Mean radiant temperature
View article
Development of an Updated Global Land In Situ‐Based Data Set of Temperature and Precipitation Extremes: HadEX3 Open
We present the second update to a data set of gridded land‐based temperature and precipitation extremes indices: HadEX3. This consists of 17 temperature and 12 precipitation indices derived from daily, in situ observations and recommended …
View article
Projected Change in Temperature and Precipitation Over Africa from CMIP6 Open
We analyze data of 27 global climate models from the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), and examine projected changes in temperature and precipitation over the African continent during the twenty-first centur…
View article
European summer temperatures since Roman times Open
The spatial context is criticalwhen assessing present-day climate anomalies, attributing them to potential forcings and making statements regarding their frequency and severity in a long-term perspective. Recent international initiatives h…
View article
Strongly increasing heat extremes in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) in the 21st century Open
The ensemble results of CMIP5 climate models that applied the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios have been used to investigate climate change and temperature extremes in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). Uncertainty evaluation of climate p…
View article
Regional amplification of projected changes in extreme temperatures strongly controlled by soil moisture‐temperature feedbacks Open
Regional hot extremes are projected to increase more strongly than global mean temperature, with substantially larger changes than 2°C even if global warming is limited to this level. We investigate the role of soil moisture‐temperature fe…
View article
The uncertainty of crop yield projections is reduced by improved temperature response functions Open
This corrects the article DOI: 10.1038/nplants.2017.102.
View article
Changes in Annual Extremes of Daily Temperature and Precipitation in CMIP6 Models Open
This study presents an analysis of daily temperature and precipitation extremes with return periods ranging from 2 to 50 years in phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) multimodel ensemble of simulations. Judged by si…
View article
Global surface air temperatures in CMIP6: historical performance and future changes Open
Surface air temperature outputs from 16 global climate models participating in the sixth phase of the coupled model intercomparison project (CMIP6) were used to evaluate agreement with observations over the global land surface for the peri…
View article
ERA5‐HEAT: A global gridded historical dataset of human thermal comfort indices from climate reanalysis Open
The mean radiant temperature (MRT) and the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI) are widely used as human biometeorology parameters to assess the linkages between outdoor environment and human well‐being. Historically computed from meteor…
View article
Climate change projections for Finland during the 21st century Open
On the basis of fifteen global model simulations of future climate, using the SRES emissions scenarios for greenhouse gases and aerosols, we have constructed national-scale seasonal and annual climate change scenarios for Finland during th…
View article
Consequences of Global Warming of 1.5 °C and 2 °C for Regional Temperature and Precipitation Changes in the Contiguous United States Open
The differential warming of land and ocean leads to many continental regions in the Northern Hemisphere warming at rates higher than the global mean temperature. Adaptation and conservation efforts will, therefore, benefit from understandi…
View article
RETRACTED ARTICLE: The economic commitment of climate change Open
Global projections of macroeconomic climate-change damages typically consider impacts from average annual and national temperatures over long time horizons 1–6 . Here we use recent empirical findings from more than 1,600 regions worldwide …
View article
Quantifying Progress Across Different CMIP Phases With the ESMValTool Open
More than 40 model groups worldwide are participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), providing a new and rich source of information to better understand past, present, and future climate change. Here, we use …
View article
Future changes in precipitation over Central Asia based on CMIP6 projections Open
A stronger than global mean warming trend is projected over Central Asia in the coming century. Based on the historical simulations and projections under four combined scenarios of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and the Representative C…
View article
Rapid Adjustments Cause Weak Surface Temperature Response to Increased Black Carbon Concentrations Open
We investigate the climate response to increased concentrations of black carbon (BC), as part of the Precipitation Driver Response Model Intercomparison Project (PDRMIP). A tenfold increase in BC is simulated by nine global coupled‐climate…
View article
The effects of 1.5 and 2 degrees of global warming on Africa in the CORDEX ensemble Open
