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View article: Large Uncertainty in Arctic Warming Driven by the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation
Large Uncertainty in Arctic Warming Driven by the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Open
Climate models project a weakening of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) that will reduce Arctic warming. However, there is substantial intermodel spread in the projected AMOC decline, and its contribution to uncertaint…
View article: Impacts of a Reduced AMOC on the South America Mean Climate and Extremes
Impacts of a Reduced AMOC on the South America Mean Climate and Extremes Open
The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) plays a crucial role in regulating global and regional climate by distributing heat meridionally across the planet. Future projections indicate a weakening of the AMOC in response to i…
View article: A Weakened AMOC Could Cause Southern Ocean Temperature and Sea‐Ice Change on Multidecadal Timescales
A Weakened AMOC Could Cause Southern Ocean Temperature and Sea‐Ice Change on Multidecadal Timescales Open
We present the first CMIP6‐era multi‐model intercomparison of the Southern Ocean (SO) temperature and sea‐ice response to substantial Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) weakening. Results are based on analysis of the North …
View article: Assessing drought risk in the Northern Hemisphere under weakened AMOC
Assessing drought risk in the Northern Hemisphere under weakened AMOC Open
Droughts are complex and far-reaching natural hazards, with cascading impacts that span ecosystems, agriculture, water security, and socio-economic stability. Unlike sudden-onset disasters, droughts develop across multiple spatial and temp…
View article: Extreme temperature events in Europe under a reduced AMOC
Extreme temperature events in Europe under a reduced AMOC Open
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is projected to weaken by the end of this century across all future scenarios considered by the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report. Consequently, the climate system will likely be influenced…
View article: Deglaciation and abrupt events in a coupled comprehensive atmosphere–ocean–ice-sheet–solid-earth model
Deglaciation and abrupt events in a coupled comprehensive atmosphere–ocean–ice-sheet–solid-earth model Open
During the last 20 000 years the climate of the earth has changed from a state much colder than today, with large ice sheets over North America and northwest Eurasia, to its present state. The fully interactive simulation of this transitio…
View article:  Deglaciation and abrupt events in a coupled comprehensive atmosphere--ocean--ice sheet--solid earth model
 Deglaciation and abrupt events in a coupled comprehensive atmosphere--ocean--ice sheet--solid earth model Open
During the last 20,000 years, the climate of the Earth evolved from a state much colder than today with large ice sheets covering North America and Northwest Eurasia to its present state. The fully-interactive simulation of this transition…
View article: The impact of a weakened AMOC on European heatwaves
The impact of a weakened AMOC on European heatwaves Open
In our changing climate we expect an increase in the frequency of heatwaves, which are extreme events that can have severe consequences for human health, ecosystems, and economies. In this study, we examine how the weakening of the atlanti…
View article: Deglaciation and abrupt events in a coupled comprehensive atmosphere–ocean–ice sheet–solid earth model
Deglaciation and abrupt events in a coupled comprehensive atmosphere–ocean–ice sheet–solid earth model Open
During the last 20,000 years the climate of the earth has changed from a state much colder than today with large ice sheets in North America and Northwest Eurasia to its present state. The fully-interactive simulation of this transition re…
View article: Multi-centennial evolution of the climate response and deep-ocean heat uptake in a set of abrupt stabilization scenarios with EC-Earth3
Multi-centennial evolution of the climate response and deep-ocean heat uptake in a set of abrupt stabilization scenarios with EC-Earth3 Open
Understanding long-term committed climate change due to anthropogenic forcing is key to informing climate policies, yet these timescales are still underexplored. We present here a set of 1000-year-long abrupt stabilization simulations perf…
View article: Multi-centennial evolution of the climate response and deep ocean heat uptake in a set of abrupt stabilization scenarios
Multi-centennial evolution of the climate response and deep ocean heat uptake in a set of abrupt stabilization scenarios Open
A set of 1000-year long abrupt stabilization simulations have been performed with the EC-Earth3 climate model. Each simulation follows a sudden stabilization of the external forcing, starting at different years of the CMIP6 historical and …
View article: Extreme cold events in Europe under a reduced AMOC
Extreme cold events in Europe under a reduced AMOC Open
There is a consensus that a weakened Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) decreases mean surface temperature in the Northern Hemisphere, both over the ocean and the continents. However, the impacts of a reduced AMOC on cold e…
View article: AMOC thresholds in CMIP6 models: NAHosMIP
AMOC thresholds in CMIP6 models: NAHosMIP Open
