Climate change scenario
View article
Impact of climate change on agricultural production; Issues, challenges, and opportunities in Asia Open
Agricultural production is under threat due to climate change in food insecure regions, especially in Asian countries. Various climate-driven extremes, i.e., drought, heat waves, erratic and intense rainfall patterns, storms, floods, and e…
View article
Mediterranean Sea response to climate change in an ensemble of twenty first century scenarios Open
International audience
View article
MaxEnt Modeling for Predicting the Current and Future Potential Geographical Distribution of Quercus libani Olivier Open
The purpose of the study was to model the current and potential future distribution of Quercus libani Olivier (Lebanon Oak), a tree species in Turkey, and to predict the changes in its geographical distribution under different climate chan…
View article
Maximum Entropy Modeling to Predict the Impact of Climate Change on Pine Wilt Disease in China Open
Pine wilt disease is a devastating forest disease caused by the pinewood nematode Bursaphelenchus xylophilus , which has been listed as the object of quarantine in China. Climate change influences species and may exacerbate the risk of for…
View article
Assessing Climate Change Impacts on Wildfire Exposure in Mediterranean Areas Open
We used simulation modeling to assess potential climate change impacts on wildfire exposure in Italy and Corsica (France). Weather data were obtained from a regional climate model for the period 1981–2070 using the IPCC A1B emissions scena…
View article
Potential distribution of pine wilt disease under future climate change scenarios Open
Pine wilt disease (PWD) constitutes a serious threat to pine forests. Since development depends on temperature and drought, there is a concern that future climate change could lead to the spread of PWD infections. We evaluated the risk of …
View article
Assessing the impact of climate change on the worldwide distribution of <i>Dalbulus maidis</i> (DeLong) using MaxEnt Open
BACKGROUND For the first time, a model was applied at the global scale to investigate the effects of climate change on Dalbulus maidis . D. maidis is the main vector of three plant pathogens of maize crops and has been reported as one of t…
View article
Climate change amplifies plant invasion hotspots in Nepal Open
Aim Climate change has increased the risk of biological invasions, particularly by increasing the climatically suitable regions for invasive alien species. The distribution of many native and invasive species has been predicted to change u…
View article
Climate Change and Crop Exposure to Adverse Weather: Changes to Frost Risk and Grapevine Flowering Conditions Open
The cultivation of grapevines in the UK and many other cool climate regions is expected to benefit from the higher growing season temperatures predicted under future climate scenarios. Yet the effects of climate change on the risk of adver…
View article
The interplay of climate and land use change affects the distribution of <span>EU</span> bumblebees Open
Bumblebees in Europe have been in steady decline since the 1900s. This decline is expected to continue with climate change as the main driver. However, at the local scale, land use and land cover ( LULC ) change strongly affects the occurr…
View article
Impacts of 1.5 versus 2.0 °C on cereal yields in the West African Sudan Savanna Open
To reduce the risks of climate change, governments agreed in the Paris Agreement to limit global temperature rise to less than 2.0 °C above pre-industrial levels, with the ambition to keep warming to 1.5 °C. Charting appropriate mitigation…
View article
Heat stress risk in European dairy cattle husbandry under different climate change scenarios – uncertainties and potential impacts Open
In the last decades, a global warming trend was observed. Along with the temperature increase, modifications in the humidity and wind regime amplify the regional and local impacts on livestock husbandry. Direct impacts include the occurren…
View article
Simulating the impact of climate change on maize production in Ethiopia, East Africa Open
Background: Climate change is expected to signifcantly impact agricultural production across Africa. While a number of studies assessed this impact in semi-arid southern Africa, or tropical West Africa, only a limited number took interest …
View article
The implications of climate change for the water environment in England Open
This paper reviews the implications of climate change for the water environment and its management in England. There is a large literature, but most studies have looked at flow volumes or nutrients and none have considered explicitly the i…
View article
Stand Competition Determines How Different Tree Species Will Cope with a Warming Climate Open
Plant-plant interactions influence how forests cope with climate and contribute to modulate species response to future climate scenarios. We analysed the functional relationships between growth, climate and competition for Pinus sylvestris…
View article
Climate Change in the Mediterranean Basin (Part II): A Review of Challenges and Uncertainties in Climate Change Modeling and Impact Analyses Open
The Mediterranean basin is particularly prone to climate change and vulnerable to its impacts. One of the most relevant consequences of climate change, especially for the southern Mediterranean regions, is certainly water scarcity as resul…
