Daozhou Gao
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View article: Effect of host movement on the prevalence of vector-borne diseases
Effect of host movement on the prevalence of vector-borne diseases Open
Human movement plays a key role in spreading vector-borne diseases globally. Various spatial models of vector-borne diseases have been proposed and analyzed, mainly focusing on disease dynamics. In this paper, based on a multi-patch Ross–M…
View article: A hybrid Lagrangian–Eulerian model for vector-borne diseases
A hybrid Lagrangian–Eulerian model for vector-borne diseases Open
In this paper, a multi-patch and multi-group vector-borne disease model is proposed to study the effects of host commuting (Lagrangian approach) and/or vector migration (Eulerian approach) on disease spread. We first define the basic repro…
View article: Assessing the impact of host predation with Holling II response on the transmission of Chagas disease
Assessing the impact of host predation with Holling II response on the transmission of Chagas disease Open
Chagas disease is a zoonosis caused by the protozoan parasite Trypanosoma cruzi and transmitted by a broad range of blood-sucking triatomine species. Recently, it is recognized that the parasite can also be transmitted by host ingestion. I…
View article: Effects of behaviour change on HFMD transmission
Effects of behaviour change on HFMD transmission Open
We propose a hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) transmission model for children with behaviour change and imperfect quarantine. The symptomatic and quarantined states obey constant behaviour change while others follow variable behaviour c…
View article: Evaluation of Effectiveness of Global COVID-19 Vaccination Campaign
Evaluation of Effectiveness of Global COVID-19 Vaccination Campaign Open
To model estimated deaths averted by COVID-19 vaccines, we used state-of-the-art mathematical modeling, likelihood-based inference, and reported COVID-19 death and vaccination data. We estimated that >1.5 million deaths were averted in 12 …
View article: Modelling <i>Trypanosoma cruzi</i>-<i>Trypanosoma rangeli</i> co-infection and pathogenic effect on Chagas disease spread
Modelling <i>Trypanosoma cruzi</i>-<i>Trypanosoma rangeli</i> co-infection and pathogenic effect on Chagas disease spread Open
A mathematical model is developed to investigate the impact of Trypanosoma cruzi and Trypanosoma rangeli co-infection and Trypanosoma rangeli-induced pathogenicity of triatomine bugs on the spread of Chagas disease. Due to the presence of …
View article: Bifurcation and overexploitation in Rosenzweig-MacArthur model
Bifurcation and overexploitation in Rosenzweig-MacArthur model Open
In this paper, we propose a Rosenzweig–MacArthur predator-prey model with strong Allee effect and trigonometric functional response. The local and global stability of equilibria is studied, and the existence of bifurcation is determined in…
View article: Special issue: Modeling the biological, epidemiological, immunological, molecular, virological aspects of COVID-19
Special issue: Modeling the biological, epidemiological, immunological, molecular, virological aspects of COVID-19 Open
Citation: Daozhou Gao, Daihai He. 2021: Special issue: Modeling the biological, epidemiological, immunological, molecular, virological aspects of COVID-19, Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, 18(2): 983-985. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2021052
View article: Shrinkage in serial intervals across cluster transmission generations of COVID-19
Shrinkage in serial intervals across cluster transmission generations of COVID-19 Open
The COVID-19 pandemic poses a serious threat to global health, and one of the key epidemiological factors that shape the transmission of COVID-19 is its serial interval (SI). Although SI is commonly considered following a probability distr…
View article: Estimating the Serial Interval of the Novel Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19): A Statistical Analysis Using the Public Data in Hong Kong From January 16 to February 15, 2020
Estimating the Serial Interval of the Novel Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19): A Statistical Analysis Using the Public Data in Hong Kong From January 16 to February 15, 2020 Open
Background: The emerging virus, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), has caused a large outbreak of novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) since the end of 2019. As of February 15, there were 56 COVID-19 cases confir…
View article: Comparing COVID-19 and the 1918–19 influenza pandemics in the United Kingdom
Comparing COVID-19 and the 1918–19 influenza pandemics in the United Kingdom Open
We compared the COVID-19 and 1918-19 influenza pandemics in the United Kingdom. We found that the ongoing COVID-19 wave of infection matched the major wave of the 1918-19 influenza pandemic surprisingly well, with both reaching similar mag…
View article: Estimating the serial interval of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19): A statistical analysis using the public data in Hong Kong from January 16 to February 15, 2020
Estimating the serial interval of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19): A statistical analysis using the public data in Hong Kong from January 16 to February 15, 2020 Open