There is a general lack of information about the potential effects of 1.5, 2 or more degrees of global warming on the regional climates within Africa, and most studies that address this use data from coarse resolution global models. Using …
View article
Projections of climate change indices of temperature and precipitation from an ensemble of bias‐adjusted high‐resolution EURO‐CORDEX regional climate models Open
Statistical bias‐adjustment of climate models' outputs is being increasingly used for assessing the impact of climate change on several sectors. It is known that these techniques may alter the mean climate signal of the adjusted variable; …
View article
Micrometeorological simulations to predict the impacts of heat mitigation strategies on pedestrian thermal comfort in a Los Angeles neighborhood Open
The urban heat island impacts the thermal comfort of pedestrians in cities. In this paper, the effects of four heat mitigation strategies on micrometeorology and the thermal comfort of pedestrians were simulated for a neighborhood in easte…
View article
European climate change at global mean temperature increases of 1.5 and 2 °C above pre-industrial conditions as simulated by the EURO-CORDEX regional climate models Open
We investigate European regional climate change for time periods when the global mean temperature has increased by 1.5 and 2 °C compared to pre-industrial conditions. Results are based on regional downscaling of transient climate change si…
View article
Land Surface Air Temperature Variations Across the Globe Updated to 2019: The CRUTEM5 Data Set Open
Climatic Research Unit temperature version 5 (CRUTEM5) is an extensive revision of our land surface air temperature data set. We have expanded the underlying compilation of monthly temperature records from 5,583 to 10,639 stations, of whic…
View article
Climatic warming in China according to a homogenized data set from 2419 stations Open
A new homogenized temperature data set called the China Homogenized Historical Temperature Dataset (CHHTD-V1.0) has been developed, and it includes daily and monthly mean temperature series from 2419 national stations distributed throughou…
View article
Projection of climate extremes in China, an incremental exercise from CMIP5 to CMIP6 Open
This paper presents projections of climate extremes over China under global warming of 1.5, 2, and 3 °C above pre-industrial (1861-1900), based on the latest Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) simulations. Results are co…
View article
Observational uncertainty and regional climate model evaluation: A pan‐European perspective Open
The influence of uncertainties in gridded observational reference data on regional climate model (RCM) evaluation is quantified on a pan‐European scale. Three different reference data sets are considered: the coarse‐resolved E‐OBS data set…
View article
Reduced Complexity Model Intercomparison Project Phase 1: introduction and evaluation of global-mean temperature response Open
Reduced-complexity climate models (RCMs) are critical in the policy and decision making space, and are directly used within multiple Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reports to complement the results of more comprehensive E…
View article
Assessment of climate variations in temperature and precipitation extreme events over Iran Open
In this study, changes in the spatial and temporal patterns of climate extreme indices were analyzed. Daily maximum and minimum air temperature, precipitation, and their association with climate change were used as the basis for tracking c…
View article
The effects of night-time warming on mortality burden under future climate change scenarios: a modelling study Open
The National Natural Science Foundation of China, Shanghai International Science and Technology Partnership Project.
View article
Projections of climate change in the Mediterranean Basin by using downscaled global climate model outputs Open
The Mediterranean Basin is one of the regions that shall be affected most by the impacts of the future climate changes on hydrology and water resources. In this study, projected future changes in mean air temperature and precipitation clim…
View article
Fluctuating temperatures and ectotherm growth: distinguishing non-linear and time-dependent effects Open
Most terrestrial ectotherms experience diurnal and seasonal variation in temperature. Because thermal performance curves are non-linear, mean performance can differ in fluctuating and constant thermal environments. However, time-dependent …
View article
Modeling the distribution of Zanthoxylum armatum in China with MaxEnt modeling Open
Predicting suitable distribution is an effective way to guide the introduction and cultivation of a species. To explore the climatic suitability of Zanthoxylum armatum, the maximum entropy model was used to model the distribution of this s…
View article
Analyses of temperature and precipitation in the Indian Jammu and Kashmir region for the 1980–2016 period: implications for remote influence and extreme events Open
The local weather and climate of the Himalayas are sensitive and interlinked with global-scale changes in climate, as the hydrology of this region is mainly governed by snow and glaciers. There are clear and strong indicators of climate ch…