The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) is an important part of our climate system, which keeps the North Atlantic relatively warm. It is predicted to weaken under climate change. The AMOC may have a threshold beyond which r…
View article: Extreme cold events in Europe under a reduced AMOC
Extreme cold events in Europe under a reduced AMOC Open
There is a consensus that a weakened Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) decreases mean surface temperature in the Northern Hemisphere, both over the ocean and the continents. However, the impacts of a reduced AMOC on cold e…
View article: Extreme cold events in Europe under a reduced AMOC - dataset
Extreme cold events in Europe under a reduced AMOC - dataset Open
This dataset contains 9 files of data that were used for the manuscript: 'Extreme cold events in Europe under a reduced AMOC'. More specifically, 1. tasmin_day_EC-Earth3_ctrl_allEnsembles_NH_1851-1860-JFD.nc, 2. tasmin_day_EC-Earth3_a14_a…
View article: Extreme cold events in Europe under a reduced AMOC - dataset
Extreme cold events in Europe under a reduced AMOC - dataset Open
This dataset contains 9 files of data that were used for the manuscript: 'Extreme cold events in Europe under a reduced AMOC'. More specifically, 1. tasmin_day_EC-Earth3_ctrl_allEnsembles_NH_1851-1860-JFD.nc, 2. tasmin_day_EC-Earth3_a14_a…
View article: Multi-centennial evolution of the climate response and deep ocean heat uptake in a set of abrupt stabilization scenarios with EC-Earth3
Multi-centennial evolution of the climate response and deep ocean heat uptake in a set of abrupt stabilization scenarios with EC-Earth3 Open
Understanding long-term committed climate change due to anthropogenic forcing is key to inform climate policies, yet these timescales are still under-explored. We present here a set of 1000-year long abrupt stabilization simulations perfor…
View article: Understanding AMOC stability: the North Atlantic Hosing Model Intercomparison Project
Understanding AMOC stability: the North Atlantic Hosing Model Intercomparison Project Open
The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) is an important part of our climate system. The AMOC is predicted to weaken under climate change; however, theories suggest that it may have a tipping point beyond which recovery is di…
View article: Impacts of a weakened AMOC on precipitation over the Euro-Atlantic region in the EC-Earth3 climate model
Impacts of a weakened AMOC on precipitation over the Euro-Atlantic region in the EC-Earth3 climate model Open
Given paleoclimatic evidence that the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) may affect the global climate system, we conduct model experiments with EC-Earth3, a state-of-the-art GCM, to specifically investigate, for the first …
View article: Impacts of a weakened AMOC on the European climate
Impacts of a weakened AMOC on the European climate Open
Previous studies have shown that the response of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) to increasing greenhouse gas forcing is a key driver of inter-model uncertainties. While all models project an AMOC decline, the inter-…
View article: The impact of AMOC weakening on the global monsoon in EC-Earth3 water hosing simulations
The impact of AMOC weakening on the global monsoon in EC-Earth3 water hosing simulations Open
Changes in Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) affect tropical precipitation through the coupling with the Hadley Circulation and cross-equatorial atmospheric heat transport. Climate model simulations project a possible weak…
View article: NAHosMIP data
NAHosMIP data Open
This package is of data and code from the publication Jackson et al, (2022), Understanding AMOC stability: the North Atlantic Hosing Model Intercomparison Project. GMD [Full reference to come] This is the initial paper of the North Atlanti…
View article: NAHosMIP data
NAHosMIP data Open
This package is of data and code from the publication Jackson et al, (2022), Understanding AMOC stability: the North Atlantic Hosing Model Intercomparison Project. GMD [Full reference to come] This is the initial paper of the North Atlanti…
View article: Impacts of a weakened AMOC on precipitation over the Euro- Atlantic region in the EC-Earth3 climate model
Impacts of a weakened AMOC on precipitation over the Euro- Atlantic region in the EC-Earth3 climate model Open
Given paleoclimatic evidence that the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) may affect the global climate system, we conduct model experiments with EC-Earth3, a state-of-the-art GCM, to specifically investigate, for the first …
View article: Understanding AMOC stability: the North Atlantic Hosing Model Intercomparison Project
Understanding AMOC stability: the North Atlantic Hosing Model Intercomparison Project Open
The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) is an important part of our climate system. The AMOC is predicted to weaken under climate change, however there are theories that it may have a tipping point beyond which recovery is d…
View article: NAHosMIP data
NAHosMIP data Open
This package is of data and code from the publication Jackson et al, (2022), Understanding AMOC stability: the North Atlantic Hosing Model Intercomparison Project. GMD [Full reference to come] This is the initial paper of the North Atlanti…
View article: NAHosMIP experimental protocol
NAHosMIP experimental protocol Open
This package contains details of the experimental protocol for the North Atlantic Hosing Model Intercomparison Project (NAHosMIP). See https://www.tipes.dk/na-hosing-mip/ The experimental protocol is described in detail in Jackson et al, (…