Background: The emerging virus, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), has caused a large outbreak of novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Wuhan, China since December 2019. As of February 15, there were 56 COVID-1…
View article: Estimating the serial interval of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19): A statistical analysis using the public data in Hong Kong from January 16 to February 15, 2020
Estimating the serial interval of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19): A statistical analysis using the public data in Hong Kong from January 16 to February 15, 2020 Open
Background : The emerging virus, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), has caused a large outbreak of novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Wuhan, China since December 2019. As of February 15, there were 56 COVID-…
View article: Imitation dynamics in the mitigation of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Wuhan, China from 2019 to 2020
Imitation dynamics in the mitigation of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Wuhan, China from 2019 to 2020 Open
Through an imitating social learning process, individual-level behavioral change on taking infection prevention actions have the potentials to significantly reduce the COVID-19 outbreak in terms of size and timing at city-level. Timely and…
View article: Estimating the serial interval of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19): A statistical analysis using the public data in Hong Kong from January 16 to February 15, 2020
Estimating the serial interval of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19): A statistical analysis using the public data in Hong Kong from January 16 to February 15, 2020 Open
Background: The emerging virus, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), has caused a large outbreak of novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Wuhan, China since December 2019. As of February 15, there were 56 COVID-1…
View article: COVID-19 and gender-specific difference: Analysis of public surveillance data in Hong Kong and Shenzhen, China, from January 10 to February 15, 2020
COVID-19 and gender-specific difference: Analysis of public surveillance data in Hong Kong and Shenzhen, China, from January 10 to February 15, 2020 Open
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View article: Serial interval in determining the estimation of reproduction number of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) during the early outbreak
Serial interval in determining the estimation of reproduction number of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) during the early outbreak Open
To the EditorCoronavirus disease 2019 , caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), emerged in Wuhan, China in the end of 2019 and soon spread overseas.A comprehensive and timely review summarized the scient…
View article: Modelling the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak on the Diamond Princess ship using the public surveillance data from January 20 to February 20, 2020
Modelling the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak on the Diamond Princess ship using the public surveillance data from January 20 to February 20, 2020 Open
The novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak on the Diamond Princess ship has caused over 634 cases as of February 20, 2020. We model the transmission process on the ship with a stochastic model and estimate the basic reproductio…
View article: Estimating the serial interval of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19): A statistical analysis using the public data in Hong Kong from January 16 to February 15, 2020
Estimating the serial interval of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19): A statistical analysis using the public data in Hong Kong from January 16 to February 15, 2020 Open
Backgrounds The emerging virus, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), has caused a large outbreak of novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Wuhan, China since December 2019. Based on the publicly available surveill…
View article: Mechanistic modelling of the large-scale Lassa fever epidemics in Nigeria from 2016 to 2019
Mechanistic modelling of the large-scale Lassa fever epidemics in Nigeria from 2016 to 2019 Open
Lassa fever, also known as Lassa hemorrhagic fever, is a virus that has generated recurrent outbreaks in West Africa. We use mechanistic modelling to study the Lassa fever epidemics in Nigeria from 2016-19. Our model describes the interact…
View article: The basic reproduction number of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) estimation based on exponential growth in the early outbreak in China from 2019 to 2020: A reply to Dhungana
The basic reproduction number of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) estimation based on exponential growth in the early outbreak in China from 2019 to 2020: A reply to Dhungana Open
The ongoing outbreak of the novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) pneumonia in Wuhan, China and other regions remains a major public health concern. We thank Dhungana for comments to our study, Zhao et al., 2020Zhao S. Lin Q. Ran J. Musa S.S. Yang…