Tim Lenton
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View article: Opening the Black Box of Financial Innovation and Sustainability Transitions: Unveiling the Roles of Green Entrepreneurship and Carbon Finance in <scp>G20</scp> Countries
Opening the Black Box of Financial Innovation and Sustainability Transitions: Unveiling the Roles of Green Entrepreneurship and Carbon Finance in <span>G20</span> Countries Open
The environmental quality continues to be in the focus of sustainable economic development, but the process by which financial innovation influences the environment is not comprehended in full. The paper examines the relationship between g…
View article: Assessing the accuracy of GEDI for mapping resilience in the Amazon rainforest along a gradient of disturbance to recovery&#160;
Assessing the accuracy of GEDI for mapping resilience in the Amazon rainforest along a gradient of disturbance to recovery  Open
Understanding the resilience of tropical vegetation, its ability to recover from disturbance, is fundamental to assess future responses to environmental and climatic fluctuations. The Amazon rainforest has been identified as a potential ti…
View article: Modelling the life-environment interface in ancient shelf seas
Modelling the life-environment interface in ancient shelf seas Open
The co-evolution of life and environment is a dynamic system of feedbacks. Much of the evolution of life took place in localized shelf sea environments where evolving biota and redox conditions created feedbacks which are hypothesized to h…
View article: Are early warning signals present for climate tipping points detected in CMIP6? &#160;
Are early warning signals present for climate tipping points detected in CMIP6?   Open
Many elements of the climate system are believed to be at risk of tipping in the near future due to ongoing climate change. Abrupt shifts or tipping points have found to be prevalent in several of the latest generation of climate models (C…
View article: The climate change, conflict and migration nexus: A holistic view
The climate change, conflict and migration nexus: A holistic view Open
Current discourse relating to climate change, conflict, migration (CCM), and the causal links thereof, is polarized. It is widely acknowledged that climate change will have a detrimental effect on quality of life, and that this impact will…
View article: Early Eocene hyperthermals as carbon cycle tipping points?
Early Eocene hyperthermals as carbon cycle tipping points? Open
Gradual global warming might trigger the release of large amounts of carbon from natural reservoirs such as submarine methane hydrates and permafrost, exacerbating the effects of human-caused carbon emissions. These "tipping points" in the…
View article: The role of vegetation in UK upland wildfires: Risk, Resilience, and Remote Sensing
The role of vegetation in UK upland wildfires: Risk, Resilience, and Remote Sensing Open
Wildfires are becoming a growing concern in the UK, as climate change increases the occurrence and persistence of periods of hot, dry weather. Vegetation type and management play an important but contested role in UK fire risk and resilien…
View article: Towards Coupled Modelling of the Biosphere and Atmosphere for the Archean Climate: the importance of Methane
Towards Coupled Modelling of the Biosphere and Atmosphere for the Archean Climate: the importance of Methane Open
<p>Life has played a key role in shaping the atmosphere since its origin on Earth, but modelling the biosphere&#8217;s impact on climate is complicated by the range of time and spatial scales involved. 3D climate models have succ…
View article: ESA Voyage 2050 White Paper: Detecting life outside our solar system with a large high-contrast-imaging mission
ESA Voyage 2050 White Paper: Detecting life outside our solar system with a large high-contrast-imaging mission Open
In this white paper, we recommend the European Space Agency plays a proactive role in developing a global collaborative effort to construct a large high-contrast imaging space telescope, e.g. as currently under study by NASA. Such a missio…
View article: Methane&#8217;s non-linear effect on climate in a three-dimensional Archean atmosphere
Methane’s non-linear effect on climate in a three-dimensional Archean atmosphere Open
The interaction between reduced gases and the pre-oxygenic photosynthesising microbial population is key to determining the potential methane greenhouse that warmed the Archean. The potential biotic methane flux could have sustained methan…
View article: Resilience of patterned vegetation in the Sahel - network centrality data
Resilience of patterned vegetation in the Sahel - network centrality data Open
Input data for a time-series analysis of the connectedness of vegetation from several locations within the Sahel. The analysis uses NDVI images from the Sentinel 2 satellite, from ESA's Copernicus program, downloaded from Google Earth Engi…
View article: Resilience of patterned vegetation in the Sahel - network centrality data
Resilience of patterned vegetation in the Sahel - network centrality data Open
Input data for a time-series analysis of the connectedness of vegetation from several locations within the Sahel. The analysis uses NDVI images from the Sentinel 2 satellite, from ESA's Copernicus program, downloaded from Google Earth Engi…
View article: Using remote sensing to monitor peatland fire occurrence and recovery
Using remote sensing to monitor peatland fire occurrence and recovery Open
<p>Many peatland areas in Great Britain are managed as grouse moors, with regular burns as part of management practice to encourage heather growth. Remote sensing has the potential to monitor the size, location, and impact of these b…
View article: ESA Voyage 2050 White Paper: Detecting life outside our solar system with a large high-contrast-imaging mission
ESA Voyage 2050 White Paper: Detecting life outside our solar system with a large high-contrast-imaging mission Open
In this white paper, we recommend the European Space Agency plays a proactive role in developing a global collaborative effort to construct a large high-contrast imaging space telescope, e.g. as currently under study by NASA. Such a missio…
View article: Impacts of 1.5°C Global Warming on Natural and Human Systems
Impacts of 1.5°C Global Warming on Natural and Human Systems Open
An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustaina…
View article: Social ‘tipping points’ under climate/environmental change
Social ‘tipping points’ under climate/environmental change Open
There is growing recognition that climate change has the potential to trigger social ‘tipping points’, potentially involving abrupt (i.e. non-linear) increases in climate damages, even under smooth (i.e. linear) climate change. Whilst the …
View article: Assessing uncertainties in land cover projections
Assessing uncertainties in land cover projections Open
Understanding uncertainties in land cover projections is critical to investigating land‐based climate mitigation policies, assessing the potential of climate adaptation strategies and quantifying the impacts of land cover change on the cli…
View article: High potential for weathering and climate effects of non-vascular vegetation in the Late Ordovician
High potential for weathering and climate effects of non-vascular vegetation in the Late Ordovician Open
It has been hypothesized that predecessors of today's bryophytes significantly increased global chemical weathering in the Late Ordovician, thus reducing atmospheric CO2 concentration and contributing to climate cooling and an interval of …