View article
Vulnerability of ski tourism towards internal climate variability and climate change in the Swiss Alps Open
Increasing temperatures and snow scarcity pose a serious threat to ski tourism. While the impacts of climate change on ski tourism have been elaborated extensively, little is known so far on the vulnerability of winter tourism towards both…
View article
Air-quality-related health impacts from climate change and from adaptation of cooling demand for buildings in the eastern United States: An interdisciplinary modeling study Open
This study examines the contribution of future air-pollution-related health damages that are caused by the power sector through heat-driven air conditioning adaptation in buildings. Results show that without intervention, approximately 5%-…
View article
Economic Value of Climate Change Adaptation Strategies for Water Management in Spain’s Jucar Basin Open
Although many recent studies have quantified the potential effects of climate change on water resource systems, the scientific community faces now the challenge of developing methods for assessing and selecting climate change adaptation op…
View article
Impact of Climate Change on Rice Yield in Malaysia: A Panel Data Analysis Open
Climate change is a global problem since many countries worldwide are becoming increasingly vulnerable to natural disasters. Numerous climate models in various studies project a decline in agricultural productivity that will mainly be due …
View article
Temporal and Spatial Change in Diameter Growth of Boreal Scots Pine, Norway Spruce, and Birch under Recent-Generation (CMIP5) Global Climate Model Projections for the 21st Century Open
We investigated how climate change affects the diameter growth of boreal Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.), Norway spruce (Picea abies (L.) H. Karst.), and silver birch (Betula pendula Roth) at varying temporal and spatial scales. We genera…
View article
Climate change impacts on crop yield, soil water balance and nitrate leaching in the semiarid and humid regions of Canada Open
The impact of climate change on agricultural systems is a major concern as it can have a significant effect on the world food supply. The objective of this study was to evaluate climate change impacts on crop production and nitrate leachin…
View article
Ensemble Projections of Future Climate Change Impacts on the Eastern Bering Sea Food Web Using a Multispecies Size Spectrum Model Open
Characterization of uncertainty (variance) in ecosystem projections under climate change is still rare despite its importance for informing decision-making and prioritizing research. We developed an ensemble modeling framework to evaluate …
View article
Climate Change and Renewable Energy Generation in Europe—Long-Term Impact Assessment on Solar and Wind Energy Using High-Resolution Future Climate Data and Considering Climate Uncertainties Open
Climate change can strongly affect renewable energy production. The state of the art in projecting future renewable energy generation has focused on using regional climate prediction. However, regional climate prediction is characterized b…
View article
The global and regional impacts of climate change under representative concentration pathway forcings and shared socioeconomic pathway socioeconomic scenarios Open
This paper presents an evaluation of the global and regional consequences of climate change for heat extremes, water resources, river and coastal flooding, droughts, agriculture and energy use. It presents change in hazard and resource bas…
View article
Predicting the potential global distribution of <i>Ageratina adenophora</i> under current and future climate change scenarios Open
Aim Invasive alien species (IAS) threaten ecosystems and humans worldwide, and future climate change may accelerate the expansion of IAS. Predicting the suitable areas of IAS can prevent their further expansion. Ageratina adenophora is an …
View article
Global distribution modelling, invasion risk assessment and niche dynamics of Leucanthemum vulgare (Ox-eye Daisy) under climate change Open
In an era of climate change, biological invasions by alien species represent one of the main anthropogenic drivers of global environmental change. The present study, using an ensemble modelling approach, has mapped current and future globa…
View article
Quantitative Modeling of Climate Change Impacts on Mycotoxins in Cereals: A Review Open
Our climate is projected to change gradually over time. Mycotoxin occurrence in cereal grains is both directly and indirectly related to local weather and to climate changes. Direct routes are via the effects of precipitation, relative hum…
View article
Heavy snow loads in Finnish forests respond regionally asymmetrically to projected climate change Open
This study examined the impacts of projected climate change on heavy snow loads on Finnish forests, where snow-induced forest damage occurs frequently. For snow-load calculations, we used daily data from five global climate models under re…
View article
Assessing risks and uncertainties in forest dynamics under different management scenarios and climate change Open
Background
\n
\nForest management faces a climate induced shift in growth potential and increasing current and emerging new risks. Vulnerability analysis provides decision support based on projections of natural resources taking risks and …