Hindcast
View article: CoSMoS (Coastal Storm Modeling System) modeled flood hazards for Pierce County, Washington
CoSMoS (Coastal Storm Modeling System) modeled flood hazards for Pierce County, Washington Open
This data release consists of flood hazard maps from compound coastal hazards--specifically sea-level rise (SLR), projected coastal storms, and streamflow. Products include projected flood depths, flood extents including uncertainties, wat…
View article: CoSMoS (Coastal Storm Modeling System) modeled flood hazards for King County, Washington
CoSMoS (Coastal Storm Modeling System) modeled flood hazards for King County, Washington Open
This data release consists of flood hazard maps from compound coastal hazards--specifically sea-level rise (SLR), projected coastal storms, and streamflow. Products include projected flood depths, flood extents including uncertainties, wat…
View article: OLAMUR - Case study A - Aquaculture productivity simulation P1 - WP3 Hereon
OLAMUR - Case study A - Aquaculture productivity simulation P1 - WP3 Hereon Open
The dataset describes the evolution of aquaculture variables from virtual test runs of a blue mussel aquaculture installation in the vicinity of an existing offshore wind farm (MeerWind, OLAMUR Case study A). The aquaculture productivity d…
View article: OLAMUR - Case study A - Aquaculture productivity simulation P0 - WP3 Hereon
OLAMUR - Case study A - Aquaculture productivity simulation P0 - WP3 Hereon Open
The dataset describes the evolution of aquaculture variables from virtual test runs of a blue mussel aquaculture installation in the vicinity of an existing offshore wind farm (MeerWind, OLAMUR Case study A). The aquaculture productivity d…
View article: In-situ Wave Buoy and CMEMS Hindcast Wave Data at Crotone: A Comparative Study
In-situ Wave Buoy and CMEMS Hindcast Wave Data at Crotone: A Comparative Study Open
This dataset comprises hourly records of significant wave height (Hm0) and spectral peak period (Tp) from the Croto…
View article: Harnessing Bankable Wind-Wave Energy Potentials over Offshore Ondo State, Southwestern Nigeria
Harnessing Bankable Wind-Wave Energy Potentials over Offshore Ondo State, Southwestern Nigeria Open
Nigeria’s power sector faces significant challenges due to generation and distribution inefficiencies, as well as its dependence on hydro energy, making it crucial to tap into the country’s renewable energy potential to meet increasing dem…
View article: In-situ Wave Buoy and CMEMS Hindcast Wave Data at Crotone: A Comparative Study
In-situ Wave Buoy and CMEMS Hindcast Wave Data at Crotone: A Comparative Study Open
This dataset comprises hourly records of significant wave height (Hm0) and spectral peak period (Tp) from the Croto…
View article: Dynamics, predictability, impacts and climate change considerations of the catastrophic Mediterranean Storm Daniel (2023)
Dynamics, predictability, impacts and climate change considerations of the catastrophic Mediterranean Storm Daniel (2023) Open
In September 2023, Storm Daniel formed in the central Mediterranean Sea, causing significant socioeconomic impacts in Greece, including fatalities and severe damage to agricultural infrastructure. Within a few days, it evolved into a tropi…
View article: Predicting Lightning from Near-Surface Climate Data in the Northeastern United States: An Alternative to CAPE
Predicting Lightning from Near-Surface Climate Data in the Northeastern United States: An Alternative to CAPE Open
Lightning is a critical driver of natural wildfire ignition and ecosystem dynamics, but existing prediction models rely on upper-air predictors such as convective available potential energy (CAPE) that are absent from paleoclimate reconstr…
View article: Interannual wave-driven shoreline change on the California coast
Interannual wave-driven shoreline change on the California coast Open
The important role of wave climate variability in driving shoreline evolution has been demonstrated recently with improved satellite-derived shoreline detection algorithms, wave buoy records, and wave reanalysis and hindcast models. While …
View article: Current effects on wind generated waves near an Ocean Eddy Dipole
Current effects on wind generated waves near an Ocean Eddy Dipole Open
Ocean eddy dipoles are among the most common mesoscale features and may be ubiquitous across the global oceans. However, wave-current interactions in their proximity have not been extensively studied. Here we examine the impact of surface …
