. · 2019

Geophysical and geochemical constraints on the compositional heterogeneity of the upper mantle Open

T. H. Jordan · 2019

Constraints on the seismic velocity and thermal structure of the upper mantle indicate the existence of a root zone extending to a depth on the order of 400 km beneath the ancient shields which t,raq,sriStes-coherently with the continents …

Representation of complex seismic sources by orthogonal moment-tensor fields Open

T. H. Jordan, Alan Juarez · 2018

Seismic radiation from indigenous sources can be represented by the excess of model stress over actual stress, a second-order tensor field that Backus & Mulcahy named the stress glut. We prove a new representation theorem that exactly and …

Effective‐Medium Models of Inner‐Core Anisotropy Open

X. Song, T. H. Jordan · 2018

Body‐wave and normal‐mode observations of Earth's inner core show cylindrical anisotropy consistent with an alignment of hexagonal close‐packed iron (hcp‐Fe) crystals along the rotation axis. We quantify the degree of alignment by comparin…

The Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability: Achievements and Priorities Open

Danijel Schorlemmer, Maximilian J. Werner, Warner Marzocchi, T. H. Jordan, Yosihiko Ogata , et al. · 2018

The Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) is a global cyberinfrastructure for prospective evaluations of earthquake forecast models and prediction algorithms. CSEP’s goals are to improve our understanding of earth…

Site-Specific MCER Response Spectra for Los Angeles Region based on 3-D Numerical Simulations and the NGA West2 Equations Open

C.B. Crouse, T. H. Jordan, Kevin R. Milner, Christine Goulet, S. Callaghan , et al. · 2018

The Utilization of Ground Motion Simulation (UGMS) committee of the Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC) developed site-specific, risk-targeted Maximum Considered Earthquake (MCER) response spectra for the Los Angeles region. The l…

Site-Specific MCER Response Spectra for Los Angeles Region based on 3-D Numerical Simulations and the NGA West2 Equations Open

C.B. Crouse, T. H. Jordan, Kevin R. Milner, Christine Goulet, S. Callaghan , et al. · 2018

ABSTRACT\n\nThe Utilization of Ground Motion Simulation (UGMS) committee of the Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC) developed site-specific, risk-targeted Maximum Considered Earthquake (MCER) response spectra for …

A Synoptic View of the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3) Open

Edward H. Field, T. H. Jordan, M. T. Page, Kevin R. Milner, Bruce E. Shaw , et al. · 2017

Research Article| July 12, 2017 A Synoptic View of the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3) Edward H. Field; Edward H. Field aU.S. Geological Survey, Denver Federal Center, P.O. Box 25046, MS‐966, Denver, Colorado …

The Potential Uses of Operational Earthquake Forecasting: Table 1 Open

Edward H. Field, T. H. Jordan, Lucile M. Jones, Andrew J. Michael, Michael L. Blanpied · 2016

This article reports on a workshop held to explore the potential uses of operational earthquake forecasting (OEF). We discuss the current status of OEF in the United States and elsewhere, the types of products that could be generated, the …

An effective medium theory for three-dimensional elastic heterogeneities Open

T. H. Jordan · 2015

A second-order Born approximation is used to formulate a self-consistent theory for the effective elastic parameters of stochastic media with ellipsoidal distributions of small-scale heterogeneity. The covariance of the stiffness tensor is…

Varenna workshop report. Operational earthquake forecasting and decision making Open

Warner Marzocchi, T. H. Jordan, Gordon Woo · 2015

A workshop on Operational earthquake forecasting and decision making was convened in Varenna, Italy, on June 8-11, 2014, under the sponsorship of the EU FP 7 REAKT (Strategies and tools for Real-time EArthquake risK reducTion) project, the…

Fourier transforms of Gibbs measures for the Gauss map Open

T. H. Jordan, Tuomas Sahlsten · 2015

Rupture synchronicity in complex fault systems Open

Kevin R. Milner, T. H. Jordan · 2015

While most investigators would agree that the timing of large earthquakes within a fault system depends on stress-mediated interactions among its elements, much of the debate relevant to time-dependent forecasting has been centered on sing…

T. H. Jordan YOU? Author Swipe