View article: Particle trajectory files for "Major-minor-trace element analyses and oceanographic modelling confirms circumpolar transport of the 1962 Protector Shoal pumice raft"
Particle trajectory files for "Major-minor-trace element analyses and oceanographic modelling confirms circumpolar transport of the 1962 Protector Shoal pumice raft" Open
Summary: This dataset contains the particle trajectory files used in Monteath et al. (2025). The particle tracking was conducted with Ocean Parcels (Delandmeter & van Sebille, 2019; https://oceanparcels.org) and run offline using daily sur…
View article: Multi-model ensemble forecasts of sea surface temperatures and marine heatwaves for Aotearoa New Zealand
Multi-model ensemble forecasts of sea surface temperatures and marine heatwaves for Aotearoa New Zealand Open
Marine heatwaves (MHWs) adversely impact Aotearoa New Zealand’s marine ecosystems and pose challenges for resource management. In this study, we evaluate forecast skill of monthly MHWs and sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies using a mu…
View article: Targeted weather regimes identify circulation patterns behind Western European summer heat extremes and trends
Targeted weather regimes identify circulation patterns behind Western European summer heat extremes and trends Open
Western European heat extremes have intensified in recent decades, with their rate of warming outpacing the global mean. Against this general human-induced warming trend, understanding the circulation patterns that drive such heat extremes…
View article: Characterizing Cold Surge Induced Storm Surge in the Northern East China Sea: A 60-Year Hindcast Reveals Paradoxical Trends in Surge Heights and Return Levels
Characterizing Cold Surge Induced Storm Surge in the Northern East China Sea: A 60-Year Hindcast Reveals Paradoxical Trends in Surge Heights and Return Levels Open
View article: Inundation Processes, Barrier Island Breaching, and Structure Impacts During Hurricane Michael (2018)
Inundation Processes, Barrier Island Breaching, and Structure Impacts During Hurricane Michael (2018) Open
We demonstrate the increased ability to forecast hurricane impacts with a coupled numerical modeling system by simulating ocean waves, water levels, currents, sediment transport, and structural damage to predict inundation, coastal morphol…
View article: Diagnosing Errors in Climate Forecast Models Using Forced Autoregressive Models
Diagnosing Errors in Climate Forecast Models Using Forced Autoregressive Models Open
Climate models initialized near the observed state typically drift toward their own climatology as the forecast evolves. This drift is commonly corrected through a lead‐time and start‐month dependent bias adjustment, derived from a hindcas…
View article: Compound Marine Heatwaves and Acidity Extremes in the Southern Ocean
Compound Marine Heatwaves and Acidity Extremes in the Southern Ocean Open
Compound extremes of temperature and acidity that extend over substantial fractions of the water column can be particularly damaging to marine organisms, as they experience not only additional stress by the potentially synergistic effects …
View article: Geopolitical risks in energy system models: hindcasting in 31 European countries
Geopolitical risks in energy system models: hindcasting in 31 European countries Open
Geopolitics undoubtedly shapes energy transitions, but to date, it has been rarely incorporated into energy system models or integrated assessment models of climate change (IAMs). Here, we integrate five indices reflecting geopolitical ris…
View article: Model-data synthesis of benthic isotopes suggests a warmer Miocene Climatic Optimum
Model-data synthesis of benthic isotopes suggests a warmer Miocene Climatic Optimum Open
The global warmth of the Miocene Climatic Optimum (MCO, ~15 Ma) offers valuable insights into warm climate dynamics and future climate change, providing a real-world testbed for validating climate models. However, the magnitude of MCO warm…
View article: Evaluation of Ice Dissipation Parameterizations in Spectral Ocean Wave Model WAVEWATCH III: An Intercomparison Analysis
Evaluation of Ice Dissipation Parameterizations in Spectral Ocean Wave Model WAVEWATCH III: An Intercomparison Analysis Open
Ocean wave activity in polar seas is intensifying, so that modeling waves in ice‐covered oceans accurately is critical for navigational safety and forecasting the response of the declining sea ice. WAVEWATCH III (WW3) has emerged as the le…
View article: Drivers of the summer 2024 marine heatwave and record salmon lice outbreak in northern Norway
Drivers of the summer 2024 marine heatwave and record salmon lice outbreak in northern Norway Open
Marine heatwaves are prolonged periods of extreme ocean warming that can strongly impact marine ecosystems, fisheries, and aquaculture. In August 2024, northern Norway experienced one of its most intense marine heatwaves on record, with se…
View article: A decade long high-resolution wave resource map for Pentland Firth and Orkney Waters - hindcast by two-way coupling of wave-current models
A decade long high-resolution wave resource map for Pentland Firth and Orkney Waters - hindcast by two-way coupling of wave-current models Open
View article: Coupled continuous/discontinuous Galerkin solver for hurricane storm surges and compound floods
Coupled continuous/discontinuous Galerkin solver for hurricane storm surges and compound floods Open
One of the primary causes of flooding on the Texas and US Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic coasts is storm surge: the inundation of coastal regions by water in the ocean that is driven inland by hurricanes or tropical storms. This phenomenon is…
View article: The Role of Internal Variability in Seasonal Hindcast Trend Errors
The Role of Internal Variability in Seasonal Hindcast Trend Errors Open
Initialized hindcasts inherit knowledge of the observed climate state, so studies of multidecadal trends in seasonal and decadal hindcast models have focused on the ensemble mean when benchmarking against observed trends. However, this neg…
View article: Pre-Evaluation of Wave Energy Converter Deployment in the Baltic Sea Through Site Limitations Using CMEMS Hindcast, Sentinel-1, and Wave Buoy Data
Pre-Evaluation of Wave Energy Converter Deployment in the Baltic Sea Through Site Limitations Using CMEMS Hindcast, Sentinel-1, and Wave Buoy Data Open
This study assesses the wave energy potential and spectral variability in the Väinameri—a semi-sheltered, island-filtered basin on Estonia’s west coast—by combining six months of high-resolution in situ wave spectra with deep learning-enha…
View article: Hindcasting Extreme Significant Wave Heights Under Fetch-Limited Conditions with Tree-Based Models
Hindcasting Extreme Significant Wave Heights Under Fetch-Limited Conditions with Tree-Based Models Open
Accurately hindcasting waves in semi-enclosed, fetch-limited basins remains challenging for reanalysis models, which tend to underestimate storm peaks near the coast. We developed interpretable ML models for Rijeka Bay (northern Adriatic) …
View article: A climatology of trapped lee waves over Britain and Ireland obtained using deep learning on high‐resolution model output
A climatology of trapped lee waves over Britain and Ireland obtained using deep learning on high‐resolution model output Open
This article presents a climatology of trapped lee waves over Britain and Ireland obtained through deep learning. Several deep‐learning models trained to diagnose lee‐wave occurrence, amplitude, wavelength, and orientation are applied to a…
View article: Analysing Observation Based Source Terms: Validations and Spatial Analysis of High-Resolution Wave Hindcast in the Arabian Sea, Emphasizing Low Wind Conditions
Analysing Observation Based Source Terms: Validations and Spatial Analysis of High-Resolution Wave Hindcast in the Arabian Sea, Emphasizing Low Wind Conditions Open
The Arabian Sea is unique concerning its climatology, having distinctive low - moderate and high-wind seasons and multiple wind/ swell systems. Wave forecast models employ different physical packages (source terms parameterizations) that a…
View article: Reconstructing 50 years (1975-2024) of wave climate over the Mediterranean sea using a high-resolution hindcast
Reconstructing 50 years (1975-2024) of wave climate over the Mediterranean sea using a high-resolution hindcast Open
This study presents the results of a long-term wave hindcast covering the period 1975–2024 overthe Mediterranean Sea. The hindcast was produced through a dynamical downscaling approach,based on a chain of numerical models. ERA5 global rean…